저자: TomLee-제목기준추정,채널설명란없음 · 외국인
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엔비디아는 3개월 이상 횡보 중이며 최근 6개월 S&P500은 상승. 연준 금리인하 이후 3~6개월은 긍정적으로 봄. 대선(40일 남음)을 앞두고 기관 자금이 관망 중이라 단기 반등은 지연될 수 있으나 선거 후 랠리 기대. 엔비디아는 높은 마진(60~75%)·성장률·혁신으로 장기 성장 지속 전망, 목표가 상향 애널리스트 의견 인용. 지수 목표가 6,000은 밸류에이션 부담으로 즉시 제시하기 어렵지만 3~6개월 후 매력적이라 봄.
다듬은 글
the socks was up 1.3% roughly you had a pretty good day for NVIDIA believe you're getting uh Micron results fairly the close after the close um how do you read that Mike in terms of one day we care and the next day we kind of don't I mean again for the part of the market that for much of the year was the driving force sure sure um I mostly read it as and this sounds really deterministic but the market has kind of decided that we're comfortable with the levels you don't have aggressive selling at S&P 57 and change just yet um and so on a given day if the macro cooperates you know if we have to rely on the handful of semi- stocks that look like they're relatively oversold you got this headline out of you know not even a headline just the story that Jensen Wong maybe is going to slow his P his sale plan yeah I mean or stop it for now I mean that shouldn't really matter it wasn't really uh a huge swing factor in terms of the the value of the stock on offer uh for but nonetheless it was a pretty good excuse for that to work um I think it's much more about you know on a given day it's either Banks and small caps working or it's uh the Magnificent 7 Banks and small caps working really relies on soft landing and fed cutting rates the rest of it just reminds relies on the mood about you know the long-term secular growth story in the world of tech where Innovation meets high stakes a new Titan has been making an unprecedented climb capturing the imagination and wallets of investors worldwide enter Nvidia a company that has recently hit record highs in the stock market its meteoric rise powered by triple digigit earnings growth has positioned it as a key player in the booming field of artificial intelligence with top performing chips and comprehensive AI Solutions Nvidia has become a go-to choice for Tech enthusiasts and investors alike but this soaring success raises the question can Nvidia sustain its blistering Pace amid pressures from rival chip makers and Market challenges Giants in the tech world like Nvidia often face scrutiny yet there are Whispers of three overlooked elements poised to fortify nvidia's growth trajectory for years to come join us as we uncover what might just keep Nvidia at the top of its game in the AI age welcome back everyone to invest ocracy interesting today is the markets again being held up by Nvidia and the related Scrappy under I don't know what day of the week it is Mike but I do know the Market's been held up by Nvidia for about 2 years here's what I'm going to tell you since the end of the second quarter since June 30th nvidia's flat the Eco weighted S&P is up 8% so the rest of the market has come around to doing what everybody was calling for it to do which has broaden out since then now I I you do wonder if Nvidia now is getting a little bit of uh of respit here it's kind of churned around these same levels it's around the mid 120s uh this seems like you see that chart right there it could finally break this pattern of having uh you know kind of lower Peaks we'll see uh that to me is what the market is clinging to today to try and uh keep from a broader pullback cuz most stocks are down today speaking of AI UBS is highlighting some major headwinds hitting active managers according to the firm large cap managers have 4.4% exposure to Nvidia despite the chipmaker accounting for 6.6% of the S&P 500 and other words that's the biggest underweight position ever in Nvidia causing managers to underperform by about 130 basis points this year nvidia's Journey much like an Underdog Story began humbly with the sale of Graphics processing units or gpus to gaming fans however it wasn't long before the firm recognized the astonishing potential of its technology Beyond gaming charting a course into Diversified sectors these gpus celebrated for multitasking prowess became the Cornerstone in executing critical AI functions including model training and inferencing a realization that took nvidia's narrative from promising to phenomenal look at Nvidia now boasting a staggering 80% market share in the chip industry that's enough to make wall Street stand up and cheer but what's more Nvidia developed an all-encompassing ecosystem covering everything AI from A to Z if AI development were a stew Nvidia would be the chef with all the right ingredients while other chip makers are left stirring the pot wondering where half the ingredients went some analysts joke that betting against Nvidia right now is like betting against the rise of artificial intelligence good luck with that despite ascending Heights Skeptics have reignited the age-old debate can arise so Swift endur for NVIDIA that query converges on three critical factors the company's gross margin remarkable growth rate and Relentless Innovation beginning with margins a Marvel Nvidia consistently captures gross margins over 60% and present metrics indicate an ambitious 75% projection for upcoming quarters in the tech world where keeping costs below an elephant load is a victory Nvidia virtually rewrites the book with theirs with Innovations like the Blackwell architecture to debut amid high demand already outpacing Supply the resilience of nvidia's margins becomes nothing short of rocket fuel for ince the FED did their jumbo cut the market really hasn't done all that much except for one day last Thursday why uh well you know I think the FED Unleashed uh us on an easing cycle and that's going to be positive we know it's actually historically positive 3 months 6 months out but what stocks doing the next month is a bit of a coin flip and I think that's what we're seeing because there's some repositioning that took place and also we're now thinking about the 40 days into the election so does the fact that the election is but 40 days away sort of ruin the perfect scenario for stocks to get that post fed bump I I think it delays it um just because you know in in the conferences that I've been speaking speaking at and seeing wealth managers and family offices a lot don't want to commit Capital until after election day and it I don't think it matters who wins it's just they want to get that event behind them oh so you think we're going to have sort of a dash to the finish uh after election day is is out of the way yeah and that's pretty typical you know in fact uh in in election years the November December rallies are pretty tremendous and in fact when markets are up more than 10% in the first half you also get big rallies November December sort of choppy through September the second Point growth nvidia's Revenue growth boasts triple digits recently with even conservative forecasts of double-digit growth leaving competitors scrambling to catch up need proof nvidia's yearly projected upswing of 176% Demands more than the standard skepticism it invites awe yet it's Innovation the unyielding drive to stay ahead that anchors nvidia's longevity with a promise to release cuttingedge gpus annually Nvidia positions itself as the standard Bearer in technological advancement leaving competitors hitting the control Z on their playbooks trying to keep Pace their Hopper architecture improves continually ensuring deep backward compatibility for those adventurous Minds willing to Embark or continue with nvidia's offerings a scroll through financial news might reveal analyst Cent sentiments mirroring this optimistic Horizon for instance UBS recently elevated nvidia's price Target to $190 with a buy endorsement underscoring budding investor appetite similar positive forecasts from Goldman Sachs and B OFA Securities highlight bullish outlooks echoing the potential many see in Nvidia as more than just a market player it's a market pay Setter ou think investors are sold on the idea that this economy is going to make it it's going to make it through the fed's going to pull this off is any of what we've witnessed since fed day doubts about the bigger picture uh so far so good this Friday we get core pce and hopefully that confirms inflation is no longer on the front burner but I'd say one thing I've noticed is that the number of investors in professional money ERS that think we're already in a recession is very high and so I think the evidence just has to be better than expected and I think those views shift back to soft Landing well we've seen you know recently targets for the S&P Brian bsky I keep bringing him up because he's the most recent to rais his Target up to the highest now on the street I've asked you about you know the market lately you haven't sounded like you you'd be raising your own Target to a degree like that would you uh you know I I I think there is a lot of upside in the foreseeable future let's say 3 6 months out but for someone to tactically say we need to pin a 6,000 Target and then put money to work today I think it's harder to make that case because valuations um aren't on the cheaper end and we've already had a a fairly sizable move so I'm not saying I'm like bearish right now but to me uh I'm I have a lot more confidence saying 3 6 months out things are attractive especially things went like margin debt right it's it actually decreased in August meaning investors have been deleveraging it hasn't gone anywhere for the last four months at a time when markets are rising in conclusion nvidia's soaring narrative is underpinned by potent margins unyielding growth and Peerless Innovation for investors pondering the trajectory of this technological Dynamo nidia's present not only promises impressive yield but forecasts heightened potential demanding attention current Curr trading at Peaks like the scenic view from the top of AI mountain ranges Nvidia anticipates ongoing expansion fueled by ongoing advancements and robust market demand while concerns linger around pricing pressures and competitive incursions nvidia's strategic sturdiness invites a view Beyond short-term hurdles to embrace a well orchestrated future investors contemplating a portfolio boost may find Nvidia call irresistible embodying Innovation with tangible returns but what about you Intrepid Market Navigator does Nvidia unlock that buoyant Spirit of exploration within beckoning your investment nod share your thoughts and join the conversation on where you stand in nvidia's unfolding epic after all in the thrilling theater of stock perspectives are how we script histor







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