If You Hold Nvidia (NVDA) Stock… GET READY!

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엔비디아는 최근 1개월 +2%로 부진했으나 6개월 +86%. 미국 애리조나 블랙웰 칩 생산(10/17)과 NScale-마이크로소프트 약 20만개 칩 공급 계약(최대 140억달러)이 호재. 11/18 실적발표(데이터센터·마진·중국 규제 주목). 헤지펀드 13F 매수 확대, CUDA 생태계 락인, 블랙웰 B200 성능 우위, AI 인프라 투자 2027년 5000억달러 전망 근거로 강한 매수 의견. 시가총액 4.4조달러 → 6~12개월 내 5조달러 전망.

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. Nvidia right now is at a very crucial inflection point. In the last month, it's only up 2%. But here's the kicker. Here's a really big kicker. Six months, it's up 86%. So, in the last one month, performance has not been good. This is actually a signal for me that things may take off on a technical level and on a fundamental level as well.

02. I want to cover the stock. So, let's not waste any time. Let's jump right into it. First of all, on October 17th, Nvidia and TSMC revealed the first Blackwell chip wafer produced in the US, Phoenix, Arizona to be specific, marking a major step in onshoring advanced AI chips production. And that is some crazy news because now this is basically what government wanted.

03. This is what um president wanted. He wanted basically more US production, less competition from China, Taiwan, etc. Right? So large ship supply deal. So this is some really big news and I believe this can help Nvidia take off in the near future as well as large chip supply deal with Microsoft via the UK firm Nscale.

04. So on October 15th, more crazy news. A deal was announced involving UK firm Nscale supplying about 200,000 NVIDIA AI chips for a Microsoft deployment estimated to be worth up to $14 billion in potential revenue. What the implication here is is essentially Nvidia is demonstrating to us as investors the continued strong demand for hardware in hyperscaler AI and data center builds.

05. This is amazing news. If you are a holder, you better get ready because Nvidia has not had the craziest one month, but over the next 6 months, I think that even if we have a pretty normal return for Nvidia, a normal return is actually a massive return. meaning that the stock can gain, you know, 20, $30, $40 per share potentially as gains.

06. And I think the market cap right now sitting at $4.4 trillion. I would not be surprised to see it at 5 trillion in the next, you know, six to to 12 months. This is very notable stuff in terms of partnerships, but also in the next month, we have an earnings release. So Q3 2026 earnings will be after the close on November 18th.

07. I'm going to be watching out for essentially revenue growth. Okay, obviously obviously revenue growth, but specifically from data center and AI servers. So that's going to be very big and the margins because revenue is cool, but what are they bringing home? What is the cold hard cash that they're taking down to the bottom line?

08. So I'm going to be looking at the margin trend. I'm going to be looking at guidance for supply chain such as the chips and wafers side of the business and any commentary on China or export restrictions. Of course, you know, that's an issue, right? So we want to make sure that Nvidia makes a ton of money.

09. So the reason why uh this really matters right now and why I think we're at an inflection point for Nvidia is there's a lot of strong demand from NScale Microsoft deal and that supports a really bullish thesis that I have in the growth of AI infrastructure. So if you also look at hedge funds and fund managers, they are buying.

10. They are buying right now. Hand over fist, bicep over tricep. The biggest funds in the world are still loading up on this AI leader. And even after across $4 trillion, the the funds, they're they're not really stopping. They're not stopping to buy. They're still buying all kinds all sorts and all kinds of shares from Nvidia.

11. So look, David Ter, uh, Michael Platt, Philip Lefont, they they all boosted their Nvidia holdings last quarter. Now, this is some very specific details because when we look into the 13F filings, and that's what the hedge funds have to post every quarter. When I see the biggest hedge fund managers buying and they're buying in in wheelbarrels, they're like, "Let me get more." That's really, really good stuff.

12. So their conviction to me suggests that Wall Street and retail investors of course a lot of us have Nvidia that uh there's a lot of belief that Nvidia could evolve into 5 trillion 8 trillion 10 trillion in the future. Obviously 10 trillion is going to take time. It's going to take a lot of time but if it takes 5 years that's actually good.

13. That's a good amount of time. That's not crazy. So Nvidia dominates in competitor its competitors because it doesn't really just sell chips. It sells the complete AI ecosystem all of it from from the a toz basically it's cuda software platform developer tools uh optimized AI frameworks they have created a moat which is super powerful that's what Warren Buffett talks about a strong mode is hard to to uh compete with okay that's what keeps the business syncing okay so created a really strong mode for Nvidia that really Intel they can't copy that they can't they're way behind AMD's doing okay, but still uh of course Nvidia is the king, the absolute king.

14. So another thing is there's a couple reasons why Nvidia is better than all the the competition to be specific and why you should be holding. I think my opinion is you should be holding Nvidia in riding further momentum. Right now the one month return is is slow but in 2 3 months after we get earnings we could see a huge rise in the stock.

15. Um, so you better get ready. If you're an Nvidia shareholder, I think we're going to grow your net worth. If you're not an Nvidia shareholder, you should be investing in my opinion. Okay. The reason why Nvidia is better and why it has a competitive advantage and why I like it as a business is because the software lockin that they have with the CUDA advantage, right?

16. So over 4 million developers and 40,000 plus AI models are built on Nvidia's CUDA stack. Very important infrastructure. Now the training that they have so training a model on CUDA makes it really difficult and super expensive to switch to a competitor whether it's AMD or Intel. So that's a massive network effect similar to something like Palunteer once they get in they're in.

17. Same thing with Nvidia. Like when a when people or companies or really anyone invests a lot into something, it's hard to switch. Whether that's financial or whether that's emotional, right? You got a relationship long time. Yeah. It you are locked in, right? And we as humans, that's really natural, right?

18. When we invest, it doesn't make sense to really invest elsewhere. Okay. So that's that's really important from the business angle and the human psychology angle of why I think Nvidia is going to continue making a lot of revenue and the stock is going to do very well because you know look competitors they sell hardware but really Nvidia sells a whole entire platform.

19. They sell everything. So when I look at performance and and uh the the production the production quality of Nvidia like their latest Blackwell GPU the B200 it delivers 2.5 times the performance of its previous H100 and it remains 6 to 12 months ahead of AMD and realworld benchmark. So by staying ahead that's really important.

20. I recently posted a video of four stocks that I like and one of them was Meta. And when I what I was talking about with Meta was that Mark Zuckerberg is taking on massive risk by investing hundreds of billions of dollars into he's into like AI chip. If I overspend or I misspend, it's all good because the risk of not overspending is greater than the risk of overspending.

21. So very very interesting stuff and that's basically Mark's Mark Zuckerberg saying that being earlier few months is the difference between everything and with trading the the high frequency trading a couple seconds makes a deal a big deal. a couple milliseconds with uh with AI obviously a month is is huge.

22. So when I look at uh Nvidia, they control 85% of the AIG GPU market and it chips power nearly every single major LLM including chat GPT, Gemini and Claude. So Nvidia sets a standard that really others chase that others others want to be like Nvidia. They want they wish they wish not even close. So what I also like about Nvidia is their vertical integration and partnership.

23. So Nvidia dominates from hardware, software, data center infrastructure and they partner with Microsoft and Amazon and Google um Oracle and and uh and Tesla. So um that's great and it's DGX system. So networking Melanex and AI cloud services make it a one-stop shop for AI compute. It's not just a chip company, it's really an AI operating system for the entire world.

24. So I'm mega bullish like if you ask me and look look just look at the facts. AI workloads are expected to grow 30x by 2030, feeling massive demand for chips, data centers, and infrastructure, meaning that the true economic impact hasn't even started yet. Like, it really is still in the early innings.

25. So, I think that the company's going to be worth some big numbers in terms of like labor productivity. An article like I was reading from Goldman Sachs basically said that AI could increase global GDP by 7%. Which is about $7 trillion over the next decade. So obviously that's $7 trillion. Wow. I like Goldman Sachs.

26. I used to work there. Spent some time there as an analyst in the private wealth management department. And I saw a lot of portfolios that were invested in options and hedging their in in hedging using options and income strategies. And I've seen seen the whole wheelhouse of everything. And I think innovative companies or the CEOs that were growing a lot, they got the wealthiest.

27. So, it's really like where you were invested, what asset class, and what stocks. And that's why I'm covering Nvidia. It's an opportunity that I don't want you to miss on. I don't want you to miss on it. I think it deserves Shoot, you can break the 10% rule, you can go 20% on Nvidia. As long as you're hedging, using option strategies to generate income on it.

28. Hedging it properly, I think 20% is fine. Like, it makes up a big part of the index anyways. So, that's the thing right now. Um one thing uh that I'm also looking at is generative AI can automate 25% of current work tasks especially in sectors like finance, law, marketing and healthcare. So these will be absolutely demanding a whole lot of AI.

29. So, if you ask me like, should you buy Nvidia? Like, my strong strong belief opinion, right? Not a financial advisor, just a guy on the internet doing lots of research, helping I've helped like 3,000 people learn how to option trade at this point. But my opinion is Nvidia is a buy and this thing is going to go up faster than you can believe.

30. My belief is absolutely yes because Blackwell chip cycle is explosive upgrade demand just a lot of innovation global AI infrastructure boom like even after China's exit AI AI data center um uh spending worldwide is still set to exceed $500 billion by 2027. So we got two years we're going to go up from $140 billion and that's again another article I was reading at Goldman Sachs recently like you know looking it up.

31. So Nvidia really they have so much control over the GPU market and they're going to be benefiting a lot a lot. So what this means is they're just going to make a ton of money. So Nvidia has already run to a 4 trillion plus market cap. We're at 4.5 trillion. And yet really I think the world's biggest investors are still buying it up.

32. They're still putting more money in it. So what does that tell you? What does that tell you? You should do right if the big money and the smart money is going there. I'm I'm just looking where the money's money's flowing. where the money's flowing. I want to get a little piece of that. All right, jokes aside, the question is whether Nvidia will grow in the short term, and that's hard to say.

33. But in a month or so, if you get in earlier than earnings now, it'll set you up really well to just continue to ride the AI revolution. I'm not trying to time the market. I can't do that. But if you think that AI is already priced in, man, I think you're wrong. I think you're wrong. I think there's still a lot more more to come, right?

34. Nvidia, Microsoft, and a handful of other others are capturing a lot of AI value. So Nvidia is one of my top plays. You know, maybe Microsoft something that I can look into a little bit further as well, but I just like Nvidia a lot. Data center buildout is still going and AI adoption curve really kind of mirrors past revolutions.

35. So just like electricity or the internet or really like the biggest gains that came from Yeah. from the internet, I kind of see that in AI. I see AI right now kind of in this inflection point. So I think Nvidia is at the inflection point. So this is a this is a stock that I think man get ready. This thing's about to run.

36. I think more momentum. So, let's make some money. Let's stay safe. Make sure you subscribe to the channel. Watch some more videos I got on option trading here on my playlist. And I'll catch you in the next one.