저자: Cardinals및공동진행자Patrick,Bob · 외국인
요약 보기
결론: 테슬라 주가가 일봉·주봉 추세선 이탈로 약세 모드 진입, 당분간 반등은 매도 기회로 보고 저가 매수는 반전 패턴 확인 후로 미룸. 기술적 상황: 일봉 기준 갭 하락 후 추세선 하향 이탈, 주봉상 약세 전환 판단. 주봉 200주 단순이동평균선(약 260.195달러) 마감 지지 여부가 핵심으로 언급됨. 하방 목표: 1차 지지 250·225, 주봉 기준 244.59(4월 2일 주 저점) 이탈 시 235.39, 226.46이 주요 목표. 피보나치 확장 등 하모닉 투사치 사용. 상방 저항(반등 시): 275.50 부근에서 갭 메움 시 약 282, 이후 286.70(회전구간 하단), 293, 300 순. 300 아래 및 회전구간 아래에 머무는 한 약세 유지. 리스크: 하방 지지가 거의 없어 하락 시 급락 가능, 손절선 관리 및 숏 포지션 트레일링 권고. 롱 포지션은 손절 확인 필요. 이슈: 일론 머스크의 트윗 논쟁(공매도 세력·SEC 관련)이 주가 변동 요인으로 언급되며, 주말 추가 뉴스 여부 주시. 출연자 전망: 단기 강한 반등 가능성은 인정하나 바닥 패턴 형성 전 매수 보류 입장.
다듬은 글
hello everybody my Cardinals here co-founder Patrick partners along with Bob ihe know with another Tesla update Tesla gapped down below next significant level leaving this nice gap behind therefore the term gap down closing below our trendline on a daily in since it was a Friday the weekly basis full-blown bear mode now next key level supports this 250 225 when we switch so the weekly chart will look at some other levels now we can also remember sharply rally in Tesla so on any rally above the 275 50 area we'd be looking for the gap fill sheet take us to about 282 on a rounded basis then we'd look to test the next significant level where we have the hooking over 8 the bottom of a rotation zone which comes about 286 70 right now those would be our first two targets on a rally and then our next target would be 293 and finally 300 as long as this does remain below 300 though and especially below the rotation zone we are in bearish mode let me switch over to the weekly chart so you see right here we essentially closed on the 200 week simple moving average which has been very key support since it was broken briefly back the December of 16 but then we got back above it November December of 16 and then we got back above it in December of 16 so that's the last time it's been broken we dip below it slightly and last sell off but this is the first close I'm gonna call this what's pretty much 260 195 where do we close let's get official 260 195 so we closed right on the 200 week moving average and below our trendline now at this point so said before this is a very ugly pattern this railroad track both red attracting major selling also the weekly ATM is that this 285 to a six level so we already mentioned that level off the daily that is very key support and also the twenty five percent retracement from this last sell-off if we do break down next key levels were watching for 244 59 which were the lows back from April 2nd the week of April 2nd and then below there we have some intermediate targets coming in at 235 39 and then 226 46 the 226 46 being the next major target based off the highs from earlier this year down to the key lows such as our highs from last year down to the kilos of this year and projected with the 12 and the 25 percent gain harmonic projections which we use for many of our targets also down below this key level over here if you look to the left on March 6 March 13th weeks from last year cutting through there we have a concept called a clear path this is this takes us you know there's not much support in here there's not much support so this can pretty much fall all the way down once we get some momentum going there's not a lot of key support levels in here so that's another thing to keep in mind that we could if this does start cascading lower it could be fairly rapid we just won't know that's why you have to adjust your positions and trail your stuff if you're short if you're long would not be looking to buy this dip just yet there's no bottoming pattern know where your stops are also for the Long's because if this thing continues lower and you still are a fan of Tesla stock if we do get a reversal pattern there'll be an ability to buy it cheaper and I'll look for a reversal now there will be strong bounces as we talked and we will probably have strong rallies depending on what news comes out on the day but we know we've seen for the last 24 hours Yvonne's been on a major tweet storm battle with the shorts and a lot of people are begging him to stop tweeting because is not helping the stock at all and we'll see if any news comes out this weekend with which what could have triggered his leg they just they tack on the SEC and short-sellers that's all we have for you and we'll talk to you soon bye for now
Comments 0