저자: Henry · 외국인
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엔비디아는 장기 승자주지만 단기 변동성이 커 진입가가 중요하다고 주장. 실적 후 급락 이후 트리플탑 저항(130)과 98달러 지지를 근거로 100달러 이하를 '선물'로 보고, 98달러 풋 매도로 저가 진입을 제안. 대형 조정 우려(반독점)는 과거 MS 사례로 무시. 강세 베팅을 유지하며 약세론자를 비판. 구독·디스코드 유도 포함.
다듬은 글
you got to know when to buy Nvidia stock if you don't know the proper entry you're going to lose money so make sure you listen to this video because I'm going over the outlook on Nvidia my strategy I'm going to give you a trade that I literally placed in my Discord Community for everyone which we are making money on so far and we need to talk about Nvidia because this stock has made a lot of millionaires it's also going to be possible that a lot of people lose money if they're trading Nvidia improperly because the volatility is high and there's a lot of opportunities right now I'm not here to waste your time so let's jump right into it a lot of billionaires are selling Nvidia right now there's a lot of doubts out there however smart investors are picking the proper entry price and their dollar cost averaging into Nvidia let me share with you some research right now personally I believe that Nvidia is a gift guys it is a gift between $80 to $100 per share which is why I'm selling puts for entry to get into Nvidia at $100 or less guys this stock is a steal at $100 or less I'll explain to you why first first of all I'm going to pull up some research right now guys keep in mind here's some facts based on history I'm not just a guy that's looking at the market today I'm looking and understanding the market on a bigger picture I have a degree in this I worked on Wall Street I'm bringing to you what an actual protrader a pro option investor thinks about each and every single stock because I pick my entries very carefully because if you pick a good stock for the wrong price you're not going to get a great return the good news is NVIDIA is a long-term winning stock guys it's a long-term winning stock which is likely to keep Rising so you guys are lucky because this stock has made many millionaires without even having to really do a lot of research but now it's a very critical period because we've seen a big pullback now listen keep in mind Regulators are always saying that they're going to break up a company part of the reason why Nvidia fell post earnings is because the antitrust subpoena all this type of legal stuff which I'm not an expert on I'm not going to pretend to be an expert on but look the facts are straight if you look at Microsoft right back if you guys remember if you've been trading for a while and if not just look at the history if you look at Microsoft back in 99 all right 1999 all right they were saying we're going to break up the company we've seen this over and over again guys but it typically doesn't happen and even if it does happen the companies are still going to figure out how to raise their stock value okay the current price of Nvidia in my opinion is very fair so looking at short-term volatility it's higher meaning it's a great time to be selling options for income that's how I've made a lot of my wealth which is selling options for income you actually don't need even the perfect entry on Nvidia because by selling a put option you literally get forced into an entry on Nvidia lower than the current stock price so I just want to show you guys on screen right now Nvidia $98 sellp put for $ 920 expiration okay you guys can see on the screen right here that back in September 4th all right this was like multiple days ago I recommended selling a put option on Nvidia why because Nvidia has a lot of volatility I am a little bit nervous to buy the stock right now and for good reason guys all the people out there that are recommending Nvidia over $120 per share that was a mistake okay I did not buy it pre- earnings I even told the Discord Community we're waiting after earnings by the way let me not pretend to be a genius it was 30% luck 70% I was internally uneasy about nvidia's earnings and I thought that this stock is a little bit hot okay because it's a little bit hot I decided that I'm going to wait until after earnings so you can say it's 100% skill or you know 30 50% luck what whatever however you mentally think about it I personally made the decision that I am not buying Nidia stock until after earnings after earnings the stock ended up crashing and then I still guys this is genius right here all right this will change your life all right instead of buying Nvidia stock post after it has fallen down I said to myself okay I want even a better entry all right I want an even better entry than the current stock price so what I ended up doing let me show you this right now nid is at $12 per share I have several different positions yeah I have some iron Condors I have some put spreads with part of my money it's not a lot of money but listen Nvidia has been hurting even though I've been very conservative and I've saved myself a lot of money guys a lot of money because I could have bought this stock you know we take a look at the one mon chart you know a lot of people were hype right here 120 12 128 I said no no no no that's a little too high for me right if you look at the year- to-day chart on Nvidia there's actually a triple top pattern all right it's very simple to understand Nvidia reached the high then it had a pullback why it it had a pretty good pullback from 135 down to 118 it doesn't really matter the reason why I can visually see simply on a chart without being a genius that the stock has resistance all right it is resisting going above 130 all right it tested 130 it tested 130 again we got a big crash so when I see Nvidia stock going back to 127 that is a trap that is a trap guys because a lot of people say wow Nvidia is coming back up to the highs it's going to keep going no I want you to resist herd behavior all right part of the reason why I'm such a good investor and why I've had so many good results is because I'm not using logic all the time I'm looking at emotional momentum all right I'm looking at Social momentum I'm using psychology the market isn't a mathematical game guys it's a psychological game you need to understand what other investors are thinking because there's something called her behavior okay one sheep gets startled he starts running then his friend next to him starts running the same way and then all of a sudden you have like 80 to 100 sheep just going in One Direction and then they all fall off of a cliff or whatever right something bad happens they go to the wrong location okay that's called herd Behavior one person makes an action and the rest of the people follow don't be doing that don't follow the herd think for yourself make the right decisions and you will make a ton of money that's why I was successful or so far I'm doing I consider success by the way I measure myself against the Market I measure myself against the results of an index QQQ which is the NASDAQ or I look at what other vop right volum weighted prices that people are investing in right and I've done significantly better and I've generated a lot of alpha on Nvidia because I did not buy it at high prices you guys need to wait for a pullback now that we have a pullback I'm very confident here because look Nvidia $98 we had a good support level all right it's very simple you don't have to be a stock market expert to just read the charts just read the chart here okay you got to read the room you got to know psychology here I'm teaching you one of the most valuable lessons if you appreciate it please subscribe to this channel because I'm looking to make you guys a lot more money consistent results trading options and selling options for income that's where I really strive look Nvidia at $98 it has had a strong support it had a huge bounce okay that's why I did not buy Nvidia at these high and now I'm looking to buy Nvidia at $100 or $98 because anything under 100 is an absolute gift and you shouldn't be buying the stock until you see that price okay you can start buying it right now by the way cuz $102 is close enough and this is a high quality long-term stock so I really don't agree with with all the Bears out there guys I'm going to show you one more thing but I first want to say that I don't agree with the Bears okay Bears have predicted this is going to be kind of funny this is a little bit of a joke but it's the truth Bears all the Bears okay all the Bears I see some of the comments Oh Henry doesn't know what he's talking about guys I've been in this game for 10 years I know what I'm talking about I see funny comments saying oh how is he investing the bare Market is about to start listen a bare Market can start but no one here is going to time it perfectly nobody that's why and and I'm not even sure it's going to start by the way I'm a bull I've been a bull that's why I'm rich cuz I'm a bull I'm not a bear bears have predicted 17 of the last three clashes can't even say that properly 17 of the last three crashes you guys you guys get that joke it 17 of the last three clashes all right uh that means that they have over predicted over predicted so of course you know all these guys that sometimes hit you have to look at their background they're Bears so when they hit sure they hit but they've been trying to hit for ages so of course they're going to hit sometimes I've never seen a bull perfectly predict a bare Market I've seen Bears whove predicted 100 bare markets predict some bare markets that happens sometimes but I'm not playing that game guys I'm playing the game of consistency how do I get up to 10 15 or $20,000 per month consistently I've hit those metrics a little bit of time ago so I'm there now my job is to teach educate and show you guys how to do the same all right now look Bears we've talked about them also I just want to point out I have not lost money in the last seven years my first three years were very difficult because you know I was a lot younger I didn't have experience I didn't work at Goldman Sachs yet my first three years I was following everybody else I was doing her behavior I was looking at asset managers hedge funds I was looking looking at what they were doing and I was trying to mimic and copy and try to get similar results that did not work because it's not about mimicking and copying others it's about thinking for yourself how do you get it an advantage okay so that's what it's all about and my first three years were very difficult guys but the last seven years I got rich without getting lucky consistently I've done it and I haven't really had any losing months even when I have a losing month is due to the market pulling back I'm not afraid of having a losing month or admitting that sometimes I have Los Ms because I'm measuring myself not against other people I'm not looking to show off here I could care less I'm looking for results and I'm looking to beat the index so if I can do that that's fantastic and there's a reason why my portfolio has scaled and I'm being very transparent it's because I want to be authentic and transparent to what's working and what's not working as well sometimes I make mistakes this iron Condor right now you guys can see on the screen Nvidia iron Condor so far I'm not in the best position but let me show you right now what I think to be the best trade and how you should enter Nvidia go to trade Nvidia options doesn't matter what Brokers that you're using okay that doesn't really matter at all all right go to sell put now listen there's going to be several different expirations here's what I recommend if you have a bigger portfolio maybe you have a portfolio that can sell multiple put options you should diversify and sell multiple different expiration dates so for me I recommend it in my Discord Community where everything I do everything I buy everything I sell I put it there it's the first link in the description if you're interested in learning more about that I'm just going to tell you how I think about this all right sell puts I sold the $98 put here I collected probably some somewhere around $270 this was a few days ago so I don't remember but it doesn't really matter because today this trade is still valid it's still valid today it'll be valid tomorrow it'll be valid up until 9:20 why because selling options has worked in my research in what I've seen at Goldman Sachs what I've seen at a different hedge fund if you guys want me to make a video by the way about my background where I worked I was thinking about showing my badge at Goldman Sachs which I've done in this channel before I don't want to ramble on here but if you want to can make a video on that I think it's really interesting I've had lots of different perspectives that have actually helped me generate more money trading options because every single job I've had it either showed me something about technical analysis something about fundamental analysis something about options and picking them better or something about the General market the General stock market which has help me make better decisions overall it's all about making high quality decisions I don't make every decision perfect that is impossible it's kind of like playing poker okay you can be very profitable playing poker by making the right decisions but in the short term you never truly know you can lose a hand the best poker player can lose a hand in the short term whereas if you look at chess right casprov or Magnus Carlson they are not going to lose any chess game because there's like zero luck involved right they're just going to crush it 100 out 100 times but with a poker player there's some luck involved and the same thing with the stock market guys in the short term there is some luck involved but in the long term there is no luck involved practically none the luck Factor goes from from day trading which is pure luck to making income every single month and every single year it goes down to basically zero luck it's all strategy all right so looking at the 98 put I would sell 98 put for September 20 now you can also go out until October 18 October 18 you can also sell a let's take a look here you can also go for 98 put now why 98 you can also go for 97 let me expand the option right here to give you a perspective all right the 97 put right here it has a 33 Delta meaning that if you sell this put 33 out of 100 times or 33% of the time right you're going to get a sign that's a good thing because we want to acquire shares of Nvidia we are Nvidia Bulls right here on this channel okay I'm an Nvidia bull all right so you want to acquire Nvidia at a lower price than the current stock market value current stock market value is at $102 if I'm selling a put at 97 you guys already know that you get to acquire and buy shares you'll get a sign at 97 so how do you lose guys if it's a win-win it's a win-win all right if it stays above 97 good you got the premium everything's cool you use that Capital that income that you got for whatever you like now if it went down below 97 that income is still yours so if you bought some groceries with it or whatever you did with that money paid some rent bought bought a new car that's fine that's cool that money is yours but now you do have to get 100 shares per option contract of Nvidia at $97 which in my opinion would be a win so it stays above 97 you win if it goes below 97 you win relatively speaking okay relatively speaking let me explain that so if it goes below 97 you have to buy it at 97 so it could be at 90 and you would technically be down on the sell put you would have to buy shares at at 97 put it's at 90 but listen everyone who had stock suffered more than you did so I'm putting you in a winning situation now this is what I consider a non- losing situation if you want Nvidia anyway so the benefit of selling options I'm looking at my notes Here I know this stuff on top of my head but I just want to tell you some of the research okay it generates consistent income selling puts allows you to generate steady premium income every single month now it does depend on volatility so some months uh on average I think I collect 3 to 4% income but some months it can be higher some months it can be lower uh some of my strategy I'm using just spy to keep things very simple and if you're going to be selling puts on Nvidia you're going to collect more income because Nvidia has more implied volatility guys so that's how it works there you can lower your risk by the way and this strategy is safer than stocks it's hilarious when people tell me options are risky they can be risky driving in your car can be risky it is risky but option trading if you want it to be it can be safer than stocks there's plenty of research and it's very simple on how to make it safer than Stocks by just selling options out of the money specifically put options which is probably it it not probably it's my top three strategy okay got three strategies might make a video on that pretty soon if you want make sure you subscribe to see all this upto-date option research and option strategies that I teach on this channel all right last thing but not least selling put options gives you a lot of flexibility guys you can buy back the put option if you don't want to get assigned if you don't want to get assigned you can buy back the put option and decide to either maybe you want to buy it back completely or maybe you want to buy it back and sell a different strike price nothing wrong with that if you guys want more uh trades from me upto-date research make sure you're subscrib hit that first link in the description to learn more about my sixe boot camp and nonetheless I'm going to keep making videos so you guys can get wealthier smarter and make more money in the stock market so see you guys in the next video
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