This Is Bad! The FED Is Playing With Fire 🔥🔥🔥🔥 Just Ask Stanley Druckenmiller!

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결론: 연준이 인플레이션 대응을 늦췄고 금리 인상과 자산 축소(테이퍼링)가 필요하며, 원유 관련 종목(엑슨)을 인플레이션 헤지로 보유하라는 주장. 시장 상황: 2021년 5월 11일 다우 약 600포인트 하락, 기술주 며칠간 매도. 장기 조정 가능성을 경고. 연준 비판: 파월이 인플레이션을 일시적이라 말하지만 실제 지표와 반대. 정치적 발언(소득 불평등 등)에 치우쳐 있으며 테이퍼링을 시작하고 금리 인상을 예고했어야 한다고 주장. 제목의 스탠리 드러켄밀러 WSJ 기고문을 인용해 연준이 '불을 가지고 노는 중'이라는 견해를 뒷받침. 재정 정책: 1.9조 달러 부양책과 추가 약 4조 달러 인프라 지출 계획을 비판. 경기 과열과 임금·물가 상승을 예상. 금리: 10년물 국채금리가 1주일 새 1.50%에서 1.62%로 상승. 이후 상승 지속 전망. 원자재·물가: 원자재 가격 사상 최고치, 제조 공급 차질, 노동 부족, 휘발유 가격 최고치 등으로 인플레이션이 확산된다고 봄. 투자 전략: 현금 여력을 유지해 매도 시 매수 기회를 활용하고, 금·은·비트코인은 수익이 없어 헤지로 부적절하다고 평가. 엑슨모빌(33달러 평단, 배당수익률 8.5~9%, 목표가 100달러)과 원유 기업 보유를 최선의 헤지로 제시. 모더나는 백신 파이프라인 기대, 인텔은 장기 턴어라운드 관점으로 언급. 리스크: 본인 예측이 틀릴 수 있다고 언급했으나 엑슨에 많은 자금을 투자했다고 밝힘.

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01. hey what's up it's greg here hey if you're new to the channel we talk about business and investment and uh also the markets and what's of interest today is this is really bad the fed is really playing with fire here now the reason i say that is today the market is selling off uh last time i checked the dow was down 600 points it's may 11th um a lot of people are wondering what's going on with the market the the tech sector has sold off for the last couple of days um you know we might be in for a rather prolonged uh downturn in the market here and i've been warning for months and months and months that the fed is behind the curve the fed has uh continually be been getting more and more political and he powell keeps coming out with these lame uh pronouncements that uh any inflation that comes in is going to be you know transitory i don't know how many times i've heard this it literally goes against every single thing that we're seeing in the market and every single thing that uh anyone you know who's been following these things can clearly see now today very interesting in the wall street journal and again i recommend to all my subscribers you should be reading the wall street journal if you want to be a serious investor there was a opinion piece by stanley druckenmiller who we follow on this channel who's one of the smartest macro investors on the planet um duquesne capital is his family office and he came out and basically said that the fed is playing with fire it's taking its eye off the ball it's causing uh massive inflation in asset prices um and it's uh it's easy money policy it's stance in the market currently you know continuing to print money by buying 120 billion dollars worth of bonds a month and um it's keeping interest rates at zero is really an emergency stance that was implemented during the pandemic which was appropriate then but now that the economy is approving at a rapid rate it is no longer appropriate and it's leading to distortions in the market in the face of very clear evidence that the economy is improving meanwhile the government and this idiotic administration that we have continues to push more money into the system after 1.9 trillion dollars after a trillion that trump did now they're talking about another like four trillion dollars in infrastructure spending which is like 10 percent infrastructure and the rents rest of it is just nonsensical uh spending i have said for months that the economy is going to overheat and that is exactly what's happening the 10-year just jumped in the last week from 150 to the 10-year treasury from 150 to today it's like 162.

02. um the market is single i mean look at every single data point you can look at commodities are at all-time highs you see supply disruption in manufacturing you see labor scarcity you can't get people to work because the government's paying them to stay home so you're going to see uh rising wages inflation and wages you're going to see inflation in literally everything that we do gas prices are hitting at all time high guys the fed is playing with fire they are screwing this up big time powell has been uh political going back to the trump days he's overly political he's trying to placate this administration uh talking about ridiculous things like uh income inequality and um and and things of this nature which are no should have be no concern of the fed okay this is like garbage and he is not focusing on what he needs to be he should have already begun to taper and he should have already signaled that he's going to start raising interest rates and he hasn't and as a result we're going to see a print next quarter of over three percent and uh it could it could even be higher on the inflation front so what i've been recommending on this channel is you know you got to hedge yourself against this stuff and stay liquid keep enough dry powder so you can take advantage of this sell-off but also in my mind the best reopening play and the best way to hedge against inflation is to own the integrated oil companies okay when the inflate when the market overheats when the gas prices go up when there's supply shortages in everything because the economy is overheating i want to own oil and gas okay that is the commodity that in my mind is the best hedge for this you know forget about gold forget about silver and all that stuff forget about bitcoin because all of those things they don't pay anything okay when i bought exxon at 33 i bought all the way up i'm getting now on my combined you know weighted average cost i'm getting eight and a half to nine percent yield on my money before capital appreciation and i think uh exxon's going to a hundred because oil's going to 100.

03. okay now i might be wrong i might be you know a little bit off or whatever but i personally have a lot of money invested in that view and of course the other the other players i like and i've been very vocal about this on this channel is moderna i noticed modernity didn't get too beaten up today because people realize the the potential right they're going to be selling they projected a billion vaccines within the next year this is and and what i'm really investing in is their pipeline and then the other one is intel which is more of a long-term turnaround play but anyway that's the update for today i just wanted to bring that to your attention if you can possibly read that article um in the opinion section of the wall street journal stanley druckenmiller it really touched upon a lot of the issues that i've been harping on for months and months and months and i hope you got value out of this and if you did please like and subscribe because we're going to be coming out with some more related content very soon