저자: 미상 · 외국인
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결론: 이 영상은 시타델의 멜빈캐피털 현금 회수(5억 달러) 소식을 근거로 AMC 숏스퀴즈(이른바 '숏스퀴즈 2.0')가 임박했다고 주장하며, 단기 상승을 강하게 기대하는 내용이다. [뉴스 배경] 멜빈캐피털은 게임스탑 공매도 베팅이 실패해 대규모 손실을 입었고, 시타델이 1월 말 약 20억 달러를 투입해 구제했다. 영상은 이 중 5억 달러를 9월 말까지 회수한다는 보도(WSJ)를 근거로 든다. 손실 규모는 약 27억 달러로 언급됐다. [진행자 시나리오] 회수된 자금으로 시타델이 AMC 매도 포지션을 늘리면 공매도 비율이 높아져 숏스퀴즈 가능성이 커진다고 주장한다. 또 다른 시나리오로 시타델이 자금을 자체 재무 안정에 쓸 수도 있다고 언급했다. [기술적 분석] 8월 23일(월) 상승 흐름을 낙관하며, 강한 상승 캔들과 상승 추세 지속을 근거로 든다. 과거 7월 8일 부근 지지선이 깨져 이제 저항선으로 바뀌었다고 설명하며, 윗꼬리 캔들을 매도 압력 신호로 해석한다. [거래량·지지선] 진행자는 거래량이 아직 부족해 주가가 움직이지 않는다고 보며, 과거 거래량 폭증 사례를 근거로 재현 가능성을 주장한다. 주가 30달러 부근이 지지선이라고 보고, 15~20달러로 떨어져도 보유 또는 매수를 권한다. [종목 비교] 과거 Dave & Buster's 사례(13달러 → 52달러)를 들어 AMC 역시 재개장(reopening) 수혜주로서 상승 여력이 크다고 주장한다. [리스크·한계] 영상 스스로 시타델의 노출 비중이 불명확하다고 인정하고, 시장 조작 가능성도 언급한다. 다만 결론은 낙관적이다. [출연자 전망] 진행자는 AMC 상승 랠리가 계속될 것이며 '숏스퀴즈 2.0'이 올 것이라고 보고, 이번 주가 강세일 것으로 예상한다.
다듬은 글
what is going on to the amc stock family in today's video we are going to be discussing how all of this will be related to august 23rd which is a monday in other words tomorrow very exciting news because citadel has apparently released news that they are going to be taking back 500 million dollars of its cash infusion into guess who melvin capital this includes liquidations these includes how this will lead to margin called first citadel and we are also going to be talking about the technical analysis and how the short squeeze the mother of all short squeezes is to come very very soon and i actually think that this week is going to be bullish for amc stock and so to let your fellow amc investors know about all this news make sure you guys share this video if you would like and with that being said let's just get straight into it so melbourne capital which is a hedge fund that we are all very much aware of had a bet on gamestop share price and so what exactly was this bet that gamestop would fall and lo and behold they received a two billion dollar infusion from citadel after the stock skyrocketed ultimately and essentially this means that they end up having a short squeeze and so to end up covering your position on a short squeeze you must buy back the shares and when you decide to buy back any equity especially when you are selling the stock and then it decides to exponentially increase like gamestop honestly that is quite sad and that is extremely hurtful to whoever is invested in you who is invested in melbourne capital citadel is and so citadel had to give melvin capital roughly 2 billion dollars in order for melbourne capital to clear all of its funds and so melbourne capital is still roughly i believe it is as of right now almost 40 percent maybe even a little bit higher i believe it actually is higher than 40 underwater in other words their hedge fund has not been performing the best and so this is not good news for citadel simply because citadel as i said is invested in melvin capital and this does affect the hedge fund and how they perform in the future now let's just continue reading because there is a lot to discuss so this is made on august 21st of 2021 this is very relevant news how will this play out in the markets for this upcoming week well the hedge fund citadel pumped billions of dollars into melvin capital you see this rhetoric right here billions of dollars this is no joke whatsoever and so after that the fund's bet against gamestop went bad leading to huge losses now citadel is taking some of its money back so when people talk about citadel and melvin capital it is simply no joke some people think that citadel will never have anything damaging occur and that citadel will forever be one of these prosperous companies that just continues to flourish but the reality is is that yes citadel may be somewhat to some extent a great company i don't work there and i don't know a lot of people that do work there but in the previous video we actually did a review on someone that did work at citadel and the environment was actually quite toxic now again i don't work there but let's talk more about the company's fundamentals rather than any environment or cultural aspect to it and rather than having a lot of bias let's just try to break it down as accurate as we can so with melvin capital being associated with citadel i'm not sure about how much of a percentage citadel has invested into melbourne capital because who knows how much the percentage is what if they only invested five percent of their hedge fund into melbourne capital and this would not equate to a huge loss i know that it does say they did lose almost 2.7 billion dollars and they are trying to retrieve the 500 million dollars but we still don't know how much of a percentage-wise citadel invested into melbourne capital and that would give us a better understanding for how much exactly did they lose and just exactly to how much of an extent is this going to hurt citadel we don't know the answers to that it's still a 2.7 billion dollars lost and as a matter of fact citadel has notified melvin capital of its plans to retrieve 500 million dollars of the 2 billion dollars injected in late january so again just coming from an unbiased review from an unbiased opinion let's just forget about citadel and how they did try to sell amc stock and gamestop in high quantities with the balance sheet and what is going on between melvin capital and citadel it is not in the best position right now in fact citadel is actually trying to retrieve money the 500 million from melvin capital and so this came from two people who briefed on the matter and they were actually not authorized to speak publicly about it and so under the terms of citadel's investment the money will be returned at the end of september the people said as the third quarter draws to a close with this money flowing back until the end of september this could actually mean one of two things the first thing is that student will have more money and this could definitely lead to more positions for citadel where they end up selling more amc shares and we are also going to be talking about how there could be another mother of all short squeeze is going to probably be a bullish week for amc we are going to get into the techno analysis in just a few minutes and so that could be one occasion where they decide to have even more selling positions more slang positions equals a higher short squeeze percentage and with the highest short squeeze percentage that increases the chances and the likelihoods of another short squeeze occurring how much of a short squeeze is this one going to be this is going to be short squeeze 2.0 short squeeze 2.0 right now is being parallel to the mother of all short squeezes people are expecting at least one hundred dollars a share so the second thing that they will do with this money if you look at this from an unbiased point of view the simple fact that matters is that right now they did lose 2 billion dollars i'm not sure exactly how much this means to citadel because to the average retail trader this is much more than enough but the citadel how much does this 2 billion dollars really mean to them and so if it is very damaging to the company then i do think that citadel will try to reinvest this money back into the company and they'll probably keep this liquidation from melvin capital because melvin capital in essence they got liquidated they got liquidated because they must pay back 500 million dollars and so citadel may just use that to strengthen their own balance sheet and should just use that money as cash on the side in case of any emergency because again some people may say that losing two billion dollars is an emergency in it of itself rested if they did end up getting very hurt or in other words damaged by what melvin capital ended up doing then they may just decide to use this as cash on the side because they need to rebuild their balance sheet and so the money will be returned at the end of september while september is just right around the corner guys and so citadel's plans was first reported by the wall street journal the cash infusion came in late january as melvin was trying to have a huge turnaround in the short selling of gamestop and so gamestop shares flatlined in recent years as it struggled to refashion itself from a brick and mortar video game retailer into a more modern e-commerce company but wait a minute the company stock disk skyrocket in january after new directors from chewy.com which sells pet products were named as small investors piled into the stock melvin took huge losses as it scrambled to cover the cost of its wrong way trade and some of its other short positions including its bet against my favorite stock as of right now my favorite reopening play for that matter amc entertainment now there is more to this article however we don't need to discuss that it will be invaluable to your time so let's go ahead now and talk about the technical analysis for tomorrow august 23rd and let's talk more about the mother of all short squeezes amc stock while it may be one of my favorite socks it is also very deceiving but that's another factor that you just have to get used to with amc because look at this candle wick right here this is actually why this stock is one of my favorites because it will continuously try to prove the hedge funds wrong we have one of the most bullish candlesticks you could have to indicate a sign of reversal and so right now it looks like we do have a steady increase or in other words a steady upside for amc and so this may just continue into next week and this is what i'm actually eyeing for i do think that the anc bull run will continue and i think we are getting closer and closer to signs of reversal don't get me wrong there are still probably signs of market manipulation either that or the day traders really know when to cash out their position and that is simply because it always has a time where a lot of investors decide to just cash out now who are these investors we know that 60 of the amc price action is controlled by the hedge funds because as i just stated a 2.7 billion loss for citadel that may just equate to maybe five percent of their portfolio honestly maybe even lower whereas the average retail trader they don't just have 2.7 billion dollars and so we have a double wick right here at the top which is why i really don't know who is trying to sell the stock right now is it the market manipulators or is it simply the day traders regardless this is going to act as our new sign of resistance why is this going to be the new sign of resistance because it used to be a support level and not only that we do have a two candle wigs so this was around july 8th it used to be a very solid support level and so now it is going to flip because we did end up breaking the support level now it is going to be acting as our resistance and so amc did have again that candle look right here it indicates that there was a lot of demand now the amc retail traders we can do much better and i'm not talking about the amc investors who have been continuously holding this stock i'm talking about the investors and more specifically the amc day traders which really occurred around the june and even all the way towards the beginning of 2021 and the reason for that is because our volume just isn't there quite yet and so volume is also one of another key indicators that i'm really eying out for simply because if we don't have enough volume this stock will not move and i know that we can do it where we do have that previous volume because it did happen once and history repeats itself if it happens once it will happen again most often than not now there is no 100 percent guarantee but this is my bet right now and this is why amc stock is one of my favorite stocks we were right about this when it happened with dave and busters dave and busters was one of our favorite plays when he was all the way around 13 a share and it went all the way to a high of what was this price 52 this year so amc stock has been continuously been our favorite reopening play that's why we continuously said no stress amc stock family if it's at 15 a share even though it drops from 20 don't worry if it's hot even what was this price 5.50 when it dropped from 20 no stress and if it's at 30 right now just continuously buy and hold and leave it alone if that falls within your trading plan at least that is what i'm doing with my account because again thirty dollars a share if this is going to be our solid support level which we haven't continuously at this level for a long time if we decide to go all the way back to let's say two years ago it was continuously hovering around thirty dollars a share so i don't really see necessarily a problem with it hovering around thirty dollars a share right now if it was already having a solid support previous years ago two years ago three years ago and now it's at that same support level why is there a lot of worry when now we actually have more investors we have more of a movement back then there was no movement and with that being said the mother of all short squeezed that's what i'm really talking about in regards to the volume if the paradigm frame c used to be two years ago three years ago at 30 this year and now we have an even stronger movement why are there still doubters that we can't have a short squeeze 2.0 note that being said amc sock family comment down below if you think there will be another short squeeze 2.0 for amc and again thanks again for watching i'll see you guys next video nothing can replace this feeling
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