저자: JimCramer · 외국인
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엔비디아 실적 발표(11/20) 앞두고 강세 전망. 애널리스트 목표가 상향이 이어지고 있으며, 반도체 지수는 사상 최고지만 종목 대부분은 200일선 상회 비율이 낮아 조정 또는 엔비디아 추가 상승 중 하나가 필요하다는 논쟁이 소개됨. Cramer는 실적 발표 후 반도체 신규 투자 기회라고 봄. 한편 러셀2000은 선행 PE 10.7배로 S&P 대비 밸류에이션 여유가 있어 로테이션 가능성 언급.
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what about uh Deutsche bank's point yesterday that uh Nvidia next week uh may not beat as much on Revenue as they normally do average beat on Revenue last five quarters $2 billion I I think that could be true you're still de dealing with the idea of a yield on on a Blackwell their current generation yield being you don't not all of them are done you you might make uh for every thousand maybe you have to throw away like 400 so the gross margin is not going to be what people want I don't think there going to be as many watch parties as there are for saquan Barkley whoa uh uh my understanding is this will be closed as soon as early next week and they're going to just keep buying those h100s he's you know again in only the way mustan and the information did a very interesting story on this a few days ago I mean what they've done in Memphis in as short a time as possible to build this data center and to Network all of these h100s is nothing short of many say uh somewhat miraculous so much faster than any other company can build the data center it also may be one of the reasons why I know that I'm not looking for a big offside surprise Nvidia but the h100 is not the current that's not the most current ell is but but what's great h100 then h200 Blackwell here's maybe if you've already started with h100s you got to I don't know okay so what what Jensen would tell you Jen WR the CEO is that you they're all cumulative because they use software and it's not like it's not like a 46 and then you want to turn it back as a pennium they were you do the h100 it works well the H they don't they don't depreciate right and Jensen mentions the greatness of working with musk on this self-driving and right now you musk still says that Jensen makes the best chips he's not H doesn't seem like he very begrudging y you know you say like yeah Jensen's good um I mean you know I mean was quoted as saying you know as far as I know there's only one person in the world who could do that and that being putting together in 122 days this Colossus that's what they actually call it on the supercomputer uh that's housed there this week in the stock market there's a buzz that's nearly impossible to ignore all eyes are on Nvidia the Silicon stalwart known for its high performance Graphics processing units As It prepares to unveil its quarterly results it's not just another earnings report it's the kind of event that has investors and analysts sitting at the edge of their seats known for sparking rallies and setting astronomical benchmarks nvidia's influence in the tech ecosystem is profound with the anticipated debut of its AIC Centric Blackwell processor later this year the company could be poised to LEAP to unprecedented Heights amid swirling rumors of its Financial prowess Giants of Wall Street and Tech leaders are particularly optimistic about nvidia's next moves so what is it about Nvidia that has everyone so captivated let's let's dive into the details and see why Wall Street is channeling its bullish energy towards this Innovative Juggernaut welcome back everyone to invest ocy Nvidia is up again it's up 1.6% I'm not sure what an was referring to if that means you know stay long Nvidia or or what um I I also this came up in the conversation with Nelson Peltz too because you know he invests in some more old school consumer companies we talked a lot about Unilever in particular and he made an interesting analogy to other companies that have been shells of themselves that just haven't used technology in an effective way so when he looks at Brands he looks at Brands like dob soap which everybody always wants but how they're using this gen to power marketing and produce efficiencies and productivity so it really is an analysis tool for all investors even in stocks that don't have anything to do with chips yet yet exactly and then of course Andrew and David showed off their avatars and that's just what's possible today God knows what it's going to be like in a year speaking of Nvidia we are going to get earnings next week got three interesting calls on the stock today opco goes to 175 Ray J goes to 170 deuts is really the only net skeptic I would say they keep 115 they argue that the revenue upside may not be as potent this quarter as it's been in Prior quarters the average revenue beat last five quarters is $2 billion it's been a good run and but sets a high bar when it comes to earnings expectations Nvidia has become synonymous with the field of artificial intelligence a transformation that pivot from its origins in gaming Graphics to an all-encompassing Tech Powerhouse The Narrative surrounding Nvidia is almost like a Wall Street Fairytail one where gpus originally crafted for crafting realistic game visuals unexpectedly became the Cornerstone for AI model processing this Twist of Industry fate led to financial results that would make any Investor's heart race in its fiscal 2024 second quarter nvidia's record revenue of $ 13.5 billion up 101% year-over-year made Wall Street stand up and take notice for those wondering if these skyrocketing numbers are sustainable nvidia's predictive performance for the upcoming quarters shows sustained Vigor albeit at a lesser explosive growth rate but fear not just because the Nitro boost has throttled back slightly doesn't mean the engine isn't still churning with mighefore I Let You Go um you just uh mentioned AI Nvidia everyone's builing up to it they report next week four upgrades today but semiconductors in general bifurcate it right so the semiconductor index is at an all-time high only 20 25% of the names in that are even above their 200 day moving average it feels like something's got to give either the rest of the semiconductors come back or Nvidia pulls back pulls down yeah now it's a great Point look we were looking do we take off our semiconductor exposure we're leaving our semiconductor exposure on we got Nvidia earnings coming up here I think you got to get Nvidia earnings out of the way I think that's going to again clear the path for another L higher for semis I think this is an answer prayers for in a lot of ways if you've been looking to get in on semis use this as an advantage I think post inid earnings is going to be too late Charles I think this is a great time to put new money to work yeah I I agree I think there's a whole lot of uh quiet names down there that could be opportunistic David thank you very much my friend appreciate it in a Twist of market dynamics nid future appears graced by the yet to be unveiled Blackwell processor analysts are not just Spectators here they're engaged fans waving their metaphorical foam fingers predicting this next chip as a GameChanger as they recalibrate their financial models and forecast spreadsheets price targets are getting upgraded regularly it's almost comedic how some analysts liken holding on to Nvidia now to being an early adopter with Apple's initial iPhone offerings calling it a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity melus researches Ben Wes's compared giving up on Nvidia now to relinquishing Apple Stakes right before it revolutionized the tech Market even with nvidia's stock facing slight turbulence earlier this summer analysts lean on one undeniable truth the unparalleled demand for gpus and AI development this demand has Tech Titans rushing to integrate Nvidia chips driving its Revenue to new heights that read like a work of fiction to some despite the volatility and evaluation that might prompt double takes nvidia's staggering growth figures and Innovation history justify its premium standing investors are urged to weigh these factors with neurological calmness coming November 20th when Nvidia reports its results the stakes are high with Wall Street poised to adjust its narrative based on nvidia's reality check let's talk about that rotation Tom and the extent to which there's still a long way to go so if you're looking at the valuations of some of those sectors that haven't done so well in recent months uh and Years or or whether things have bounced enough across the board that you start to get a little bit concerned about valuations for the entire Market not just the nvidias of this world um yeah valuations are definitely something our clients are asking us about because uh you know the equity markets have been rising for several years but the idea of a rotation I I think is grounded on a a couple of things one is that the fed's rate path is lower and that benefits cyclical stocks and small caps and we know there's also a lot of cash on the sidelines and investors drisk uh because of you know the the Yen crisis and and just general concerns about the summer and so I I think the Nvidia uh results plus the FED in September is really the Catalyst that it's going to get some investors to actually follow through with rotation so I think we're early cuz for instance small caps I know people think they're expensive but the median PE of a Russell 2000 stock is still 10.7 times forward earnings that's compared to almost 17 times for the S&P so the the small caps have a lot of room for multiple expansion to invest or not to invest that question seems rhetorical in the given market conditions surrounding Nvidia despite its current stock being roughly 10% off its all-time high the target is clear an optimistic Ascent propelled by continuous innovation and Strate iic corporate foresight Nvidia remains a compelling investment especially for those seeking a steady upward trajectory rather than explosive unpredictable gains analysts forecast ongoing impressive Revenue growth predicting nvidia's Financial sepor reaches even greater Heights in fiscal 20126 with projected earnings marking vast potential for its stock wall Street's itch for NVIDIA signals more than mere hype it's rooted in robust expectations and the promise of consistent Market outperformance with future growth forecasts appearing exceedingly promising Nvidia beckons as the stock to watch if not buy do you see yourself joining the ranks of current investors or sitting on the sidelines observing how do you perceive nidia's potential in shaping the future of Aid driven market dynamics it's time to weigh in on this stock market spectacle that's as thrilling as it is professionally enticing
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