저자: BobIino · 외국인
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Nvidia 롱 추천이 유효하게 상승 중이며 손절선을 상향 조정하고 다음 목표는 1655 수준이다. Starbucks는 주간 종가 기준 더블바텀 넥라인 하회 여부를 보고 있으며, 강한 반등 없으면 하락 가능성이 있다. 다만 다음 주 반등 후 눌림에서 진입 가능하다는 입장이다. BSX는 실적 전 제시한 더블 바텀 트리거(2421 상단 돌파 시 무효) 상단이 돌파되어 무효화, 거래 없음으로 정리했다. FANG 종목: Amazon은 EPS는 상회했으나 매출이 약 30억 달러 미달, 가이던스 하향으로 시간외 급락. 더블 바텀 형성 가능성이 있으며 75/78 부근이 핵심 지지·목표 구간이다. Facebook은 실적 후 급등 뒤 급락해 더블 형태이나 자사 기준 미충족으로 거래하지 않으며, 21일선 상승 지지와 평탄 구간 하단이 주요 지지다. Netflix는 지저분한 더블 바텀이 형성 중이며, 일간 137.03 하회 종가와 21EMA 하회 시 하락 목표는 130.60 부근이다. Google(알파벳)은 급락 후 거래 계획 없으며, 반등 시 남긴 갭 메우기 가능성만 언급했다. 진행자는 FANG 전반의 약세를 지적하며, 패턴이 지저분한 경우 확률이 높지 않으니 주의하라고 당부했다.
다듬은 글
hi everybody Bob iino along with Mike Arnold from path trading partners quick PM Equity path chat we wanted to talk about a couple of things that we've been looking at the Nvidia trade nvda you guys probably all know about already if you've been watching these uh we recommended along long on that last Friday and it's doing really well Starbucks we're looking at a pattern development that could trigger tomorrow so Michael give us an update on that then we're also looking at the Fang stocks just sort of in a general way Facebook Amazon Netflix and Google alphabet interestingly Netflix had earnings uh that shot the stock to a record high on January 18th and now it's getting punished for some reason Facebook had what appeared to be decent earnings and that's getting punished as well it popped on the earnings and now it's getting sold off Amazon just reported they beat on EPS but they missed on Revenue by a good $3 billion a $3 billion shorter than the market expected and they seem to be guiding down so that's down in after hours and we've got we don't have Google yet Google's the only stock it's it's flat right now on the day so I'm going to go ahead and turn it over to Mike to show you what he's seeing on the charts and uh then we'll wrap it up okay thanks Bob thanks for that thorough update we have the chart of Nvidia up right now we talked about moving the stop yesterday today I would be raising it again because now we want to keep it below those 75 and the 21 so just below some key price action maybe below this low that's where the stop would be moved to and the next Target is the 1655 level we talked about nothing else new we talked about earlier in the week Starbucks in a close on a weekly basis it looks like it will unless we have a major rally tomorrow close below the base of the double the only way this is probably going to be tradeable though is then if it rallies a bit next week gives us a nice pull back to get in and then continues to Target that's how we're looking at that bsx we mentioned yesterday going into earnings that if it traded down there was a potential double to trigger we said if it traded Above This 2421 Mark it's invalid and we're done it traded definitely above there so that did not trigger and it's a no trade so that's the way that one worked out well take that off Amazon this is interesting this is showing after hours trading with their earnings this is a valid double and it has traded below if this does we're g to watch it tomorrow but this could be a play it comes in and retests this with a close below it you could watch for these uh two levels to come in the 75 9578 levels going to be key for this double because of a rising 5050 exponential moving average so you could take this as a two target trade with the second one being 788 that's what we're looking for that Facebook Bob talked about here was when it spiked up after earnings and now it's collaps down making what a lot of people will trade as a double we will not trade it as a double it does not fit our parameters and we have a rising 21 we have a big flat area there's a lot of things but I'm just pointing it out we can't trade this as a double but a lot of Traders will and if it does get below this anything I'd be targeting would be around this uh support area and this Rising 21 for any short trades you might be considering we just don't have any Netflix very sloppy double forming hopefully it'll hold off for a few days we want a daily close below this 13703 Mark and I'd want it below 137 I'd also want it below this 21 EMA so over the next couple days if it continues to rise that could be a nice little trade and then we'd have a Target right around the 13060 mark so we have some weakness in the Fang stocks finally Google we don't have a trade on that Bob talked about it nothing we can do but it has collapsed nicely if it does rally watch for a potential Gap fill eventually into this Gap it left behind that's about all I have no other uh actionable information on Google so let me turn it back over to Bob so just mentioning all of the Fang stocks since there are some potential trades in Netflix and Facebook just thought we'd look at all of them Amazon getting beat up after that number and then again be careful with these because some of these are sloppy not that the neatness of the pattern makes it higher probability but we have very specific rules with how we trade these that our students and our clients know so just be careful with them we just kind of want to give you guys an idea of where we think they're going cheers everybody money paath podcast will be recording a new one tomorrow morning it'll be out on Saturday for you guys to peruse and hopefully subscribe to and visit us at pathros everybody thanks
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