저자: JessicaInskip · 외국인
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반도체 장비주 급락 후에도 주가 지수가 주간 차트상 강세 횡보 패턴을 보인다고 분석. 엔비디아가 시장의 핵심 종목이며 140달러 돌파 시 상승 여지가 크다고 봄. S&P500 동일가중 및 시총가중 지수, 나스닥100 모두 추가 상승 가능성을 제시. 크레이머는 엔비디아의 중요성을 강조하며 인스킵의 견해에 동조. 마지막 통화에서 ARM 보유 여부에 대해 긍정적 견해를 표명.
다듬은 글
so probably as how about now since she's been so right well inip sees it things are looking pretty darn good but even as the r boing out moving away from just mag 7 the whole host of sport stops she says we still need tech to participate if we're going to get another leg higher Tech doesn't have to lead the way anymore but it has to at least follow the leaders unlike yesterday where the whole semic duer complex melted down off forious Court from asml as say go to the top of the show they make semiconductor manufacturing equipment never mind the asml said they sell huge demand when it comes to chips for artificial intelligence money manager just sold everything including Nvidia even though Nvidia is the quintessential AI chip maker and there's tremendous demand for the machines that make the equipment for uh Taiwan semi which therefore makes it for NVIDIA given that Nvidia is the most important stock in this market as you know from the top of the shell we got to take a hard look at the weekly chart because inip she mostly likes what she sees her and what she sees is a bullish backdrop specifically this house been form what's known as a bullish consolidation pattern you can see it that means it's kind of like coming together all right I when I first started this this segment I didn't understand bullish consolidation till I noticed that they always seem to be coming together like this bullish consolidation by sesting has past it gug for the past couple years and once it's finished digesting well guess what you tend to see a CL cluster going like that FL and once those almost Cross or get near it that's when it starts going hard bullish consolidation see after a huge decline in July and early August another pullback in early September inv video's been working its way higher again making a series of higher lows them along the way however it still hasn't taken out that a high from June 20th when in sees this kind of action it makes her think Nvidia can have a huge bullish breakout as long as it closes above the June High basically if this currently $135 stock can make a close above $140 and.
76 cents and she spous upside here and the pattern the pattern looking real good this points out that nvidia's got a nice for support just under 120 okay so you see that uh that's the 13we moving average if it can break out above $14.7 how high can it go all right we're going to use Fibonacci numbers now that's at ancient a medieval Italian mathematician she thinks it go 100 127 it's almost embarrassing to say but I'll just put it right there she thinks it goes to 177 at 177 it would be by far the world's largest company unless Apple could keep lock step with it I don't even have the ability to show you where it is 177 is like somewhere up here and when I used to be taller it would be no problem don't get old all right anyway however she says Nvidia needs a callous to jump that 140 hurle as long as you can keep going higher inching its way higher then what's going to happen is we're going to get the moving average convergence Divergence diverges line or the macd important momentum indicator when the black line crosses above the yellow one look how close we are that's one of those reliable buy triggers in the business it's also my favorite just you know cuz I love macd Inc I learned macd in 88 incap says to look for consistently higher weekly closes because as long as the stock keeps making higher lows that map D crossover well it's going to happen and that matters because according to in Nvidia is the key to this Market she will not get a fight from me how about everything else it's not like Nvidia there's a lot of stocks right this is why we have the sp sp 500 equal weight where all 500 components in the index have the same weighting as opposed to the normal maret capap waiting uh where the index is dominated by the Magnificent 7 so check out the equal weight keep that in mind equal weight weekly chart so one Stock's just the same as the other first you can see this thing's been doing great because 2024 has been all about the other 493 stocks in the index second inpt she's a lot to like her the trading cycle for the S 500 equal weight is bullish she likes to watch the 13 the 26 and the 40we moving averages because these represent 1 2 and 3/4s respectively the index has a floor of support at 7058 uh the 13we moving average that's St Ry 250 points from where it's currently trading there's another floor 6888 okay where the equal weighted uh Peak on March 25th right now Inc was watching for higher highs meanwhile the relative strength indicator look at this uh another important momentum you you probably think it's getting overbought right and that would you would think that's dangerous some technicians will tell you it's a worrisome sign but in says you don't need to fret about this relative strength index going higher when the underlying security is still making higher highs as she says it the S&P equal weight is not overbought it's just right wow as long as the S SP equal weight stays above its FL of 7058 here uh then it's going to continue trading well above those key corly moving averages according to inip so she is very positive again remember this is the equal weight all 500 are equal weighted the the Magnificent s is not overweighted but as for the regular market cap weighted take a look at this one for inip this is a classic picture of a strong trading cycle paired with a strong Trend the S&P has a nice floor of support at 5669 where it temporarily peaked in July 16th based on the 138% Fibonacci extension from the lows two years ago incap thinks it could be smooth sailing to 5 940 up almost 100 points again very meaningful May theb has been bolstered by the non mag 493 if we get some more Tech participation particularly yes from Nvidia then in skit betting it'll keep Roy but you do need Nvidia you need Amazon uh particularly you need Microsoft and of course you need Apple which brings us to the tech heavy NASDAQ 100 which contains the 100 largest non-financial stocks in the N composite including a great deal of Technology even though inip believes that the ndx remains in a bullish trading cycle it hasn't been making higher highs like the S&P however the quarterly moving averages are still sloping upwards and acting as for of support the NASDAQ 100 is a nice for support at the 13we moving average which is currently 19481 down almost 700 points from where the index is trading that level gets breached there's the 26 we moving average provided floor at 19277 and then a prior higher high from the march of 1844 1844 so you see that we could we have support as for the ceiling of resistance the NASDAQ 100 made a higher high back in July 21690 up more than 500 points from here in thinks is heading the right direction but it needs to blast through that July high that real breakout once it clears that hurdle she's betting it sends the whole Market into rally mode so once again strap yourself in bottom up the charges interpreted by Jessica Inskip are looking pretty darn good for the S&P and the NASDAQ 100 and of course yes Nvidia we got a m b Market that we had 6 months ago but if it's going to keep running inspt says we need to see some meaningful participation from T and that's why she thinks Nidia is the most important stock in the market if it can make a higher high she thinks that's the whole ball game as for me I never bet against the fabulous Jensen W Mike in Illinois Mike hey Jim how are you Mike I'm real darn good how about you partner awesome great month meeting today a really very employment yeah like Jeff Jeff marks and I and of course Regina gilan I put the camera on her but I don't know if you're allowed to do that Regina runs the more she runs the monthly meting in her bask outfit and she thought it was a really good call and that thats because Regina can be very critical and she said it was good too so thank you Mike how can I help you yep I I'm in arm holding and I want to know if I could buy more or shells or hold thank you hey arm's good arm got arm really has a tremendous relationship by the way with by the way with Masa with with salt bank and I got to tell you I think that the support there is going to make it so he's got a lot of Runway
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