저자: TomLee · 외국인
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엔비디아 3분기 실적은 호조(매출 351억달러, EPS 0.81달러)였으나 주가는 발표 후 하락. 4분기 가이던스 상 성장률 둔화와 마진 하락은 블랙웰 생산 확대에 따른 일시적 비용으로 해석. 수요는 가속 중이며 실적 기대치 상회 흐름은 이어질 것으로 전망. 소형주도 금리 인하 기대와 함께 향후 12개월 강세 가능성을 언급.
다듬은 글
but we'll leave it there Nvidia the tech giant standing at the Forefront of innovation and capturing Global attention has once again seized the spotlight with its fiscal 2025 third quarter results having Unleashed yet another quarter of unprecedented growth the company has left Market Watchers both exuberant and bemused the buzz surrounding the earnings report released on November 20th was palpable yet Nvidia didn't disappoint their financials showcased a phenomenal demand for its high powerered gpus particularly those fueling breakthroughs in artificial intelligence advancements however despite delivering Stellar numbers the stock market's initial reaction was surprisingly muted leading to a dip in share prices during the subsequent sessions this raises the question are investors losing faith in this semiconductor Titan or is this merely a brief stumbling block before the stock resumes its upward trajectory stay with us as anticipation mounts and we delve into nvidia's latest Financial figures explore ambitious growth strategies and examine its highly anticipated introduction of the Blackwell AI chips stay tuned as the digital dust settles to reveal what these numbers might whisper about nvidia's future trajector I Nvidia congestion and consolidation a 3- Nvidia stands on the threshold of another Monumental shift in technological innovation stirring significant conversations with its latest quarterly earnings report veteran Market analysts often Muse the stock market is funny it's got a great sense of humor when you expect it least true to form Nvidia paints a picture of success that one might think seems too spectacular to be believed posting a record-breaking quarterly revenue of $35.1 billion the figures comfortably surpassed both its guidance and wall Street's estimations moreover the earnings per share saw a robust increase to $0.81 compared to last year's $0.75 nevertheless rather than receiving roaring Applause the market responded with a dip in nvidia's share price delivering a less than enthusiastic response from investors The Familiar saying there's never just one cockroach in the kitchen appears apt as concerns emerged following nvidia's projection of a slowing year-over-year Revenue increase for the upcoming quarter anticipated at 70% a reduction from its previously brisk Pace furthermore the projected gross margin of 73.5 % reflected a decline compared to the prior Year let us pause there a closer examination of nvidia's strategic framework unveils a more intricate narrative the temporary dip in margins can be attributed to the escalation of production for nvidia's eagerly anticipated Blackwell AI chips faster faster until the thrill of manufacturing overtakes the fear of margins perhaps Echo the sentiments of those at the helm of nvidia's operations as they aspire to meet the burgeoning demand manifesting on their Horize saw big comeback for NVIDIA we saw uh really some continued flexing strength from the likes of Apple which is now I would say firmly on top in the market cap race such as it is and then we've seen small caps struggle more than some might have hoped though today is an exception which is more uh influential in this market um they're both important and they reflect different you know investor views I think you you still always want to own the best companies in the most important themes I mean that's Nvidia and that's Apple um and they're going to really work over any cycle but when the market begins to believe the FED is going to move rates back towards neutral and that's both cost of money mortgages auto loan rates you know these are really big Tailwinds for cyclical stocks and small caps in particular so I think that's why I'd still want to make a very educated bet with high probability that small caps could do very well the next 12 months and even between now and year end it's been a while since we've talked about your granny shots uh remind us what your thesis is behind some of these stocks that you like yes uh well granny shots is built on the idea that there are themes like multip you know secular drivers of an economy and our original granny shot model looked at AI cyber security energy security um you know Millennials as a generation and then we we want to own the best stocks in those themes and that's really what was the Genesis of the granny shots and the names like Nvidia Apple I Nvidia has been in that list since 2019 so I think it's always important for investors not to be trading the best names but to really find the best companies and hold them for the cycle in its quest to solidify its future momentum Nvidia is swiftly navigating time and challenges to scale production ensuring an ample supply of Blackwell chips reaches the market as promised the anticipated transition from the current Hopper architecture to Blackwell not only signals an imminent technological leap but also promises to fortify nvidia's Financial Health for the forthcoming years moreover careful attention must be devoted to nvidia's fiscal guidance projecting an annual revenue nearing $13.5 billion signifying a steadfast determination underlined by the company's audacious plans and a history of surpassing expectations analyst predictions for fiscal 2026 cast a hopeful light with forecast indicating a growth in earnings per share by 48% to $427 if press ident serves nvidia's trend of outpacing analyst expectations could very well persist earning it the prestigious Laurels of innovation-driven Market leadership with strategic foresight and adaptability nvidia's landscape becomes even more intriguing intertwined with potential upheavals in Tech markets internationaltarted September off uh with one of the largest declines ever for September and uh it's kind of coming on the heels of Nvidia reporting great numbers last week but the stock being weak so I think maybe the good place to start is just talking about Nvidia and I think your take on how you know what you thought of the quarter um and what how it how it came in relative to your expectations and up yeah look Tom I mean I think that it was probably the most anticipated earnings that we've seen in a decade orever right and in terms of watch parties and everything else for NVIDIA just take it take out the noise in terms of numbers and in terms of what happens blackw dele is put to rest think about all the AA over the last few months on that and that's similar what we're seeing in our checks throughout Asia demand we we demands out sh and Supply 125 to1 and and nothing we saw from numbers or metrics makes me think that that's dissipating they look in terms of like whisper numbers for the quarter 33 billion 33 and a half they got 32 and a half slightly below whisper stock gets hit we look billion beats We Believe are probably likely here right but they're not there's no reason that Jensen and the team are going to guide to anything near that especially in a blackw type quarter and I think you walk away the demand thesis is accelerating yields are improving and and ultimately I think it sets up for actually the next leg of the story now look I get where like sell up happens ambass be like oh is this it is this over it's second ining in a ning game in terms of overall a because it goes back and this is the most important if there's anything anyone takes away from this card for every dollar spent on Nvidia chip the multiplier for the rest of tech is 8 to $10 what strategic Vision does nvidia's current Maneuvers paint for the Discerning investor within you simply put Nvidia isn't merely surviving it's innovatively growing constructing and scaling ensuring its potential remains robust on the investment Horizon the transient margin pressures currently faced are indeed the cost of gearing up for an even more Dynamic future where Blackwell chips might play the leading role in nvidia's Symphony of growth trading closely with the NASDAQ 100's forward earnings multiple Nvidia continues to be an appealing Prospect for those seeking stable Progressive investments in the tech sector consider this Nvidia is in it for the long Hall deeply committed to meeting an exceeding ambitious expectations as it navigates the constantly evolving Tech landscape do nvidia's present market dynamics plant seeds of Hope for greener investment pastures or is it merely a Showcase of classic resilience perhaps lacking the necessary Vigor for maximally enhancing your portfolio we invite you to consider and weigh in on whether this semiconductor stalwart might ignite the next major leap in your investment Journey with the economic landscape continually transforming the potential for unprecedented opportunities remains vast and inviting
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