Path Chat Weekend: Stocks Update-8-20 TSLA GOOG ORCL

요약 보기

2017년 8월 20일 주간 업데이트. 2분기 S&P500 실적은 양호하며, 어닝 서프라이즈 기업 73%, 평균 서프라이즈 6.1%, 이익 성장률 약 10.1%로 5년 평균을 상회함. 예상 PER은 17.4배로 5년·10년 평균(15.4배, 14배)보다 높아 일부에서 시장이 비싸다고 보지만, 이는 통계 설명일 뿐 방향 예측은 아님. 테슬라(TSLA): 이중 바닥이 형성된 뒤 369.97 부근의 손절/회전 구간 근처에서 이중 천장(double top) 형태가 나타남. 345.43이 첫 번째 손절 목표, 340.13·337.24가 익절 목표로 제시. 330.86 아래 종가 마감 시 무효화. 구글(GOOG): 이중 천장 구조로 주시 중. 주간 종가 894.79 하회 시 회전 구간에서 벗어나는 신호로 제시. 오라클(ORCL): 주간 기준 하락 신호가 발생했으나 회전 구간과 반대 방향이라 확률이 낮다고 평가. 현재 손절 목표 부근에 위치. 출연자 전망 요약: 테슬라는 단기 하락 리스크를 제시하는 기술적 관점, 오라클은 낮은 확률의 하락 신호, 구글은 이중 천장 확인 대기. 상승 또는 하락을 명시적으로 확정한 발언은 제한적임. 금주에는 잭슨홀 미팅과 경제지표 이벤트가 예정되어 있음.

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. how's everybody doing this is papaya Chino from path trading partners a lot of my co-founder Mike Arnold it is August 20th this is a path chat Weekend Update covering individual stocks individual equities and Froy turned it over to Mike to let you know what he's seeing on the charts just want to do a quick earning scorecard with 91 percent of the companies in the S&P 500 reporting actual results for the second quarter of 2017 seventy three percent of the companies have reported positive EPS surprises and 69 percent have reported positive sales surprises now of the remaining companies nine percent of reported actual EPS equal to the estimate and 18 have reported EPS below the mean estimate percentage of companies reporting EPS above the mean is above the one-year average which is 70 percent and above the five-year average which is 68 percent earning surprises 6.1 percent so in other words of the companies that did surprise to the upside those beats were by an average of 6.1 percent higher than the estimate that's also above the five-year average and in aggregate you have a blended earnings growth of about ten point one percent so double-digit year-over-year earnings growth led by energy information technologies utilities and the financial sector 10 sectors have reported year-over-year earnings growth now in terms of earnings guidance for q2 2017 59 espy companies have issued negative EPS guidance and 35 companies have issued positive EPS guidance for the third quarter the rest issued nothing at all valuation the forward 12-month PE ratio for the S&P 500 is now 17 point four percent and this p/e ratio is above the five-year average and above the 10-year average five year average is 15 point 4 and the ten year is 14 you'll hear a lot of people say that the Marr is expensive based off of these particular statistics now let me just go ahead and give it over to Mike just to let you know what he's seeing on the charge of some of the socks we were watching Mike tell yours thank you very much Bob Tesla double bottom that came up and hit the stop reduction zone right here reruns 369 97 in area it's now form this double top so this triggered on Thursday and the targets for that stop reduction 345 43 first profit target 340 133 and second target 337 24 now on this double bottom when it did hit stop production these stop for this would be a close below 330 86 would invalidate that Google just something we're keeping an eye on this is a very nice double top in the rotation zone would be out of the way it would trigger on a weekly close below 894 79 so just pointing that out and quickly Oracle one that did trigger I'm falling it on the weekly basis it is going against the rotation zone so it's lower probability the rotations on right now is sitting at the stop reduction target that is sort of interesting this last week it didn't do much it rallied back up but it pretty much sometimes this actually gave the this week a really good risk reward entry for this double so we have for you on this quick we can stock up date back to you Bob thank you for that Mike oh please hit like and subscribe if you like what we're doing if you're interested in a weekly review and then a preview of what's coming up this week with Jackson Hole and some very light economic data check out about the first nine and a half to 10 minutes of the futures Weekend Update path chat which carries that information within it again please hit like and subscribe if you like what we're doing and we'll talk to you in the next patch at Cheers you