저자: 미상 · 외국인
요약 보기
마이클 버리의 2023년 1분기 13F 공시 기반 포트폴리오 변화를 분석한 영상으로, 예측 발언보다는 과거 매매 내역 설명이 중심이다. [매수 내역] 버리는 1분기에 약 8000만 달러 규모로 매수에 나섰으며, 중국 주식 비중을 크게 늘렸다. 징동닷컴(JD.com)은 분기 실적이 전년 대비 300% 증가하고 순이익 60억 위안 수준으로 강하지만 주가는 부진해 매수 기회로 언급되었다. 다만 중국 리스크가 있다고 덧붙였다. 알리바바는 2020년 대비 주가가 77% 하락한 상태에서 매수된 것으로 보고, 실적 성장은 강하다고 설명했다. 씨그나 주얼러스(Signet Jewelers)는 세계 최대 다이아몬드 주얼리 소매업체로, 버리의 다이아몬드 사업 진출로 해석되었다. 퍼스트리퍼블릭은약 200만 달러 규모 소액 매수였으며 이후 97% 하락해 손실이 확정적인 것으로 설명했다. [매도 내역] 블랙나이트(Black Knight)는 최대 매도 종목으로, 1분기 초 매도가 유리했다고 분석했다. 울버린 월드와이드(Wolverine Worldwide)는 2022년 8월 이후 50% 하락 후 매도되어 반등을 놓쳤을 가능성이 언급되었다. MGM 리조트도 1분기 초 매도 시 35% 상승분을 놓쳤을 것으로 분석했다. [포트폴리오] 현재 약 21개 종목으로 구성되며, 중국 관련 비중이 약 20%(JD·알리바바 합산 추정), 씨그나 주얼러스가 약 10%를 차지한다. [출연자 전망] 영상은 1분기 13F 공시 분석 중심이며 향후 1~3개월 가격 방향에 대한 명확한 예측은 제시되지 않았다. 중국 리스크 언급과 버리의 과거 시장 붕괴 경고 이력을 짚는 데 그쳤다.
다듬은 글
famed investor Michael burry has been on an absolute buying spree now quite ironic as he spent the last two years warning everybody about the biggest stock market crash in history coming our way however with latest regulatory filings we can now see everything he's been up to in 2023 including some very interesting bets from Bank stocks to Diamonds and so in this video we'll take a look at the latest moves from Dr Michael J bury including his latest buys his latest sells and what his full portfolio looks like and it's all looking a bit Chinese okay first up we do have to point out the elephant in the room which is the fact that Michael burry has been warning of a market crash to orders of magnitude bigger than anything we've seen before also famous tweets like sell but then most recently he did come back to say that he was wrong to say so so what has Michael Barry been up to well he's been on a huge buying spree foreign buys of Michael burry and to say he's bought a few things is a bit of an understatement he's been on a huge buying spree and this is to the tune of about 80 million dollars now massively ramping up his China Holdings we've got a very interesting buy here which we'll cover in a second we've got Bank stocks he's also taken a big punt with First Republic Bank if you remember what happened to them we'll look at that in a second as well now to keep this video short and sweet we'll just cover the three biggest ones so starting with jd.com and this is like the Chinese equivalent of Amazon and something that's noteworthy is in their financials so this is their quarterly financials and just look at the bounce back in China we are looking at a 300 year-on-year increase and this is no small company net income of 6 billion so outstanding performance and if we take a look at the stock price for the last year it certainly isn't reflected in the stock price now Michael Murray will have bought in q1 so somewhere January February March and amazingly he's probably taken a big hit on JD despite its outstanding performance so probably right now is a very good buying opportunity but obviously we do have some risks with China next was Alibaba and we don't have the latest quarterly results but year on year again looking very very strong now when it comes to the share price you can see there was a big Fall From Grace in from 2020 it actually dropped 77 now bury will have picked this up at some point in q1 and again like quickly it's probably down from when he bought it but then his top three buy which was very very interesting is Cigna Jewelers and Cigna Jewelers is the world's largest retailer of diamond jewelry so Michael burry getting into the diamond business probably one of his most interesting buys right there and for the share price at some point in q1 but again we've had some runs of about 13 and back down but it's pretty much gone sideways and then there's a bit of a bonus one we have to take a look at First Republic Bank and so the last reported price was about 14 invested around 2 million dollars and check this out this is what happened to First Republic so he's obviously bought at some point between January and March so maybe there was a little run-up there was the first initial crash which was about a 20 drop Michael burry likely bought the dip or even if he bought at the end of March bought a massive dip of 80 percent but even best case scenario and he bought right at the end of March after a huge drop it still went on to drop 97 so it looks to me like Michael burry tried to buy this huge dip but currently down about 97 ouch and on to the biggest cells so this is the full list of everything he's sold completely out of and reduced but let's just take the three biggest and the biggest one by far was Black Knight and for those who don't know so Michael burry's obviously quite knowledgeable on the property market and black knight provide tech services data analytics to the mortgage lending and servicing industry now let's just take a look so at some point he's gonna have sold between January and March so this time selling earlier is better because there's a downward Trend so if it's sold in January then he's missed out on this sort of 10 decline if he left it late in March then he actually was taking a hit number two was Wolverine worldwide and this is the American footwear manufacturer and as you can see here there was a big drop a 50 cut from August 2022 now this time if he thought this was going further down and sold at the beginning of January then he would have missed out on a bounce back of 50 percent so hopefully he held on to get these gains and then when it came to February March if he sold then it's gone sideways since and a similar picture with MGM if it sold in January then he's probably missed out on a big 35 run however if he sold towards the end of q1 then he will have taken this gain and it's gone sideways since and to finish up for anyone interested this is how Michael burry's portfolio looks with the latest data and it's made up of 21 stocks to the tune it was actually 107 million however if we just take it and round it down to the 100 million then these percentages become super super simple so 10 in JD would be about 10 million 10 million 9 million seven seven so it makes it super easy to see the size of the positions now when I was saying that it all looks a bit Chinese so his biggest two positions 20 of the portfolio is now betting on China Barry getting into the diamond business at almost 10 this is a huge move now the First Republic Bank bet was only about two percent of the portfolio but still about two million dollars and that is the portfolio the q1 2023 famed investor or more accurately I would say Trader Michael Barry has been on an absolute buying spree and this was after the last couple of years of him warning of the biggest stock market crash in history coming our way his top three buys for q1 were betting big on China with jd.com and Alibaba and then very interestingly getting into the diamond business with Cigna Jewelers looks like he took a bit of a loss with mortgage Servicing Company Black Knight but then probably made up for it with Wolverine worldwide and also MGM and Michael Barry also tried to get involved with the bank stocks and it looks like he's taken a massive hit with First Republic as that one went on to drop 97 and finally one thing's for sure it's never boring following the moves and tweets of Dr Michael J Murray so hello there well guys hope you enjoyed now tell me what do you think about the latest moves let me know below and for now just to say if you did enjoy anything in the video then drop a like and a big thank you to everyone who does and I'll see you in the next video bye for now
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