저자: 미상 · 한국인
요약 보기
빌 애크먼이 최근 매수 중인 아마존과 우버를 소개하며 두 종목 모두 성장성과 AI·로보틱스 효과로 밸류에이션이 합리적이라고 주장. 아마존은 P/E 36배가 높아 보이나 2030년까지 AWS·광고 중심 성장과 물류 효율로 이익 15% 이상 성장 전망을 근거로 제시. 우버는 자율주행 파트너십 확대와 연 26% 매출 성장 전망, P/E 16배를 근거로 제시. 두 종목 모두 차트 상승 추세를 들어 장기 보유 관점의 소액 매수를 권유.
다듬은 글
It is said that Bill Eckman is accumulating two stocks. What kind of stock is it? Ryan Israel, CIO of Pershing Square, who began buying Amazon stock in the second quarter, stated that he judged Amazon would be able to overcome the slowdown in growth of its cloud computing division, Amazon Web Services, and that tariffs would not have a significant impact on earnings in the retail division .
Monthly recommends that Amazon's earnings grow by an average of 10% per year until 2026. Therefore, while the current P/E ratio of 36x seems excessively high, one might wonder if analysts are being too pessimistic, given that Amazon is a frontrunner in e-commerce and cloud computing and has rapidly expanded its market share in the digital advertising sector to become the third-largest advertising technology company .
Google View Research predicts that Amazon will grow below 20% in all new markets where it is active by 2030. Now, first, the e-commerce market is expected to grow by 11.6% by 2030, and advertising technology spending is expected to grow at an average annual rate of 14.4% by 2030 . Cloud computing revenue is expected to grow at an average annual rate of 20.4% until 2030.
Therefore, while it is highly likely that Amazon will achieve double-digit associated revenue growth by 2030, profits could increase even faster as it realizes efficiency through artificial intelligence . With these goals in mind, Amazon has built over 1,000 generative AI applications, including tools that optimize developer productivity for inventory allocation end paths.
Amazon recently launched a generative AI model called Deflace. This model coordinates logistics movements across its vast logistics network, making warehouse robots smarter and more efficient. The management stated that through the D-Fleet platform, robot travel time will be reduced by 10%, enabling faster and lower-cost delivery of products to consumers .
Morgan Sterney analyst Brian Novak has frequently cited Amazon as the most undervalued winner in generative AI in the tech sector . He also assessed Amazon as one of the companies best positioned to generate significant financial returns through physical AI and robotics technology in the coming years .
Currently, shipping and order fulfillment costs account for more than one-quarter of retail sales, but AI and robotics can reduce costs and increase margins . The big picture is that Amazon's earnings could grow by more than 15% annually by the end of 2010, and therefore the current valuation is more reasonable.
If you are patient, it is a good idea to consider making a small purchase. If you look at the chart, you can see a continuous upward trend due to these positive influences . Therefore, it can be said that most investors are seeing profits, and productivity is expected to improve even further with the introduction of AI and robots in the future .
After looking forward to it, the next stock that Bill Ekman continues to buy is Uber. He started buying Uber in early January of this year when it was trading at less than $70 per share, and by March 31, it had become the largest holding of his hedged stock. Ekman said on social media that he thinks Uber is one of the best-run and highest-quality companies in the world .
Although the stock price has risen significantly since then, it still appears to be a wise investment. Number 5 has the distinct advantage of providing ride-sharing and food delivery services through a single mobile app and is securing a strong bite in both markets. In fact, Uber operates the world's largest ride- sharing platform and the largest food delivery platforms in eight of the world's tropical markets .
Straight Research expects ride-sharing revenue to grow at an average annual rate of 28% to reach $920 billion by 2033 . Uber is also in a favorable position to capitalize on these opportunities through collaborations with various autonomous vehicle companies . The following is a list of major partnerships.
The first Alphabet Weimer provides Robotech services via Uber in Phoenix, Austin, and Atlanta . In Phoenix, you can also use autonomous food delivery services through Uber 1ch . Next, May Mobility plans to provide robotaxi services in Arlington, Texas via Uber by the end of 2025. The two companies plan to expand their partnership to other markets within the United States in 2026 .
Pony AI plans to provide robotaxi services through Uber in major Middle Eastern markets this year and aims to expand into more international markets in the future . We plan to provide Robotex services via Uber in Los Angeles. Testing is scheduled to begin at the end of this year, and commercialization is scheduled to begin in 2026.
Willai Aid is currently providing roboti services in Abu Dhabi via Uber and plans to launch the service in Dubai later this year. The two companies plan to expand the partnership to 15 cities over the next five years . The Uber CEO stated that Uber is in a unique position to benefit from robot taxis of unrivaled scale .
He told analysts earlier this year that Uber can offer the lowest operating costs to its autonomous vehicle partners because it has made significant strides in every aspect of market output . Wall Street expects Uber's revenue to grow by an average of 26% over the next three to five years, which is a reasonable estimate considering the expected growth of the ride-sharing market.
Therefore, the current price-to-earnings ratio of 16 times appears quite reasonable. Uber's stock price may not be as cheap as it was when Virekuman started buying, but patient investors can still step in to buy now. Now, the chart is steadily rising with positive leverage, and you can confirm the continuous rise on the weekly chart as well as the major upward trend on the monthly chart .
So far, we'll wrap up the video after looking at the two companies Bill Ekman is investing in.
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