저자: TomLee · 외국인
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엔비디아는 블랙웰 칩 출시와 빅테크 채택으로 AI 수요가 강하며 밸류에이션이 비싸지 않다고 주장. 수출규제 우려는 일시적 악재로 봄. 과거 엔비디아를 매도해 큰 기회를 놓쳤다는 후회를 언급하며 현재는 재진입 전 가격 조정을 기다리는 입장. 기술주 전반 12개월 내 25~30% 상승 전망.
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s a breaking news in the stock market and its electrifying Nvidia a Titan in the AI Revolution is making waves with its groundbreaking technology and the buzz is impossible to ignore with their recent unveiling of the game-changing Blackwell AI chip nvidia's stock has skyrocketed sparking Intrigue and drawing investers like moths to a flame but that's not all giants like alphabet Amazon and micro rosoft have already lined up to incorporate nvidia's latest Innovation however the headlines have also whispered about potential export restrictions by the US causing a ripple in the market will this be just a blip in nvidia's onward March or could it signal a deeper impact stick around as we dive into the fascinating Confluence of cuttingedge technology and fluctuating stock fortunes starring companies that are shaping tomorrow's digital landscape today welcome back everyone to invest ocy all let's stick with the chips and talk about Nvidia because Nvidia right now coming off a fresh record high you can see in the pre-market at least off just about 710 of a per Yahoo finances Jared blicker is here with a breakdown of what the technicals are telling us Jared thank you shaa indeed we we did get that record closing High yesterday still don't have a record inaday high but I wanted to show you what's happened over the last month we've got this really nice liftoff since basically the end of September but we're still within a very large trading range and this goes back back five or 6 months uh depending on how you slice and dice it but we are right there back at the Rubicon I would expect I would strongly suspect that we managed to get another intraday high but record high but the question is are we going to have a false breakout because that's on a lot of Traders Minds uh it's something that really hasn't happened with Nvidia in a long time happens with Bitcoin all the time uh but it's a possibility so if I put a threeyear chart on we can see that there have been several instances of consolidation in 2023 that was uh 6 or seven months the entire back half of the year it didn't take off again until 2024 so we've seen this before and Traders they're just trying to ascertain all right are we going to able to punch through and maintain that momentum well things are looking pretty good for some of the uh broader indices here I'm going to show you the NASDAQ 100 and here's the NASDAQ 100 year to date it's not quite at a record high just yet um but here's a NASDAQ 100 equal weight it just notched a record high yesterday along with the S&P 500 equal weight um so my point is we have a lot of momentum to the upside and a lot of breadth I think it would be uncharacteristic to have uh Nvidia sucker traders in only to have it go down but we have seen that happen before and um I guess the difference being that Nvidia is always resolved to the upside so uh eventually there's going to be a fake out that kind of catches Traders but uh you did mention in the intro that uh Nvidia is about to take overtake apple and I just wanted to show those numbers for you I'm going to put market cap this is a NASDAQ 100 here's Apple 3.15 uh 3516 Bill trillion trillion dollar and here's Nvidia sitting at 3386 trillion guys all right Yahoo finance Zone Jared blicky Jared thanks so much appreciate the technical breakdown there on nvda let's unpack the Whirlwind journey of Nvidia a Colossus that straddles the tectonic plates of AI and Innovation over the past several months nvidia's stock trajectory has resembled a roller coaster zigzagging with gusto their Crown Jewel the Revolutionary Blackwell AI chip sent a bolt of excitement through the financial markets as CEO Jensen hang aptly put it the demand for Blackwell is simply insane this sentiment was mere embellishment the chip can operate large language models with staggering cost and Energy Efficiency outperforming its predecessor the hopper platform it's no wonder alphabet Amazon and meta platforms among others were quick to integrate Blackwell into their infrastructure this strategic alignment isn't just about tech compatibility it's about future proofing in an age dictated by AI advances let's pause here for a touch of humor if stocks were students Nvidia would be the kid who aced every exam but still managed to surprise everyone with an even higher test score when you thought you'd seen it all beyond the direct customers nvidia's stock trajectory has captivated wall Street's finest analysts have projected an average 12-month price Target increase of nearly 14% with one daring Optimist predicting a whopping 55% uptick why the unflagging optimism simply put nvidia's dominance in the AI chip Market is as unmatched as it is unrivaled it's like the heavyweight champion of the tech world with its GPU prowess leading many to dubb it the gold standard of AI training and deploymen trillion doll market cap I mean that's a huge statement to make uh what's the thesis behind that for NVIDIA hitting that level I mean look you have a trillion dollars of AI driven capex they're the only game in town numbers We Believe go up significantly higher I think the Street's still underestimating in terms of what ultimate demand looks like like here and I think as this all plays out it is not an expensive stock and I think when you look next 6 12 months not just about Nvidia but I think rest of tech you know we believe Tech could be up 25 30% over the next year can AMD catch up at all to Nvidia look Lisa Su you never bet against T I mean they will be a clear beneficiary in terms on the chip side I mean a lot of that we won't see for another 18 months but I don't believe a lot of that AI is being built into AMD I think AMD is going to be a clear beneficiary and look th this is a big enough ocean for more than two boats I mean we are seeing a 1995 almost 1996 moment but this is not a 199 1999 Tech bubble moment I think that's why a lot of the Bears are going back in the hibernation mode Market analysts such as Joseph from Morgan Stanley have solidified nvidia's status as a long-term investment sweetheart citing the soldout status of Blackwell gpus as a harbinger of enduring success Nvidia under the astute leadership of Jensen hang is not merely riding the AI Wave It's actively shaping it the digits back it up reportables from nvidia's fiscal quarters showcase soaring revenues with the second quarter alone registering a 122% leap due to AI chip demand nvidia's unique leverage lies not not just in cuttingedge Hardware but also in its comprehensive ecosystem an accelerated Computing company with the capacity to transform data centers in profound ways a decade long Legacy of GPU programming innovation has cemented its dominance boasting an enviable 98% market share and data center gpus yet amidst the accolades and achievements a shadow looms in the form of potential us export restrictions on Advanced AI chips to select Middle Eastern Nations Bloomberg's Revelation injected a bout of certainty still Market experts generally view this as a transient hiccup rather than a derailment of nvidia's overall momentum this cautious Outlook is shared even though nvidia's valuation might incite a pause for investors given its nuances of volatility nevertheless there remains an undeniable Allure to nvda as reflected in the positive sentiment on Wall Street in Ju a position with Nvidia lies arm Holdings another semiconductor stalwart however despite arms impressive gains and influence Market position Wall Street analysts exude confidence in nvidia's upward trajectory more so than arm a while ago we spoke about Nvidia and you had said that it would some be something that you held for years and ever since then you held it for a while but more recently you have been selling it off how much do you have left of it and why have you been selling can you see yourself getting back into it again I've made so many mistakes in my investment career one of them was I sold all my Nvidia um probably in somewhere between 800 and 950 I think it's 1,300 on that stock now you ow none today I own none and I I own none the last 400 points it was a big mistake uh in terms of AI and by the way when I when I saw you at that conference which was 18 months ago I fully expected to own it for years but I think it was 300 in change and um as I also said at a media interview I'm not Warren Buffett so I thought I thought I was going but what changed is it tripled in a year and I I thought the valuation was rich we are big term long-term Believers in Ai and there's still many ways we're playing AI particularly the infrastructure that's been built out to support the power needed uh and yes I think Nvidia is a wonderful company and where the price to come down we get involved again but right now I'm licking my wounds from a bad sale there in conclusion nvidia's rise is more than just a fleeting headline or a stock ticker anomaly it's a testament to the transformative power of AI and Technology with a clear pathway for growth grounded in its unparalleled AI chipset infrastructure Nvidia presents a formidable case for investors the forecasts speak for themselves with reports projecting substantial earnings growth pretta Apu the future rise in Nvidia stock where does Nvidia stand now you ask firmly at the Forefront exuding both raw potential and proven capability surpassing its competitors it's positioned to capture the Lion Share of a burgeoning AI Market surely the fervor for NVIDIA isn't just Market chatter it's reflected in its robust fundamentals and strategic Acquisitions before wrapping up let let's pivot to you the viewer what are your thoughts on nvidia's strategic moves and Market prospects is nvidia's stock a must have in your portfolio or would you wait out the volatility share your insights and join the conversation because in the ever evolving world of stock trading your perspective is just as captivating as the latest tick
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