저자: TomLee · 외국인
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나스닥/엔비디아 실적 후 시장은 가치주·소형주로 로테이션이 진행 중이며, Fed가 실질금리를 낮추면 소형주가 유리하다는 주장. 엔비디아는 26배 선행PE로 여전히 장기 매수 대상. 러셀2000 선행PE 10.7배 vs S&P 약 17배로 소형주 멀티플 확장 여지 강조. 추가 Fed 대폭 인하는 필수가 아니며 '중립금리 복귀' 기대가 핵심 촉매라고 봄.
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if do you me do you need dramatic cuts for that thesis to pan out are there other potholes in the that you see that that threaten your thesis well uh a recession would be negative um I don't think the FED has to make major cuts it actually just has to I think the market narrative that would be the best for small caps is the belief that real interest rates are too tight now you know 5 and a half% versus inflation trending towards two and getting rates back down to a neutral rate of 3% if the market believes that they don't need the cuts to be front in loaded but they have to believe we're going back towards neutral I think that'd be a huge Catalyst for small caps hold on to your hats stock market Enthusiast because there's a buzz that's too electrifying to ignore reports have surfaced that CNB bank has upped its stake in Nvidia propelling the computer hardware giant further into the spotlight with an investment surge of 8.2% in the third quarter Nvidia has solidified its position as one of the top Holdings for CNB bank but what could be driving this increased interest and why isn't is such a hot commodity right now join us as we delve into the latest developments and Market Maneuvers surrounding this Tech Behemoth welcome back everyone to invest doy okay now let me ask you about uh more about Mega caps and about the consumer how important not necessarily just to small caps but to the whole Market narrative uh will Nvidia earnings next week be uh well NV is really important because it's underpinning really what is driving the US economy which is a real push towards productivity uh using basically digital tools and automation that's a very important defl disinflationary Trend and of course the US companies all of the big ones are all in the US I mean it's a global phenomena that benefits us companies so I think it's incredibly important uh but Nvidia you know trading at 26 times forward earnings isn't that demanding a stock either so it's not like I would say sell Invidia to buy small C I think Nvidia is still a longterm buy for those who haven't yet caught wind of this Market sensation nvidia's Ascent is akin to a thrilling roller coaster you can't help but get on behind the scenes of this giant success is a tale of Strategic investment and calculated risks things that any seasoned Wall Street Tycoon would appreciate amongst the flurry of institutional backing it's intriguing to note how hedge funds and high-profile investors are placing big and occasionally humorous bets on the company's future even Mark a Stevens and VI's charismatic CEO Jensen hang have shuffled their shares hinting at internal Maneuvers and a possible reshaping of strategies to keep the momentum up when delving deeper analysts are issuing ratings that are as bullish as ever from da Davidson's upbeat price Target adjustments aiming at $135 to Loop capital's steadfast commitment with a $175 Target it's apparent that the sky the limit and let's not forget the standout prediction from Aaron rakers highlighting a whopping 30% upside predictions that add a spicy layer to nvidia's unfolding Story one might joke that if stocks were a fantasy game Nvidia would be wielding the lightning bolt of hat's what's your mark your reaction to how the market is processed nvidia's numbers it uh of course fell initially in the pre-market yesterday morning it was doing all right and then it did did close more meaningfully down by the end of the session yesterday well I I think Nvidia is one of these stocks that has become part of like a stock market lore almost everyone has a position and I don't think the results and the earnings changed anyone's Minds about Ai and the central worlds playing in in both Global productivity but also nvidia's role but it I think the selloff tells you that a lot of good news was priced in I think that's why uh the stock fell it didn't take the broader Market down I think that was kind of a a positive uh outcome and I think it just shows you that there's room for a lot of rotation and and I think that it's revealing that small caps is one of the groups benefiting from that rotation intriguingly nvidia's by Leaps and Bounds with an astounding 93.6% Revenue increase compared to last year when ju deposed with fascinating analyst evaluations from platforms like benzinga it becomes clear why investors are clamoring to get a piece of the action in the words of a tweet from a prominent Market analyst Invidia is not just a stock it's an evolution in motion this has certainly added a compelling narrative angle as stakeholders navigate the volatile Seas of Wall Stree that rotation Tom and the extent to which there's still a long way to go if you're looking at the valuations of some of those sectors that haven't done so well in recent months uh and Years or or whether things have bounced enough across the board that you start to get a little bit concerned about valuations for the entire Market not just the nvidias of this world um yeah valuations are definitely something our clients are asking us about because uh you know the equity markets have been rising for several years but the idea of a rotation I I think is grounded on a couple of things one is that the fed's rate path is lower and that benefits cyclical stocks and small caps and we know there's also a lot of cash on the sidelines and investors drisk uh because of you know the the Yen crisis and and just general concern about the summer and so I I think the Nvidia uh results plus the FED in September is really the Catalyst that it's going to get some investors to actually follow through with the rotation so I think we're early cuz for instance small caps I know people think they're expensive but the median PE of a Russell 2000 stock is still 10.7 times forward earnings that's compared to almost 17 times for the S&P so the the small caps have a lot of room for multiple expansion as the dust begins to settle the narrative surrounding Nvidia company continues to entice both seasoned investors and newcomers alike its current stock position bolstered by a robust market cap and Stellar Innovations projects an exciting path ahead with strategic analyst predictions hinting at a continued growth trajectory Nvidia stands firm as a Titan in the tech industry as you Ponder your next move in this high stakes game of stocks consider Nvidia not just as a player but a leader with momentum that promises to redefine Market paradigms what are your thoughts on nvidia's future joining or staying sidelined in their Journey might just be the pivotal decision every Savvy investor needs to ponder today let's discus
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