저자: 미상 · 외국인
요약 보기
Burry 경고는 2023년 하락 가능성을 제시하지만, 영상 자체는 그의 차트와 발언을 해설하는 형식으로 명확한 종목별 매매 추천은 없다. 첫 번째 경고: S&P 500 차트를 2000~2003년 닷컴 버블 붕괴기와 비교. 당시 약세장 속 랠리는 약 10%, 10%, 20%, 25%, 25%였고, 2022년 시장도 약 10%, 10%, 20%, 20% 수준의 랠리를 보여 유사하다는 주장. 현재는 더 큰 하락 구간이 남아 있다는 해석. 두 번째 경고: 1월 말 Burry가 단순히 'Sell(매도)'을 외쳤다는 내용. 별도 근거 설명은 없음. 세 번째 경고: 닷컴 붕괴 당시 주가 하락기에 연준이 금리를 인하했던 반면, 이번에는 역사상 유례없이 빠르게 금리를 인상 중이라는 점을 강조. 고금리는 주식에 불리하고 저축을 유도하며 차입 비용을 높여 기업 성장을 저해한다는 논리. 'This time is different'가 핵심 메시지. 결론: 시장은 약세장 랠리 후 추가 하락 위험이 있다는 Burry식 경고이며, 근거는 역사적 차트 비교와 금리 인상 속도. 영상 말미에는 시청자 의견 요청과 구독·좋아요 요청만 있음.
다듬은 글
Dr Michael J Murray is back Michael burry the famed investor known for predicting the great financial crisis of 2008. after deleting his Twitter account and going dark for a while Barry is back and he's given three distinct warnings about a bigger crash coming our way in 2023 and so we're going to take a look at these three warnings and break down exactly what is he seeing that others are not as always if you do enjoy anything in the video then drop a like and a big thank you to everyone who does okay first up at the end of last month Michael burry came back on the scene with this first warning foreign starting with his first warning in the third week of January this year he came out with this bombshell and he dropped a chart saying maybe that we are here and Michael Murray's quite famous for not really giving any explanations in his charts so essentially what we're looking at this is the S P 500 and the time period was the.com crash so year 2000 2001 two and three and similar to last year when the markets have come down and we've just gone through a nice little rally and he's basically saying that there's a bigger leg down to come so it's an interesting comparison against the.com crash so let's just take a quick look at the similarities so here is the same chart this is the S P 500 year 2000 2001 two and three and let's just take a look at some of these crashes and bear Market rallies so here the markets rallied up about 10 next one was about 10 then a bigger one was just over 20 this one was about 25 and then the last one again was about 25 so it ranges from 10 on the small side to 20 and 25 and here we have the S P 500 from 2022 first one here again it's about 10 next one just over 10 percent next one about 10 then a bigger one was close to 20 and then the one that we're just going through right now up to 20 so you have to admit it is very similar to what happened in the.com Crash so far then Michael Murray came back with his second warning and this time with this bombshell at the end of January he simply came back and said sell and this probably doesn't need much elaboration I think it's very clear what he's saying basically now is the time to get out and then his third and most recent warning that's just come was this bombshell again a nice little chart with no explanation other than this time is different so let me explain what's going on here again it's the S P 500 same chart actually as the last one and this time he's overlaid the feds funds rate so interest rates so let's just take a closer look and see what is he saying so back on over to the S P 500 in the.com Crash and this time I've added the feds funds rate so I think this is much clearer to see what's going on and basically what he's saying is that in the.com crash as the market was crashing down the Fed was also lowering interest rates and lower interest rates are actually good for the stock market and he is saying this time is different and now when we look at the charts from 2022 so basically what we're going through right now this time the FED is not just raising interest rates but they're raising them faster than any time in history and high interest rates are bad for the stock market and this is what it means by this time is different and so Michael burry is back and warning all of us of the next major leg down in the financial markets the first warning explained that he believes right now is similar to the.com crash and that we're just in another bear Market rally which will soon be over the second warning was simply to sell and I think that message was pretty clear and the third warning gave a little bit more explanation as to his thinking in that in the.com Crash the Fed was lowering interest rates as the market was crashing and as he says this time is different this time the FED is Raising interest rates as the Market's full and high interest rates are not good for stocks it encourages saving instead of investing and makes it expensive to borrow money and many businesses rely on borrowing money for growth so there you are guys hope you enjoyed now tell me what do you think about Barry's latest warnings let me know below but for now just to say if you did enjoy anything in the video then drop a like and a big thank you to everyone who does and I'll see you in the next video bye for now me thods
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