저자: Kevin · 외국인
요약 보기
도지코인 SNL 방송 후 가격이 급등 후 급락했고, 주문 체결 지연과 매도 압력이 나타났다. 지지선(69센트)을 지키지 못해 완만한 하락이 이어질 것으로 보며, 엘론 머스크의 경고도 부정적 요인으로 꼽았다. 투자자들은 리스크에 주의해야 한다고 권고한다.
다듬은 글
Oh, God. Hello everyone, it's me, Kevin, speaking to you directly from Disneyland in Anaheim, California. And, oh, oh, we watched SNL together, and I have to say, it's a little disappointing. I think the scripts we had weren't that great. And personally, I wonder if we didn't have almost all the scripts prepared in advance.
And maybe that's why some of the actors who usually go on SNL were like, "You know what? I'm going to skip this series because the scripts weren't that great. I think the actors just weren't very great." And unfortunately, Dogecoin hasn't gotten the love it deserves to see this Dogecoin to dollar move, apparently.
We started with Doge becoming something of a joke when May Musk, Elon Musk's mother, suggested that Doge was something she hoped she wouldn't get for Mother's Day. That didn't help. Elon Musk also stuttered and tried to explain what Doge was, which was obviously a built-in script to joke about: what is cryptocurrency?
How is this different from simply using a dollar? And, let's just say, it wasn't the best case scenario for Dodge. It was Dodge who became the butt of jokes. And unfortunately, that caused Dodge to jump from a peak of 72 cents, when we saw a rise from about 64 cents to a peak of about 72 cents, which ended briefly.
Then we started seeing potential whale sales literally within a minute. We saw Dodge sell the stock for 7 cents, which was truly incredible to watch. But it's also very, very disappointing, especially considering we were expecting a rally, not a selloff, and Dodge did fall to 46 cents. At the time of this recording, Dodge had rebounded a bit.
Dodge costs about 53 cents. However, we do have some potential concerns, and those concerns, at least I have, are related to the fact that Robin Hood had some enormous difficulties. Not only Robin Hood, but also E Toro, Weeble, they all had huge difficulties executing orders on Doge, whether they were sell or buy orders.
And, uh, I'm a little concerned that there's potentially a queue of people who want to sell. And sometimes it takes 22-25 minutes to execute orders. In fact, I placed a buy order and a sell order, and both of them processed in about 21 minutes. Uh, I ran the test at about 9:40 California time, sorry, 9:20 California time, and they actually executed the order at 9:40 California time, about 20 minutes later, which was very, very strange.
So part of me wonders why at some points during the SNL sketch we could buy Dogecoin on Weeble or Robin Hood, but when it came to selling, we couldn't. This was almost the complete opposite of what happened last time. Last time we, uh, saw such a euphoric flourish at GameStop. Um, basically, we saw Robin Hood limiting his purchases to reduce his risk.
But now we've actually started to see Robin Hood preventing people from selling. We get a message that says: server error. I can't sell. And, uh, sorry, maybe I'm shining a little. I'm all slathered in sunscreen because of, uh, Disneyland . But, uh, it doesn't matter. So why might this be the case? Well, my suspicion as to why Robin Hood might be having a harder time filling sell orders is potentially related to a lack of buyers.
And, uh, to be honest, that's probably the worst-case scenario. Uh , actually, we even see a difference between Weeble pricing and Robin Hood pricing. In some cases, we see that the price of Robin Hood is 55 cents , and Weeble is 5758. Personally, I wonder if it's because of, uh , significantly greater sales pressure on Robin Hood.
I don't know now. This is just an assumption. But let's try to predict, and I don't like to say " predict" because, well, predictions can be wrong, but let's talk about the future of Doge. First of all, what happened here? The bottom line is that the SNL sketch wasn't good for Doge. The Doge peak was a blunder.
It was a disappointment. Doge has not sold down, at least not yet. And again, we don't know if they are holding sell orders , waiting for bids to appear to match the orders. Theoretically, if there are more sell orders than buy orders, the currency should simply fall sharply until those sell orders can be filled instantly.
But since it takes about 20 minutes to execute sell orders, it makes you wonder if there are any attempts to support the market or prevent it from free-falling? I do n't know. It's just really strange how order execution works. It doesn't seem to work as a smooth and efficient market. But then again , I...I can also imagine everything ...I wouldn't be surprised if 10 million people were watching SNL tonight and everyone was trying to buy and sell Doge.
I mean, it's just crazy for brokers. And I'm not excusing brokers , okay? I just think it must be crazy. And yes, I'm losing my voice a little too . Too much screaming on a roller coaster , okay? But anyway, listen, this is my first vacation in 15 months. So if you're upset about this, get life insurance by going to medkaven.com/life or sign up for Weeble to get two free shares by going to medkaven.com/weeeble.
No, but let's focus on this. Future. Future. Okay, let's talk about the future. So, here's the thing. Usually, when you come out of a media peak for securities or cryptocurrency, you tend to experience a bleed. Look at Microvision over the last 3 weeks. Look at Mind Medicine over the past 3 weeks. Look at JVO over the last 3 months.
Uh, I mean these are momentum-based stocks that have had their moments in time. They had peak media attention. JVO gets the climate ...sorry, the specific fuel scientist assigned to Joe Biden's science task force that's running this, goes up about $15 and then there's just a slow decline. I do n't know if Doge will necessarily free fall because we haven't gotten any news here, but I would be very, very wary of losing unless we get some additional news that builds momentum.
And the reason for that is , uh , every day, day after day, people aren't necessarily going to sell right now. I mean, why, why, why sell right now, right? It's like : okay, we didn't get the announcement. We didn't get, oh, Tesla will accept Doge for Tesla, uh, or anything like that, right? We didn't understand this .
So, we didn't get a dollar pump. We did n't get epic euphoria. Yeah, we got, you know, a bit of a humorous Elon Musk speech, but the overall theme here was, you know, more negative than positive. Uh, and this was partly foreshadowed by Elon Musk's tweet yesterday, where he wrote something like, "Hey, I recommend you be careful with cryptocurrencies." He, you know, knows the script .
He rehearsed it. So he warned everyone. And, to be fair , the last thing I think Elon Musk wants is to see a lot of people lose money, right? He doesn't want to be associated with people who are forced to, uh , you know, or people who put everything into stocks or currencies and then see them lose money.
He doesn't want this. So he expresses caution. That makes sense. But what's next for Dodge? And this is the main question now: if we do not have a forecast for Doge's further actions , then a collapse is again possible. And every time there's potential for a crash, there's a slow sell-off, or maybe something like a 52- cent drop, maybe it goes up to 58, but then it drops to 49, then to 53, and to 46.
And you see that sharp drop until another media event happens. Friends, the Doge movements, and this is very important to know, and I think you all know this, the Doge movements were not fundamentally driven. What I teach in my stock and money psychology group, what I teach in my real estate investing group, is fundamental investing.
When we look at Nphase and think, "Oh my God, it's trading at 23 earnings per share for 2024, and we think that's going to be earnings per share for 2024 when we hit that level." And we get this energy revolution. This means that perhaps we are buying Nphase at 181.19 times 2024 earnings for a growth company with a market cap of $30 billion.
Oh my God, this is a bargain, isn't it? This has been terrible, hasn't it? The last three months have been very, very painful for some of our, uh, for some of our growth plans. But you always need to remember that there is a very, very big difference between fundamental analysis and momentum analysis.
Momentum analysis is usually not, and I won't say for sure because we don't know , maybe there will be some more news from Doge in the next few days that will take this thing back to the moon, but generally, when you reach a media peak, you get a decline, regardless of whether it's rapid. It doesn't have to be fast.
Mostly it is slow bleeding. Why? Why does psychologically slow bleeding make sense? It makes sense, because when you wake up and think, “Oh, make 49 today. That’s normal. The price will rise tomorrow. The next day you wake up and think, “This is 46. This is 39. And you keep seeing the decline. At some point, people say, " Well, I can leave as long as I have a profit." They sell.
This reduces the price even further. When people start losing their primary investments, that's when you'll see the real investors . Look, it's easy for people to say, "Oh, I'm an investor." “When you have thousands of dollars to win , tens of thousands, hundreds, of course it’s easy to get Christmas hands because it’s all a game of damn money.
You start to lose your principle. That's when things get more complicated. And there are many people who bought Doge shares between 30 and 50 because of the sketch with Elon Musk. And now that the sketch was like this: “Yes. Yes. That's all. I wouldn't be surprised if we see people buying." Oh, well, look, I bought 30 of them.
Let me take some profit. Good. Boom, boom, boom, boom. We could potentially return to these resistance levels. Well, actually, to support levels, given the direction we're heading. We may see these support levels again, I don't think maybe 24, that was a lower support level, maybe more consistently around the 29-30 level.
Uh, if we break through those support levels, then we're going to have bigger problems, and then we're hoping, " Okay, is there any other momentum that we can see, will people do what happened after GameStop ?" So, all of a sudden, well, some people are moving to AMC, some people are moving to, you know , Microvision, some people are moving to whatever other stocks are going to have different momentum.
And what happened to GameStop? Well, you never saw those peak prices of $480 again. You saw, yeah, sure, that they dropped to 40, but then jumped up to 160. But look, they've been hovering in the 160 to 180 range for what, a month or something, which is really a lot in all the GameStop drama, because it's only been happening for the last 5 months.
But, uh, this is where you have to be careful, okay? What is the next catalyst for Doge? You should be cautious about risk and very attentive to this slow decline to the lower support level. It doesn't have to be a sharp drop, but there will be a lot of people who, I think, will just wait. Let's see what happens tomorrow.
Remember, people, when sales on Robin Hood aren't going well, it's not a sign that Robin Hood is trying to scam you. This is a sign that Robin Hood has no buyers. Robin Hood has no buyers, which you can see from the example of the price difference between Robin Hood and Weeble, you are potentially creating conditions for a lot of people to want to exit, orders are not being filled, things are dragging a bit.
Well, okay, then I'll just wait until tomorrow. I'll cancel the deal, wait until tomorrow, and then over the next few days you'll potentially see the stairs going down. So I would just express caution. Listen, I want to see this thing go up to a dollar. Actually, to be honest, I want it to go up to 1337, about $37.
Well, 337, because I think that's such a big number. But, uh, actually the support level that we needed to hold was 69. 69 is the support level that we needed to hold to reach the dollar. We did not support him . We briefly surpassed it. We fell quickly and consolidated to the 50s. Sure, we touched 46, but consolidation at 50 is not consolidation around our support at 69, which is not so good for trying to reach the dollar.
We'll see. Again , there could be some big news tomorrow, but given all these complicating factors, especially Elon Musk not wanting anyone to lose money, expressing caution, making some negative jokes about Dodge, people, just be careful. In the meantime, check out the program links below. Check out Weeble.
Be sure to visit medkaven.com/weble and receive two free shares worth up to $1,850 with a $100 deposit . And if you want to earn interest on your cryptocurrency, go to medkaven.com/bf . This is the decryption of BlockFi. Go to medkaven.com/bf hope you enjoyed this raucous nighttime video with shiny faces , and friends, see you in the next one. See you later .
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