저자: Henry · 외국인
요약 보기
일론 머스크의 트럼프 선거 지원으로 테슬라가 향후 4년간 정치적 수혜를 받을 것이라 주장. 단기로는 풋 매도 등 옵션 전략으로 주식 확보를 권하고, 장기로는 5년 내 100만 대 로보택시가 연 매출 1000억 달러·순이익 400억 달러를 만들어 시가총액 2조 달러 도달을 예상. 현재 PER 100은 고평가지만 모멘텀 장세라 주가 500달러까지 갈 수 있다고 주장. 자신의 포트폴리오 수익을 내세우며 유료 커뮤니티 가입을 홍보.
다듬은 글
Elon Musk just created a huge opportunity for Tesla what's even crazier is how much more money there is still to be made in this wonderful company in this video I'm going to break down how you can still make more money on Tesla given that we are now post election and with the Federal Reserve meeting this window of opportunity is closing so there isn't much time that we have here to still capitalize on this opportunity we can't afford to wait there's a setup that I really want you to get into so I'm not going to waste any of your time I respect your time let's jump right into it watch this quick clip on Gan monster and what he said about Tesla because this is going to be an absolute game Cher If Tesla gains 50% share of the US ride sharing Market by 2030 which actually I think is is a reasonable Target we'll save that discussion for another day but that would add about 20% to operating income and so Stock's up 15% that adds 20% now they can take this in other parts of the world but a lot of it got priced in in a hurry I'm a big believer and what that means the one piece that maybe wasn't priced in today is that if they sell more Robo taxis elon's talking about 2 to four million a year ultimately that' be about a third of total Tesla deliveries I'll take the under on that I think it's probably closer to one to two but uh that's another piece so Melissa to answer your question I think that this kind of Fairly reflected or started to price in some of the robo taxi opportunity yeah and that's where analysts and and so many wall streeters got so bullish after that cyber cab event um that's where they sort of said you know the the market cap could be X Y and Z above what it is right now guys check it out Tesla has been on an absolute tear and we need to talk about this I have 1,000 shares of Tesla I made $121,000 in a really short amount of time on Tesla stock and specifically I think that the market cap is going to reach $2 trillion now why do I think that well actually this is a thought from Gan monster as well as many other investors on Wall Street they're looking at Tesla and they're predicting that the stock will have a total market capitalization of 2 trillion right now Tesla's at around 1.1 trillion so I'm going to be sharing my research with you and going down the list of what the opportunities are in Tesla and what I'm specifically going to be doing with the stock because right now the stock I'm up $120,000 in a short amount of time a lot of my options right here are just put options I do not have covered calls I'm letting my shares completely run and that's been the best decision that I've made this year so far and I think there's still a lot more money that we can make here so look check it out a lot of this actually has to do with Robo taxes which I want to cover as my long-term thesis but first I want to go over my short-term thesis because you might not have time to watch this whole video so let's just first give you the the whole blueprint the summary of the short-term thesis the short-term thesis is this Elon Musk is an active supporter and campaigner for Trump in the election that equals power okay now that Trump's in the White House and Elon Musk and Trump are like buddy budddy that's going to be a very big uh benefit to Tesla now I don't know to what extent but I'm telling you there is going to be influence and power and that's going to translate into some regulatory stuff that's going to translate into Tesla stock having a really really good four years like I said Elon Musk will have influence over the White House and you know maybe this has nothing to do with the business of Tesla but it's going to impact Tesla indirectly all right now I also want to say that in Trump we musk okay I saw that quot or comment somewhere and I thought it was really funny in Trump we musk okay so given this relationship I think there going to be the best four years of Tesla and also just looking at you know obviously politics are really important if you think politics don't play a huge role in making money you're absolutely out of your mind politics is money it's a business everything's a business doctor's a business everything's a business right politics is especially a business and I think politics is really important for Tesla due to regul regulatory actions right as well as EV tax credits right EV tax credits have been a huge contributor to eveve adoption and they're going to be going away which I actually mentioned in my last Tesla video before Tesla was over $300 per share you can watch that video but just visiting my channel that EV tax credits are going to have a big impact on Tesla now let me tell you because I've gotten a lot of questions and myself as a financial analyst I used to be a financial analyst on Wall Street let me tell you what I think about the valuation and because I've analyzed Tesla's numbers and I think the valuation I have a lot of thoughts to it okay so here let me go down through my research this is from the research that I've done I spent a lot of hours on this all right Tesla's forward PE ratio is jawdropping guys it's like its PE ratio is 100 that means for every dollar that they're earning you are paying 100 times to own this stock okay that is jaw-dropping numbers now look to put that into perspective look at Nvidia Nvidia is a fantastic growth stock right it's only at 39 times earnings and even giants like Microsoft and Amazon they also sit in P ratios of well below 50 okay the best companies in the world the fastest growing are below 50 Teslas at 100 the valuation on just from the fronts right if you're just looking at it from the front view it's shocking it's alarming right I am concerned however let me point out something very important when it comes to Tesla and how I made a lot of money and why I think there's still more room to run for the stock folks it's very simple all right this stock doesn't trade on fundamentals it trades on momentum which is something I've covered a lot on this channel and I've actually had my momentum wheel strategy which I think a lot of you guys saw my momentum wheel straty this stock is running on momentum okay momentum is the biggest force in the market it's kind of like gravity but the opposite right we're pulling up right now and we want to ride that momentum it's like a wave okay you don't have to have the biggest boat to benefit from a you know a wave the wave goes up you're all all Rising boats there that quote right all tides all high tides rise boats right so this stock is going to continue to run and I think it's going to continue to run to $500 per share because of Elon Musk his campaign support and Trump in the election which is going to equal power his influence over the White House to some degree I don't know to what degree right I'm not a predictor of politics I'm not even a political guy I could care less right I'm trying to put some money in your pocket I'm trying to gain more wealth I'm trying to do you know I'm not trying I'm the best option trading coach that's my goal right I don't care about so I don't know to what degree although I do think that there will be some influence there now I've talked about fundamentals because that's obviously what you know I've been doing on Wall Street for some time right I I wasn't on Wall Street for the longest time I didn't see a point I wanted to be investor as fast as possible if you want to make money the best way to make money is working for yourself and investing it's not working for someone else and it's not paying high taxes all right so look Tesla I have sold put right now I'm letting my shares run I would say right now if you're thinking about jumping into Tesla I would honestly aggressively sell put options because I am tempted to buy the stock as it goes to $500 per share in the next you know 2025 2026 but right now it makes a lot of sense to sell puts and I would aggressively sell puts so if I go to trade Tesla options I would break all my rules because right now we want to ride momentum and there's two ways to ride momentum okay here's the first way first way I would just sell puts short term you can sell puts for next week and you can go for an aggressive put sell just to get just to acquire shares right now look unfortunately the big momentum Spike has already happened right everyone has already made money I've made six figures and I have Tesla two portfolios I made multiple six figures on Tesla by not doing covered calls by simply just having the stock okay I decided that back when Tesla was around 250 per share that there was enough momentum for me that I couldn't really ignore it what I thought about was Tesla is going to have upside I don't know how much I did not feel comfortable selling covered calls therefore I actually bought back my covered call and I let my shares ride the same thing I've done for paler okay Tesla and Palante here are two stocks I've been absolutely 100% correct on and I've let both ride okay I'm super thankful because given election I was really bullish on on the results I I pretty much knew who was going to win and I thought that would be a bullish move which is why I've been telling you guys buy options actually lately do covered calls sell puts get 100% into the market that's what I've been saying right that's why we have so many students right now that are making like 8% 10% per month in fact here's a student actually that has been with me for a few months now and here's his results so far here to date I am up around $200,000 and I started my portfolio with around $90,000 at the beginning of this year I think that the most helpful thing has been the community the community the the the coaches being there to resolve my questions my doubts sometimes it can be a little scary at the beginning because you're talking about a lot lot of money so being behind people that already gone through uh those learning paths and are very willing to show you and share with you uh the their insight and their most important in strategies it's really really helpful so I did my homework before joining I almost joined another Discord which at the end was a fake one or or not a a one with this kind of great leadership uh and so the other thing that I would say is there's a high Roi on investing in this community I mean the the amount of knowledge and insight you will get from joining this community will very easily pay the investment you will make all right guys so look I'm going to sell puts at 330 all right I'm going to just hold on to my stock that's all I'm doing sell puts aggressively don't even worry about Delta well the Delta here is actually .3 so this actually goes according to my sweet spot I actually thought this would be a higher Delta this is only3 so that's actually perfect go for 3.4 Delta if you want to acquire Tesla stock if you're already in Tesla stock just let the shares run if you have covered calls roll those covered calls up okay watch the recent video I've had on rolling because you want to roll to make more money there's a lot of things to do with Tesla there's just a whole lot of money to be made I can make this video super long but I'm trying to be as efficient as possible because I respect your time let me cover my long-term thesis I've told you my short-term thesis I've told you why I've told you how much I think is going to happen and I and I even gave you that fundamental breakdown now look you know this is this is my long-term thesis here so here's a long-term thesis I personally assume that Tesla's going to have about 1 million Robo taxis over the next 5 years okay over the next 5 years I think we're going to see driverless cars just driving us around okay that's scary and I kind of don't want to get into a driverless car but nonetheless economically it's going to happen right because not having a driver and having the car drive you means that a there's going to be a lot of people that want to get in on business are going to buy Tesla like crazy and then B at the end of the day I mean people want to save money right unless you have money falling from the sky you want to probably save money right for the most part I think 90% of people or or or more right given the choice of a uh you know $45 ride with a with a person or a $27 ride with the Tesla I think people are going to pick the $27 ride right because that is a decent amount of savings that's a whole lunch right there right so people are going to have free lunch I guess which in economics the principle of the first one of the first lessons of Economics is there is no free lunch but I think because Tesla literally has such lower costs it's going to actually provide like a free lunch in terms of like the cost savings that there's going to be a million Robo taxis over the next 5 years and let's just say people are estimating $200,000 per year on these Robo taxis let let me just say the low end we're going to have $100,000 so look 1 million Robo taxis $100,000 per year that's going to be a $100 billion of Revenue now Tesla might achieve $40 net margin uh which I think is comparable to you know software like margins a lot of software companies do have 40% net margin all right and since Tesla could earn both on the subscription of you know the Tesla autonomous vehicle as well as you know other revenue streams I don't know all the revenue streams are going to have but I think it's going to be around 40% that would basically be you can see on the screen 100 billion Revenue times 40% margin which is $40 billion in net income now a tech earnings right I was a tech analyst a tech future earnings or a forward earnings multiple right let's say that this is common in the market is 25 PE ratio Tesla is at 100 right now me putting a 25 PE ratio is being very reasonable all right 40 billion time 25 PE ratio that's a $1 trillion valuation that is what I think will be added to Tesla's valuation over the next 5 years but maybe that'll get realized sooner maybe that get realized later I'm not going to try to predict the stock at what when it'll do that it's just I know it will I don't know what time period exactly but I'm telling you in the next 12 24 months just like I predicted pal here just like my portfolios at you know is it's it's approaching $4 million actually let's take a look at my onee results cuz I they they were pretty good my onee results 5.9% just like I've been right on the money with so many options you can see all the options here I believe Tesla will approach a $2 trillion valuation in the next couple of years and I think right now it's a really good time to ride the wave okay unfortunately you might have missed out on on a lot of the easy gains but I think there's still more gains to come so $500 per share on Tesla I think very reasonable in the somewhat near future
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