저자: Henry · 외국인
요약 보기
엔비디아 주가 조정 후 저가 매수 기회라고 주장하며 98·100 풋 매도 옵션 전략을 제시. 채용공고 감소와 9월 시장 우려를 언급하나 본인도 단기 예측은 못 한다고 인정. 볼린저밴드 하단(101) 기반으로 98·100 풋 매도가 합리적이라 주장. 아이언콘도르·휠 전략도 함께 소개하며 장기적으로 S&P500 대비 초과수익을 목표로 한다고 말함.
다듬은 글
Are you ready to make some money on Nvidia stock? Because I'm going to show you stocks and options. In this video, I'll break down some very important news, and you'll make money because Uncle Henry knows what he's talking about. So, get out your pen and paper. Open your trading account. We are going to make good money.
Look, I was just watching the news. I have my notes in front of me, and I want to make the case for Nvidia's growth. I am optimistic about Nvidia. News about antitrust legislation has emerged. There is news about the number of vacancies. I'll cover all of this in this video. But listen, rollback is useful.
That's it. To be honest , I didn't own much Nvidia stock before the report. I waited until the report, guys. Everyone else advised buying before the report. I had stocks, but I just quadrupled my position. I invested a bunch of money after the report, and now I'll tell you why. It's very simple. Yes.
Nvidia has been showing abnormal profitability for a long time . This is a very good company overall. I can't say that this company is bad. I love Nvidia. I think they are very innovative. But look, the facts are obvious. The shares rose sharply. You can see for yourself: the stock has risen sharply over a long period of time.
The correction is already overdue. After the report, the correction did take place. I have invested a lot of money and have now spent a lot of my reserve capital on Nvidia. So, A— rollback is great. B— I'm still very bullish on Nvidia. The abnormal growth lasted for a long time, but thanks to the pullback, the price returned to the desired cycle.
The right cycle: stocks rise, fall, and then rise again. It's pretty simple. If you look at the graph, it was funny. You know what was the funniest thing? I have a degree in finance. I worked at Goldman Sachs. I was sitting next to a trader who was very skilled. He earned between $15,000 and $25,000 a day for the firm.
I don't know how much he got paid, right? I just worked at a hedge fund , you know? So I asked him, "What do you predict the stock will do?" He said, "Henry, it's very simple. Are you ready for this?" I'm like, "I have notes. I have paper." I think, "Oh, now he's going to give me something incredible." "Now he's going to give me 10 points about what to buy, at what price, strike price, all that stuff, right?" And he says, "Listen, look at the chart.
Look at the six-month chart . If the stock is going up on the six-month chart, it's probably going to keep going up." I'm like, "Okay , okay. What's the second one?" He's like, "No." He says, "That's it. If stocks are going up, they're likely to keep going up." I say, "Hey, what about the news and everything else?" He says, "Man, I've been on Wall Street for over ten years." This guy had ten years of experience.
He says, "Let's keep it simple." I'm like, "Man, you changed my life. I'm going to keep it simple." And I've been doing this for 10 years now, and it's obviously working really well for my portfolio. Now I'm going to look at Nvidia. So guys, I'm going to show you some examples on my screen now. My portfolio is $3.133 million.
I'll move on to Nvidia shares now. I will point out some very interesting things about both options and stocks. I have some stocks in another portfolio right now. So in this portfolio I only have options. I have three different positions. All three. They show a total loss, but all three are still out of the money because I sold the 98 strike puts.
Okay, that means I'm out of the money. Nvidia fell to 106. I'm ready to buy at 98. I'm making a profit now when many investors are losing money. If you are losing money on Nvidia, start looking at options. Options are safer than stocks. I sell puts at 98, meaning if Nvidia falls to 98, I will buy it at 98.
Nvidia has fallen now. I'm still okay. I'm completely fine. I'm doing better than every YouTuber and every other investor because Nvidia is still out of the money compared to my options. Good. So in this portfolio I have a put option at 98. In my other portfolio I have put options at 100 dollars , and I'm just printing money.
For example, if I look at put 98 right now, I want to show you what's happening at the moment. So, I'm in the red. Yes, I'm losing money. By the way, by the phrase " print money" in this position I mean that I have a hedge in another portfolio. Let me explain it very simply because I don't want to complicate things, okay?
I want to make sure that everyone can invest in options and get a stable income from Nvidia. Personally, I think I'll make a lot of money because the stock will recover. I'm currently losing less money than other people. That's why my portfolio shows better results than others. To be completely honest, I haven't made any money from Nvidia yet, but I will definitely make some.
I'm 100% sure, well, 99.99% sure, and I lose less money than everyone else. So, while everyone around me is losing, I'm literally smiling . I'm really excited because when the market opens today, I'll be buying the stock because the price is finally where I like it. I also sold put options on 98 and 100 in another portfolio I recently opened.
Things are going very well there. Although the total income is shown as a loss. If I bought them back right now, I would actually probably be left with a profit. This option expires on September 20. I still think it's a very, very good strategy. If you sell put options expiring on September 20th at a strike price of 100 or 98, you will make money on Nvidia.
Okay, I want to cover a few more points because I think you need to understand the current state of the market. What is happening? Look, I studied analytics. September is a self-fulfilling prophecy . I am more cautious now because we are seeing a lot of events in the market. For example, the number of vacancies— friends, pay attention to this , because it is really important.
You have to monitor the job market. This is basic money, right? Most of the money, I think 50% of the money in the economy, goes to small business owners. If they're not hiring people, if vacancy rates are bad for large, medium, and small companies, then we have big problems. Of course? So that's not very good.
I looked at the number of vacancies and it has dropped to the lowest level since January 2021. So, this has been going on for four years now. Four years. We are in the worst stock market situation in the last four years. Due to the vacancy situation, I am extremely cautious about September. However, it's a bit confusing.
This is why being an investor is very difficult. It's hard to be a profitable investor every month and beat the market every month . I've been successful at this for years, but it's not every month that I beat the market. I would be a complete fraud if I said I outperformed the S&P 500 every month .
No, that's not true. But I'm doing much better because I have a lot of experience. And in my experience, September is a difficult month because in a way it's a self-fulfilling prophecy. September is usually one of the best months. All the kids are going back to school, and perhaps parents and adults have more time to invest.
Who knows the real reason? No one really knows the hidden reason. By the way, guys, this is called an anomaly, right? I studied finance, and there are such things as anomalies. And on this channel, I teach options trading anomalies: selling put options, covered calls, and the "wheel" strategy, which I cover in most of my videos.
But when it comes to September, why are the markets performing well? It's an anomaly. It's just a given. It's like an axiom that the market feels good in September. However, the vacancy rate is currently very poor, and this will affect the market. So my feelings are a bit conflicted. And here is the solution.
I have a solution for you. Buy high-quality stocks by selling put options. That's why I buy everything I see now, because I'm optimistic. This company has shown some of the best results, period. By the way, the craziest story I have is when I was in college and worked at a foundation. Okay, it was a college fund.
It was a trust fund ( endowment). This is a crazy story because one of my friends, who also worked on Wall Street, bought Nvidia for less than $20 a share. This guy got into Nvidia when it was under $20 a share. And he told me then, he told me this years ago. This was when I was still in college. That was six, well, six years ago, or seven, I don't know .
I must be forgetting. A lot of time has passed. But he told me that Nvidia is the best option he has, right? And a little later, when I was working at a hedge fund in Philadelphia, I researched Nvidia and suggested it to my boss, who was managing $9 billion , and advised him to buy Nvidia at about $112 a share.
And so, he bought it. He made a ton of money and the stock is still going up. I can't believe it. This is a stock that continues to generate profits. This is a stock that, to be honest , kind of defined my life because it gave me a little bit of a career boost when I was working on Wall Street. I was given a very good performance bonus for recommending these stocks, you know?
So I was kind of praised and I got good reviews, but I didn't make much money from my ideas . In short, what I want to say about Nvidia is what I 've heard about this stock for years. I have been following her for many years. I have a lot of friends who made a lot of money on Nvidia stock by buying call options, which I don't really agree with, because when you buy options, I think you take on a lot of unnecessary risk because you have to guess the direction.
You have to guess with the timing. And these are two different factors that are very difficult to combine. Guys, I'm just saying: if you're bullish on Nvidia and want to make a lot of money quickly, I would go the call option route. If you want secure passive income, which is what I talk about on this channel in the context of retirement strategies, which is what I focus on , I love working with people in my Discord community and in my six-week practical bootcamp , showing them how to make $10,000–$15,000 a month with a $50,000, $100,000, or $150,000 portfolio.
This range is great because it is solid money to work with options and you can start making really good and stable income. So , when I work with my students in practice and give them my trades, my recent trade was: Nvidia 98 sell put, 100 sell put for entry. I prefer this to buying options. I am also currently considering the possibility of applying the "wheel" strategy to Nvidia.
I'll show you a few examples right now. I'm just telling you the honest truth, how I feel, what I think, and what research I'm doing . I woke up this morning. I spent over an hour researching. I'm just sharing with you everything I know myself. Personally, my goal and the goal of my students is to outperform the S&P 500 index.
I don't compare myself to others, I look at how to get better every day. This is exactly what you should do. If you earned 2,000, 3,000, or any other amount this month, you should aim to earn a little more next month and in subsequent periods. This is the goal of trading. This is the goal of achieving financial freedom.
You want your passive income to grow steadily. I believe in the steady growth of passive income. I'm not a fan of having $3,000 one month, $50,000 the next, and then minus $12,000 the month after that. What is the benefit of this? You can't travel the world. You can't live the way you want to. You can't quit your job, your career, your boss, right?
You can't fire your boss if you don't have a stable income. So my goal is to outperform the S&P 500 as much as possible, because that's my benchmark. Of course? I compare myself to the S&P 500 index and to myself. How can I make fewer mistakes? How do I continue to buy innovative companies at a fair price?
How do I buy companies below fair value at a good price? For me, that means selling put options and buying companies at a much better price, my friends. So, let's move on to my portfolio. I'll show you how I work with Nvidia, as I have several positions here. Okay , let's move on to Nvidia. So, Nvidia shares.
I have three different strategies in this portfolio. The first strategy I use is the " iron condor". I have a video on my channel about "iron condors." This is one of the best ways to grow a small portfolio. I sell " iron condors" for profit. OK. The Iron Condor is based on two different factors. Yes.
It is based on the sale of call credit spreads and put credit spreads. The call- credit spread is simply an option spread, and the put- credit spread is also simply an option spread. If you want to imagine it in the simplest way: I sell the "iron condor" because I sell both call options and put options.
I'm selling both because I believe Nvidia will stay in a certain price range. Let me explain what I mean . Because, obviously, Nvidia has high volatility. So when people say, " Hey, Henry, you're trading the iron condor." "You must have lost your mind. " No, I have a lot of experience and I know what I'm talking about.
Let me explain everything to you in a little more detail. Let me get my computer. I'll show you what's what . I'll show you how to make money, how to literally print money, and how to do technical analysis. It's actually very simple. I want to show you my train of thought. If I open the Nvidia chart, I'll just overlay the indicators and go to Bollinger Bands.
Friends, I use Bollinger Bands because I have a degree in statistics. My degrees are in finance, economics, data analysis or business analytics, and statistics. It's all the same thing , right? All three spheres are, in fact, relatives. Data analytics. I am a master in statistics and data. I love numbers.
I was good at math since childhood. I sat and played a lot of math games. So, here you have the best trainer on YouTube. Subscribe, because now I will put money in your pocket. Nvidia, look at the Bollinger Bands. They expanded. However, it is quite clear that the lower limit of the Bollinger Band is 101.
You see it right here, right? 101. That means Nvidia won't fall below 101, guys. That is, Nvidia will not fall below 101. Given the Bollinger Bands, this is very unlikely. Bollinger Bands are based on simple statistics. Statistics say that since Nvidia is unlikely to fall below 101, it will likely stay higher.
This means, friends, that selling a put option below 100 is the right way to go. This is exactly why I sold the 100 and 98 put options. There are a few more reasons, but I'm trying to give you the simplest possible train of thought so you can copy me and print money. I want everything to be as simple as possible so that everyone can do it.
You don't need to buy my paid apps or anyone else's. I give you everything for free because I care and I love what I do. I am very passionate about my work. So here's all you need to do, guys. If you want to get into Nvidia, don't buy it at the current price. Although, of course, you can. What I did was this: I closed half of my position.
Uh, I bought about 2,000 shares at the current price and then sold a few different options. Of course? So, I sold the 98 strike puts. Guys, that's all you need to do. You don't have to watch a bunch of videos about Nvidia, because if you sell puts to get in, you get an advantage. You get the best price.
100 is the lower limit of the Bollinger Band. And look at the moving average here. In fact, it is not a moving average. These are just lines I drew. Let me move on to the moving average. Now I want to look at the 30-day moving average because I want to see the average over 30 days. And so you see, it's at 115.
I don't know if we'll get back to 115 anytime soon, guys. I am not a market forecaster. I'm not the kind of person who's going to sit here and pretend they know what's going to happen in the market in the short term. I don't know. I have a very good understanding of what can happen in the long term and an even better understanding of how to make money selling options.
So you see the stock is now at 106. I'd be very happy to buy it at 100. And, uh, let's quickly get back to my position on the iron condors. 105—this is the lower limit of my iron condor. I opened this position a long time ago. So the Bollinger Band was a little different back then. But I'm still out of the money.
So I'm still excited and doing very, very well as I hold this position until 9/20. Maybe I will manage this position. Maybe I'll close it. We'll see. For now, I remain patient because patience pays off . You must be patient. You must control your emotions. OK. So, I'm very optimistic about this position.
I also have some credit spreads on the put. I'm a "bull" on Nvidia. And I also sold puts with a strike of 98. Innovation , guys, everything happens very quickly at Nvidia. So, friends, this channel has all the videos you need. Selling puts, covered calls, iron condors —you should continue watching the videos on this channel to learn how to trade options profitably.
It literally changed my life. I want you to become more successful in options trading. And if you need anything, just write in the comments below. I want to help you and I want to see you succeed . So see you in the next video.
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