저자: DanIves및GordonJohnson토론형식 · 외국인
요약 보기
테슬라 주가는 2023년 2분기 실적 전후 시점에서 강세(Dan Ives) 대 약세(Gordon Johnson) 논쟁 구도로, 결론적으로 방향성에 대한 명확한 단정 없이 양측 주장이 맞선 영상이다. [Gordon Johnson 약세 주장] 테슬라는 차량 가격을 최대 35% 인하했으나 Ford는 약 1%, GM은 약 1% 상승, CarGurus 평균은 4% 하락했다고 지적했다. 가격 인하에도 1분기 실적은 전분기·전년 대비 모두 감소했으며, 5분기 연속 생산량이 판매량을 초과해 수요 문제가 있다고 주장했다. 매출총이익률이 작년 2분기 약 27%에서 올해 2분기 약 16%로 하락할 것이라고 언급하며, 자동차 회사는 결국 가격을 내려 물량을 밀어내는 기업이라는 점을 강조했다. 워런 버핏의 1905년 자동차 산업 사례(2000개 회사 중 대부분 파산)를 인용하며 테슬라를 'EV 업계의 블랙베리'에 비유했다. 영상 속 인용에 따르면 Johnson은 2023년 말까지 주가가 주당 24.33달러 수준으로 떨어질 수 있다고 주장했다(자막상 'just 24.33'로 표기되어 있어 기재 그대로 옮김). [Dan Ives 강세 주장] 테슬라는 단순한 자동차 회사가 아니라 전기차·에너지저장장치·AI·배터리를 아우르는 플랫폼 기업이라며 밸류에이션 하단이 막혀 있다고 주장했다. 수퍼차저 네트워크가 포드·GM 등 경쟁사 대비 핵심 해자(moat)라고 평가했으며, 다음 분기 실적을 또 하나의 '트로피' 케이스로 보고 Bear들이 물러날 것이라고 전망했다. 배터리·AI로 성장 단계가 이어질 것이라는 입장이다. [진행자 관점] 제작 측은 테슬라 강세론을 지지하는 논조로 편집되어 있으며, 장기 투자 관점에서 단기 노이즈를 무시하라고 권했다. [핵심 쟁점] 가격 인하를 통한 점유율 방어 vs. 수요 둔화 및 마진 훼손, 장기 플랫폼 가치 vs. 자동차 본업 사이클.
다듬은 글
with Tesla and 2q right you have a company that according to car gurus over the past years cut their prices 35 for their cars their prices have been cut 35 whereas Ford's prices are down one percent GM's prices are actually up one percent and the average car on CarGurus is down four percent so if you cut your prices significantly you're gonna get higher volumes however in q1 their earnings were down both quarter over quarter and year over year that's not a growth company for the fifth straight quarter in a row they've produced more cars than they've sold I.E they have a demand problem um and you're talking about a company now that's going to see its gross margins drop from roughly 27 and Q2 of last year to roughly 16 and Q2 of this year it's a car company what car companies do is they cut prices to move metal Tesla's doing it by the most remember Warren Buffett reminded Us in 1905 if you looked at the car industry right there were two thousand auto companies nearly every single one went bankrupt so to choose Tesla as the leader when they're really the Blackberry BBS Tesla bears are added again moments like this leave you wondering why these people don't see the bigger picture when it comes to Tesla and Tesla stock it's a known fact Tesla is not just a car company and should not be valued as such doing so may limit your valuation for Tesla and prevent you from taking advantage of this once in a lifetime opportunity in today's video we will show you why the Bears are wrong and why Tesla's leading position and market dominance will significantly impact Tesla's stock performance so if you're curious about the future of Tesla and its stock this is one video you don't want to miss we'd like to chip in that these are just our speculations about Tesla and Tesla stock so if you share these thoughts or have a contrary opinion be sure to let us know in the comments section so without further Ado let's Dive In Kathy what's a big thinker let's take it to our next guest so joining me now is web Bush Securities managing director Dan Ives covers all things Tech a long time Bull on Tesla also glj research founder and CEO Gordon Johnson long time Bearer on Tesla two very familiar faces for CNBC here thank you both for joining last call uh let's start with the bull case because the bull case has been right Dan so far and you've been behind this kind of thing for a good while now the Tesla valuation it doesn't worry you at these levels I mean not at all because I think what Katherine's talking about is our thesis that the sum of the parts and the test of story is just starting to be discovered I think supercharger was really where the light bulb went off in terms of Ford and GM now really you know going to Tesla where this is sort of what I view as a game set match situation and next is going to be batteries and then AI which is why I believe this is a company that's still in the early Innings of finding its potential I think next week's another trophy uh case quarter in terms of where you know musk and Tesla and in my opinion the Bears will continue going to hibernation mode is musk and Tesla Flex their muscles with the next phases right now the growth story playing out it's no secret that Tesla has revolutionized the automotive industry with its electric vehicles with a lineup that includes the popular Model S model 3 Model Y and model y Tesla has captured the hearts of consumers worldwide and why not this company's commitment to Innovation Cutting Edge technology and Sleek designs have set it apart from the competition and anyone who can recognize a profitable company knows that Tesla is indeed One of a Kind so if you're investing in Tesla stock right now make sure to buckle up for a money making ride on your shares it's going to be absolutely phenomenal hello everyone and welcome back to Tesla tomorrow Tesla's dominance in the EV sector can significantly impact its stock performance it is something that Tesla bears like Gordon Johnson fail to realize as the leading player in the industry Tesla's success in terms of vehicle sales revenue growth and market share can positively influence its stock price talk about Tesla's energy business its energy solutions are in high demand opening up new revenue streams and diversifying the company's offerings this strong financial performance and consistent delivery of its ambitious targets are key factors that investors look for when considering a long-term investment in Tesla or any other company for that matter so why would anyone even be bearish on Tesla in the first place we can't seem to understand this let's take you through a few things that Gordon Johnson has said in the past and you can evaluate for yourself but before we get into it if you like this type of content make sure to stay up to date on everything happening with Tesla earlier this year Gordon Johnson CEO and founder of glj research tweeted that Tesla has a major U.S demand problem which is not even debatable he also added that while Tesla bowls talk about lead times inventories and related factors the price of Tesla cars is the ultimate weighing scale of demand in a similar claim Johnson argued that Tesla's lead times and backlog have dropped dramatically according to him Tesla's real issue as a long-term growth problem that makes its current valuation illogical coming from a Tesla bear well that's expected but what may be unexpected and in a way extremely bearish is that he argues that Tesla stock will fall to just 24.33 per share by the end of 2023 as investors recognize that it has built too much capacity describing Tesla as the Blackberry of EVS that right there is the straw that breaks the camel's back to think that Tesla stock will trade below 100 seems rather illogical to start with what Tesla bears like Gordon Johnson do not understand is that Tesla's Market leadership also translates to Brand recognition and Trust the Tesla brand has become synonymous with electric vehicles and sustainability attracting a loyal customer base and garnering widespread attention this brand strength can translate into customer loyalty and repeat purchases driving long-term Revenue growth for the company another factor that can impact Tesla's stock performance is its continuous focus on Innovation and technological advancements Tesla's ongoing research and development efforts particularly in autonomous driving technology could potentially disrupt the transportation industry even further as Tesla makes stride it has the potential to unlock new revenue streams and revolutionize the way we think about transportation seasoned investors are considering the broader market trends and investor sentiments towards electric vehicles as the world shifts towards a sustainable transportation and governments around the globe Implement policies to promote cleaner energy the demand for electric vehicles is expected to rise and so Tesla's dominance in the electric vehicle sector its Cutting Edge technology extensive charging infrastructure and strong brand recognition position the company for long-term success The increased market demand for electric vehicles combined with Tesla's leading position and strong brand recognition positions the company for long-term growth and may positively impact its stock performance one of the key factors that sets Tesla apart from the other players in the EV sector is its extensive charging infrastructure Tesla's supercharger network is the largest and most advanced in the world enabling Tesla owners to conveniently charge their vehicles across a vast network of charging stations this infrastructural Advantage gives Tesla a significant Edge in terms of convenience and accessibility enhancing the overall ownership experience for its customers what about its Battery tech Tesla's focus on battery technology has positioned the company as a leader in the energy storage solution space with its gigafactories Tesla has made significant advancements in battery production and is continuously working to improve battery efficiency and range this commitment to pushing boundaries of Battery Technology contributes to Tesla's competitive advantage and solidifies its position as an industry leader no doubt investing in Tesla and any stock carries risks it is important to conduct thorough research and form your own valuations before making any investment decisions however looking at it from a long-term perspective Tesla will be a force to reckon with in just a few years Tesla's leading position in the EV sector and its potential for future growth make it an intriguing investment opportunity for those with a long-term investment Horizon so if you have some Tesla shares in your portfolio try not to pay attention to the short term noise and focus on the bigger picture what does your Tesla valuation like let us know in the comments section for more exciting updates about Tesla go ahead and click on the next video on your screen we have so much to share with you see you there
Comments 0