저자: JimCramer · 외국인
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엔비디아는 연초 대비 큰 상승 후 조정 가능성이 제기되며, 크레이머는 3월 GTC 이벤트 전까지 기다리는 것을 권함. 브로드컴·마벨 등 커스텀 칩 수요 확대가 엔비디아를 대체하기보다 공존한다는 시각이 다수. 중국 반독점 조사 리스크와 엔비디아 주가 조정(약 $132) 언급. 장기적으로 AI 슈퍼사이클 지속 전망.
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is NVIDIA falling into correction territory yesterday as we said relatively flat over 6 months Jim you said don't buy yet no look I I think that we're in one of those periods ou comes the right one now more the Outlook Jvel the where is Nidia stand he goes look I Brom is part of Nvidia so is marll it depends on who using Marella' some people no we actually do I had no idea well e at we say no long is up huge SL for 6 week W of and in an industry where fortunes rise and fall with the tick of the clock one name consistently ignites spirited discussions among investors Nvidia an eye popping 174% surge in value this year stands Testament to its remarkable Ascent yet amidst the Euphoria comes a word of caution from Jim Kramer the renowned CNBC stalwart who suggests that the semiconductor Titan might be teetering on the brink of a market correction but what is triggering this ominous prediction and why is China's gaze turning ever more scrutinous towards Nvidia keep reading as we unravel the s involving nvidia's acquisition of melanox Technologies and what these developments could mean for its future trajector BR right BR people didn't realize that broom was in okay they're in the hyperscalers and Mar look the Marvell announcement that Matt Murphy was buying okay Matt Murphy is the very calm very exciting Triathlon I you know I'll beat you no matter what guy and he kept trying to say look it's happening the inflection is happening inflection is happening I don't think he got the the word so then he just went and bought a million dollars with the stock in the market 72 reported 77 and said listen if you don't believe me here's a million bucks and that was his money put in okay at cancel 10B and put it in the form four and that was the bottom and that was a very important thing now he made this announcement about Amazon and I don't think people realize what the Amazon announcement was basically saying is look we're going to use our own uh chip we're going to have custom silicon designed by marll and we're going to use Nvidia too and there is no still no distance between Nvidia from both sides when I speak to Amazon I speak to Nvidia no one is saying that Nvidia is being displaced everyone is saying we can't get enough Nvidia so we have to take action part of that is because of the super cycle which Matt uh described to you last night take a listen to this as the trading floors Buzz with speculation and excitement one cannot Overlook Jim Kramer's recent warning about Nvidia to his followers on X in a market that often seems like a walk on the tight RPP Kramer scribed still no Crescendo moment in Nvidia it will happen just just not yet the reversal will be vicious though and fast those words Echo like a suspenseful pause in a symphony hinting at a looming tonic that could ReSound through investment portfolios worldwide lately nvidia's stock saw a minor dip of 1.68% closing at $132 this slight Tremor comes amidst intensified scrutiny from Chinese authorities who are diving deep into nvidia's 2020 acquisition of melanox techn IES the Anti-Trust investigation examines if Nvidia through potentially anti-competitive practices limits competition by bundling its AI chips with melanox nvlink he put out his litany but I remember when he took this company over it was in tatters and they were going to get delisted I I kind of urged him not to take it I said look you know don't take this company but there were some other people involved who also helped him and it was a remarkable thing he came in reinvented this company no one believed him no one believed finally they believe him Hawk Tan on the other hand David is not you know he came on in September for mad money that's a 6:00 and we were out out in San Francisco and he said look I've got it it's the orders are coming no one believed him either the only people any the only person anyone believe was Jensen W so now Jensen's quiet and people are saying well Jensen must be something must be wrong correction territory correction t i I went to a bottle sonning for my wife's mcow and there was a guy weekend you yeah there was a guy yes the total wine and mo in Cherry Hill which I recommend number six largest store and there was a guy who had made and proved it to me $100 million on Nvidia by buying it when I changed my dog's name from1 million did he buy any mcow he bought one bottle my wife said why didn't you just buy the damn company we get out of this thing one bottle just in time for the tequila tariffs one 100 million bucks I'll buy a bottle you know he gave us you told us when he bought it how much and you look that's this is what happened now that chart does not show you the truth of Nvidia no you got to go back to 2010 to see the truth of Nvidia the truth and then you can't handle the truth I always like that yeah and what what you have is a stock that you could go down third okay well I move it over a little left a little so you have the peak here no that's not the PE the P that's 20 that's 20 years well anyway you can see that it can go now thank you it can go down quite a bit and people will freak out every two points we will have this discussion many times looking deeper industry analysts such as TF securi mingi kuo speculate that the investigation might mirror qualcomm's past 15-month Anti-Trust ordeal in China although China accounts for just 5% of nvidia's data center Revenue the implications of regulatory Spotlight are significant kuo advises vigilance especially regarding nvidia's Cuda platform underscoring a broader scope of screw nvidia's Supremacy in the AI chip sector remains Undisputed showcased by a staggering third quarter revenue report of $35.1 billion a 94% hike from the previous year Nvidia sits majestically with a market cap of $321 trillion trading at a PE ratio of 53 Wall Street remains bullish with 40 analysts projecting an average price target of $ 170.56 interestingly Rosen blat Securities sour highest with a target of $220 contrasted by New Street research's more conservative low of $120 as reported by benzinga such disparity reveals the range of opinions that nvidia's volatile Brilliance provokes yet the majority lean towards optimis I guess with Nvidia doing what it has recently raises a question how vulnerable is NVIDIA in the short and medium term to the Market's overall risk sentiment I mean Nvidia is lower since the election right hi John thanks for having me I think Nvidia um so is our topic for uh for next year we like broadcom and Marvel uh for that matter as well because these three companies are ideally positioned uh to capitalize on the demand for AI uh infrastructure I think specific to Nvidia there are two issues that are uh have been affecting it near term one is uh the execution on the new Blackwell uh product uh you know the last two quarters they have reported uh there have been some uh production issues with black Bel that they have resolved then there were some delays in getting it out uh to hyperscalers and I think those will also be resolved so in in our perspective this is actually a very attractive opportunity uh to look at uh Nvidia because these concerns will be uh shortterm in uh nature when we look longer term uh and look at the um situation that broadcom mentioned that in the next few years there could be greater demand for custom chips I don't think that is inconsistent with the way we have thought about the market which is about 80% of the market will be Merchant accelerators where Nvidia will dominate and about 15 to 20% of the market will be more custom chips where um Marvel and broadcom I think will do extremely well so we think of these as very compliment m in nature and some of the issues around Nvidia we think are very uh short-term and the stock is trading at a very attractive valuation right now in light of the existing conditions and future forecasts investors face a tantalizing dilemma should they hold Nvidia stock amidst potential turbulence or capitalize on its burgeoning AI prospects despite regulatory headwinds the firm's solid Market foundation and optimistic price targets suggest a promising future currently Nvidia stands at a critical juncture balancing its remarkable achievements with impending Market uncertainties forecasts point to continued growth albeit not without potential pitfalls embracing Nvidia might be akin to dancing with a spirited partner at a Gala exhilarating yet unpredictable before you decide on your investment stance consider what this Saga means for the broader Market landscape do you foresee a crescendo for NVIDIA or will the notes fall silent share your thoughts and join the convers
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