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hey this is tom and there's so much to talk about let's just jump straight into it michael berry issued a massive warning to the market i just finished reading the 13f filings filed to the sec on his behalf for the second quarter it is insane i'm either bamboozled or shocked or both this is stuff that you need to know about because this is getting serious also he just made a new crazy bet you need to hear about because this is all leading to the same place inflation or at least a high risk of inflation based on michael bury i'll show you the his filings and how this all comes together also peter thiel has a new pet project which quadruple in size it's going ballistic it's actually in cryptocurrency very interesting i'm going to show you that china is again regulating over-regulating again new guidance about regulation this is getting out of control even prompting a response from gary gensler again going on video saying hey be careful from chinese stocks this is just cayman island companies we don't know what's there also we have some news coming out out of five states basically saying hey we have record-breaking numbers as far as new cases it's getting to the point where i keep telling you i think it's rolling back the reopening and happening that fast with these new variants also home depot and walmart companies that usually we don't give a freak about they just smash through expectations they have great numbers and in this video i'll show you why walmart and home depot of all companies having such great financials in this quarter is actually a massive warning for more inflation to come i'm going to show you why how and where but i do ask of one thing don't click nothing don't smash nothing don't buy nothing no courses no sponsorships just give your attention and let's just jump into it we can start with michael berry because this is probably the stuff that you click on the video for we'll start with that and if you want to stick around for china peter thiel's new project home depot in walmart then you covered issues stay with me it's gonna get crazy so as you can see on the screen right now the big short icon michael berry has bet against kathy woods rk check this out michael berry famously known for his role in the big short book and movie has revealed that he's made a big bet against kathy wood's arc innovation etf rk barry's sign asset management that's the fun issue the 13f basically a 13f if you're not familiar with it every quarter they have to file and disclose their positions read proactively for the quarter that's ended so this is q2 which just ended a couple months ago basically he just revealed that he bought a ton of put options against rk this is crazy but hold on a second hold on a second i want to show you the other stuff you've done and how everything falls into place and what you're seeing on the screen right now is michael bury's 13 f breakdown now as you can see right here the tesla put seemed to have gone down from 39.5 out of his entire portfolio to only 35 but that's not because of tesla other stuff are involved in fact he actually doubled down increasing the tesla put by 34 he's basically doubling down on the tesla put also he has a facebook call which he actually increased by 71 essentially the same thing he's doing with google as you can see right here also increasing google by 14 these are calls now he has a put on the tlt that's the government bond essentially putting the bond means that he's seeing inflation because when you put a bond essentially what you're hoping for is an increase in interest basically lowering demand for the bond increasing the yield i know that sounds counterintuitive but that's how you do a put against a government bond essentially this is a bet on inflation now the most interesting part here is this part rk puts these are completely new and they not huge they only represent about one and a half percent of his portfolio so nothing crazy he hasn't gone ballistic here like he did with tesla it's nothing huge it's a nice story but as you can see right here it's not as big as the tesla as the facebook is the googles even as the government bonds put this is just a blimp on the radar it's just a percent in half but it's a very interesting development beyond the clickbait beyond the headline i think him putting against rk means he's betting against companies which will most suffer an increase in interest rates and a reduction in their dcf valuations putting a call on facebook and google is essentially betting on inflation because these companies will outperform the market in inflation because of their high current cash flow now he's also betting on walmart a new position 2.56 now nobody talked about that it's not as exciting as kathy would but putting a call on walmart it's another indication of inflation also a call on cvs actually is increasing by 31 percent so he's betting on those companies which will do well in inflation doubling down against the companies which will essentially crash in inflation and arc is now a part of this ball game and the bottom line here is quite simple obviously michael berry thinks that tesla is garbage it is what it is but more than he hates tesla he knows that this company will not fare well in inflationary times i think that's the main thing that drives him not the hatred for tesla or elon i think he knows that if inflation comes tesla will be suffering like volunteer like a lot of these tech companies that's why he's betting against ark and that's why he's betting on cvs walmart facebook google and that's why he's putting against the government bonds and him doubling down on this means one thing he's cocking it back even more basically it's about to explode essentially here we are at this juncture i think michael berry is telling you hey i think not me tom michael he's saying i think that inflation is literally about to pop that's why he's doing that now whether he's right or wrong who knows i'm just a guy in the internet i'm not a financial advisor i'm just a guy with an opinion so it might be an accurate might be wrong might be the ramblings of a madman you got to do it in research you know it i mean it now other news that i want to share with you is actually quite alarming more of the same look at this shanghai closes down two percent as china continues regulatory tech assault sec warns of investment risks so china is basically after saying hey we want to communicate better are going out on another rampage i'm not going to go through this obviously you can read the article but more restrictions more regulatory concerns it actually prompted the response from gary against that look at us meanwhile scc chairman gary gensler issued his most direct warning yet about investing in chinese companies when american investors think they're investing in a chinese company it's more likely we're actually investing in a company in the cayman islands in certain sectors like technology and the internet the government of china actually doesn't allow ownership and investment from people outside china to get around this channel blah blah blah and in case you missed the previous episodes this is exactly what's been going on china went on the rampage essentially canceling didi then going at 10 cent then gay gensler comes out and says hey this is getting ugly chinese basically come out and say well we want to communicate better we want to communicate better so we can solve this in a way of peace and then they go back at it now get against this pissed he's basically going into video saying hey this is risky no more chinese ipos until further notice things are not looking good for chinese talk now check this out we are on fire five u.s states set new records for covet cases as hospitalizations rise now i'm not gonna read through the article but i will tell you one thing i've been preaching about this for a while i think of it and going away that easy it's a big problem that still needs to be resolved and i think this delta variant is basically rolling back some of the reopening and the same thing can be found in the walmart and the home depot stuff look the reopening isn't going to happen that fast especially with these new variants so just make sure you understand this new situation because this is going to create a lot of opportunities in pandemic friendly areas and categories which you need to identify now i do want to show you this peter thiel back crypto broker bit panda triples valuation in five months to 4.1 billion now it's still a private company but they did triple the valuation based on their latest round and it is involving peter thiel through one of his companies but very interesting that peter thiel is already working on his new pet project it's essentially a brokerage for crypto and also they do some white labeling for banks and institutions a lot of licensing income also they do basically spreads not order flow very interesting they might actually be legit let's see what happens with this it seems that peter thiel is cooking something new always exciting now the other stuff i want to show you is home depot actually going crazy in earnings same for walmart now the reason i'm showing this it's not because i care about walmart home depot i mean i'm not a huge fan of these companies but this means one thing when these commodity sellers the retailers especially guys like home depot which sell a lot of home builders especially walmart that sell a lot of commodities and goods when they go up like this it only means one thing inflation is creeping up more expenditure on commodities means more inflation more growth again another sign that we have inflation actually creeping up while covet is actually making a comeback which isn't a great situation but every situation good or bad creates opportunities and every crisis creates opportunities for investors to actually do make money if they're smart we don't have to date great we don't have to swing trade but we can actually take a look at this and try to identify which trends are coming next with inflation creeping up a lot of commodities will go up there's a lot of cheap ones out there right now i've been talking about this for months a lot of videos that i did about that also a lot of pandemic friendly stuff like zoom for example i think zoom is actually very reasonably priced with what's going to happen right now a lot of news coming out that actually is giving you a sign about what's to come just listen to it make your decision decide for yourself thank you so much for the channel members and the patrons you guys are amazing thank you so much we do have a zoom call coming up this thursday with the patrons and channel members if you sign up by then you can participate five bucks a month and you'll be supporting the channel thank you so much we'll see you tomorrow
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