저자: 숨투자 · 한국인
요약 보기
TQQQ를 178주 중 일부 매도(첫 회 $45)해 384만원 수익 실현, 잔여 3658만원 보유. 나스닥100 지수가 2년 전 고점 부근이라 판단해 20%씩 상승할 때마다 30주씩 분할 매도, 12차 매도가는 $334(과거 고점 $89의 약 4배)로 설정. 고점 대비 30% 하락 시 재매수 계획. 심리적 안정과 포트폴리오 분산 목적을 강조하며 개별주 매수 사실도 언급.
다듬은 글
My last purchase was last October, so this is my first trade in nine months. This time, I sold. Yes, I am revealing the TQQ knotting method for the absolute coward. In the first round, I sold 178 shares at $45. This generated a profit of 3.84 million won, and I still hold 36.58 million won worth of TQ.
Why did I sell? I don't know anything about news, market conditions, or anything like that. I don't even understand the meaning. The reason I sold was because of QQ. Why did I sell when QQ was performing so poorly? The QQ, the underlying index, is on the verge of hitting its previous high from two years ago.
That is why I sold. I have mentioned this often on my channel: the index will reach its previous high no matter what happens. This isn't a conviction or a belief; it's just a fact. Just a fact. Anyway, from now on, I will sell whenever it rises by 20%. As shown in this table, if it rises 20%, I will sell 30 shares; if it rises another 20%, I will sell another 30 shares.
If I sell in this manner, the actual profit for each instance is as shown, and the remaining amount after selling is as shown. Looking at this table, in the 12th round... I am selling across the board, and the 12th selling price is $334. This is about four times the previous high of $89 from two years ago.
Looking at the chart, I noticed that historically, TQ tends to fall when it rises about three times its previous high. So, I set the 12th selling price at four times the previous high. Of course, I don't think these statistics will repeat in the future, which is why I sell in installments. Eventually, it might fall again.
I don't know when that will be, but it could fall anyway. I plan to start buying again if it drops 30% from the peak after my last sale. How did I buy over the past year? I did it this way: I set a range and increased my purchase amount whenever it dropped significantly. If you are curious about my buying method, please click the card at the top to check it out.
Now, why do I use such an unusual method? There are two reasons. First, TQ is a really good product. It is a very attractive product that exhibits high volatility. However, I want to invest in such a highly volatile or very risky product more safely, even if the profit is a bit small. And above all, I really dislike this.
Profit for a whole two years... I really hate seeing the money I had in mind vanish into thin air. I really hate seeing my assets cut to one-fifth of their peak value. That is why I recommend selling in installments while the stock is rising. By doing this, I think I can be freed from the pain of seeing the money I thought was profit and my valuation shrink to one-fifth of its original size.
This gives me a comfortable sense of psychological stability. The second reason is that TQ is just one part of my portfolio. Even if I act like a coward in TQ and the profits are n't huge, I can just make a profit from other assets, right? I don't think there is any need to stake everything on TQ. So, I bought some individual stocks this time; I will explain in detail which stocks I bought and why in the next video.
Whenever I sell, I set a specific timeframe. This way, since I already sold near the peak, I don't think I'll end up regretting later that I should have sold then. However, if the stock price rises without a correction, of course I would feel regretful, since I could have made a lot of money if I had just stayed put.
I don't think any specific strategy is necessarily only bad or only good. The most important thing is whether it suits you. And you must choose what fits you for yourself. Naturally, accordingly... I will likely have to give up some things, but what I chose was smooth cash flow, and what I sacrificed was a significant portion of a bull market without corrections.
A strategy that helps you avoid a situation you absolutely want to avoid, or a strategy that helps you achieve the situation you absolutely want— which one would you choose? I am quite a coward. So, in my case, I think I would choose a strategy to avoid the worst, even if I don't achieve the best. That is all for today's video. I wish you all successful investing. Thank you.
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