DIESER MILLIARDÄR INVESTIERT JETZT! 😨 CHARLIE MUNGER INVESTIERT IN CHINESISCHE AKTIEN | KAUFEN?

요약 보기

찰리 멍거가 중국 알리바바 주식을 대규모로 추가 매수해 투자 포지션을 약 2억 2,500만 달러로 늘렸다는 소식으로 시작한다. 배경: 중국은 빅테크 규제(비트코인 금지, IPO 금지, 에듀테크 주가 최대 80% 폭락 등)를 강화하고 있고, 부동산 기업의 이자 미지급 사례(에버그란데 유사)도 나타나 중국 시장에 대한 우려가 크다. 알리바바: 최고 270달러에서 119달러까지 하락했다가 최근 약 30% 반등해 약 30달러 수준으로 올라왔다고 설명한다(자막 수치는 오인식 가능성이 있음). 멍거 해석: 그는 이를 장기 투자로 보며, 이 진입 시점을 이용해 큰 포지션을 쌓았고 다른 투자자들도 따라 하는 모양새라고 진행자는 전한다. 진행자 견해: 중국 규제 방향이 기업 규모 제한 쪽이므로 멍거의 매수는 모방 효과에 가깝고 문제가 있다고 본다. 주가는 장부가치 대비 저평가 상태지만 정치 리스크 때문에 투자 매력은 의문이라고 평가한다. 대안 및 역발상: 중국 주식 전반은 박스권 횡보 중이며 역발상 투자(멍거식 세 번째 원칙)를 고려할 수 있다고 언급하나, 진행자 자신도 중국 주식을 보유 중이며 아직 매도하지 않았다고 밝힌다. 기타: 페이스북(메타)은 내부고발자 폭로 이후 혐오 발언 관리 문제로 주가가 크게 조정받았으며, 저가 매수 여부에 대한 의견을 댓글로 받는다고 한다. 다음 주에는 유가 급등 관련 영상이 예정되어 있다고 소개한다. 원유는 배럴당 약 83달러로 언급된다. 전체적으로 진행자는 중국 규제 리스크를 강조하면서도 역발상 투자 가능성은 열어두는 중립적이며 신중한 태도를 보인다.

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. Charlie Manga, Warren Buffett's right-hand man and thus also a multimillionaire through successful stock trading, has recently bought a significant number of shares in a particular company. Which stock is it, and more importantly, why is the current focus on whether the crisis in China will continue or whether we might even be at a turning point?

02. You'll find out, as always, if you read to the end. As background, it's important to understand that China is currently severely restricting tech companies. We've seen the Bitcoin ban. Ultimately, we're seeing acute attempts to regulate large companies. The aim is to keep them small. For example, IPOs are being banned, or rules are being imposed on how tech companies must behave.

03. And especially in the e-learning sector, if you haven't heard, some stocks have actually plummeted by as much as 80 percent because the government simply said, " We'll just create these learning platforms ourselves, and then we do n't need your services at all." And now, of course, the question is: will this crisis continue?

04. Stocks are doing quite well going down; it's imploding. Alibaba, for example, the Chinese Amazon, has plummeted from a high of $270 to $119. And now you can see a small price explosion in the last few days, Gartner reports. This represents a percentage increase of 30 percent, so the price has shot up to around $30.

05. This has made up for lost ground, and there's a main reason for this: a stock market legend, none other than Charlie Manga, is suddenly stepping in to help the recovery. Specifically, he's betting on Alibaba stock. He's doubled his stake, so he's actually made significant gains in recent weeks, bringing his position size to $225 million.

06. Of course, you could say, "Well, he has so much money, it makes absolutely no difference whether he takes a risk here. Even if the company is broken up or the Chinese government overreacts, then..." He only lost a very small portion here, I'd say, but others say it's a positive forecast for how China could develop now.

07. Admittedly, we're not quite so optimistic, also for the companies, because unfortunately, China is currently going in a completely different direction. We have supply bottlenecks, difficulties, we've had material shortages, and in some cases, the real estate market is on the verge of collapse. And we all know what happens when there's a real estate crisis.

08. Meanwhile, two companies—be sure to watch the videos on the People's Chamber—have been affected and ca n't pay their interest. These are similar to Evergrande, also real estate companies. This does n't exactly inspire confidence when you look at the Chinese government, which remains completely silent on these matters.

09. So why is Charlie Manga investing? He personally sees the whole thing as a long-term investment. He says that investing long-term is the best thing you can do anyway, and that's why he used this entry point to build up a very large position. Interestingly, many have followed his example, which is why this small pick has also been made here.

10. There are currently no So, all clear. Things are currently moving in China towards stricter regulations and controls, towards "hey, you can't get too big, no monopolists will be tolerated here." Therefore, this can only be seen as a copycat effect, which I find very problematic because many people naturally rely on Charlie Manga's complete understanding of the situation.

11. Of course, the stock is currently undervalued compared to its book value – that's the second criterion – but whether the whole thing is really an interesting investment due to political influence is something we can only doubt. Even if the company is well-valued and fairly valued, or even available below book value, it's unpredictable how the Chinese government will crack down on such companies.

12. And that can actually happen. We've taken the trouble to find out what it is: one of the biggest gaming stocks, or rather, one of the largest companies in the gaming industry. WeCheck actually owns the Chinese version of WhatsApp, which doesn't have such extreme restrictions. There have been recoveries here, so it must be clearly stated that Alibaba is a small exception; all are currently in a sideways movement within a sideways channel, but of course still very far from their all-time high.

13. The question is, should one keep one's hands off Chinese stocks, or should one now trade contrarian, similar to Charlie Manga ( which is the third rule)? Perhaps we are also biased, perhaps due to the channel. We have already had some reporting on China here, for example, about a blackout in China, which justifiably leads to partial power outages because the government also wants to achieve its climate goals.

14. And one could say, yes, in such a phase where the economy is doing badly, everyone will say, "Keep your hands off," and that is precisely the big mistake if one wants to trade contrarian, because it's about investing precisely when others are more cautious. But perhaps one could say that Charlie Manga and Warren Buffett now want to make up for what they forgot to do during the pandemic in March, namely that they bought last because They simply assume that the crisis will continue, and the crisis is of course far from over, but certainly on the stock markets.

15. We're currently seeing all-time highs again. Oil is exploding at the moment; we're seeing that here at $83 per barrel. And when it comes to topics like these, there will be a video next week on the topic of oil price explosions, whether one should invest now, and especially how to position oneself personally.

16. Should one fill up the tanks now, or could the oil price calm down again? If you're interested in such topics, feel free to subscribe to the channel. And another important thing to mention here is that it 's still a risky investment. I personally—and I've also bought some Chinese stocks, but in this sector—so it hit me hard too, but I'm not selling yet because you always have to say that with any stock, it's a long-term investment.

17. And the trend towards digitalization is still very, very strong, and you have to keep checking with Facebook, even now, whether it might be a There's also an entry point there, because the whistleblowers, the former employees, ultimately delivered forecasts or, let's say, league reports, which simply revealed that Facebook prioritizes profit over users, and that this has led to many scandals, such as hate speech not being prevented or combated.

18. Ultimately, how does this affect Facebook's business model? This brings it into disrepute. But is that really the case? Looking at my acquaintances, I know many who use Quads or Facebook. For them, it 's not necessarily a scandal that hate speech and related topics are exchanged in some right-wing extremist groups.

19. Thankfully, this doesn't affect the majority of users on the platform. Nevertheless, it's a danger, and the share price has also corrected significantly downwards. Many people, like Charlie Manager, are saying, " Now I have to go! Now I can buy these stars cheaply." That's why I'm interested in whether to buy more now at a low price or be cautious.

20. What would you recommend? Feel free to write it in the comments. I'm generally interested in topics like this, and I also like to get market insights, to see which stocks are currently performing well and which aren't. If that's what you're looking for, feel free to subscribe to the success channel.

21. Otherwise, there are also regular updates on the topics of economics, investments, and finance.