저자: CathyWood,SethGoldstein,DavidJones등다수인용—영상진행자미상 · 외국인
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테슬라 주가가 2022년 들어 47% 하락했고, 연준의 75bp 금리인상과 인플레이션 우려가 겹쳐 매도세가 이어짐. 3대1 액면분할 발표와 10% 감원 이메일, 가격 인상 등이 주가에 부정적으로 작용. 1분기 매출 181억 달러(+81%), GAAP 순이익 33억 달러 등 실적은 견조. 애널리스트 컨센서스는 중립(매수17/보유9/매도8), 평균 목표가 893달러. 캐시 우드는 장기 목표 4,600달러 이상을 유지.
다듬은 글
could the sell-off of tesla soon be over or is the end coming today we're going to talk about multiple predictions made by experts on what's going to happen to the future of tesla stock hey everyone and welcome back to everything tesla stock could this be the right moment to buy in the dip lots of experts have got very different views on what's going to happen to the tesla stock well that's what we're going to be talking about today so stick around until the end so you don't miss out on all the things we're going to go over there's several interesting expert opinions some of which are crazy and you probably haven't heard before before we get going though if you like this type of content don't forget to hit like going on with tesla in june the stock price of tesla sharply dropped since the start of the year shares of the electric vehicle manufacturer have fallen by 47 percent the recent decline was compounded by a new wave of negative sentiment that rippled over the market in response to the us federal reserve's hawkish statements and actions the fed raised the benchmark interest rate by 75 basis points to a range of 1.5 percent to 1.75 percent in may the largest single meeting boost since 1994 in response to higher unexpected inflation of 8.6 market players responded unfavorably to the news fearing that the fed had lost its edge in price management tesla announced plans for a three to one stock split on june 11th we believe the share split would assist reset the market price of our common stock so that our workers will have more choice in managing their ownership the company claimed in an sec filing the splits aimed at smaller investors who may believe that they can now afford the shares as a result of the split the tesla price scarcely moved continuing its downward trend companies appear to be ready for a recession in the us and around the world elon musk tesla ceo sent an email to the company's employees in early june emphasizing the need to lay off at least 10 percent of tesla's workforce because he had a horrible feeling about the economy tesla stock fell by more than 9 that day the announcement highlighted that the corporation may expect its financial performance to deteriorate in the near future meanwhile tesla recently raised the prices of some of its vehicles in the united states the model y is now sixty five thousand nine hundred and ninety dollars up from sixty two thousand nine hundred ninety previously while the model three now costs fifty seven nine hundred and ninety dollars which is a twenty five hundred dollar price increase tesla stock price fell by roughly 9 on the day the price increase was announced as of june 21st there have been multiple areas of support to watch if the price keeps declining the first being tesla's most recent lowest low of 625 dollars a share followed by 540 dollars in horizontal support this results in a downside risk of a total of 4 and 17 respectively tesla's released its financial figures for the first quarter of the fiscal year 2022 on april 20th total revenues concluded the first quarter at 18.76 billion dollars representing an 81 year-on-year increase in the firm's top-line results automative revenues continue to account for the majority of this amount at 16.86 billion dollars representing an 87 rise over the same time last year tesla's gaap gross margins increased by 779 basis points to 29.1 percent in q1 2021 while operating margins increased by 1 349 basis points to 19.2 tesla's gaap net income concluded at 3.32 billion a 658 rise year-over-year earnings per share increased 246 percent to 3.22 on the same basis the company generated 2.23 billion dollars in free cash flow during the three months when it ended on march 31st while total cash equivalents and marketable securities were at 18.1 billion dollars tesla had 3.15 billion dollars in long-term debt and financial leases at the end of the same quarter total assets were 66.04 billion dollars including 1.26 billion dollars in bitcoin david jones chief market strategist at capital.com commented on the tesla share price projection saying that the present decrease in tesla stock is consistent with the overall stock market sell-off with u.s indices such as the s p and nasdaq hitting fresh lows for the year last week it's not surprising that old investor favorites such as tesla aren't finding much love at the moment jones said he then went on to say that the current tesla stock level might be keenly monitored by investors looking for a shift in stock market sentiment the stock price has almost halved from its 2022 highs at 12 hundred dollars but perhaps there are early signs of a base building ahead of 600 per share so much at the moment is dependent on wider market sentiment investors are unlikely to rush back into a risk-on attitude when still so much is unknown about how long inflation will remain high and just what further interest rates will be needed to try and combat high prices but this 600 area remains an interesting one to watch a potential floor for the tesla stock the more patient investors will be happy to wait and see if broader market conditions improve he added according to market b data the consensus sentiment for tesla stock as of june 21st was neutral among the 34 analysis who presently rate the company 17 said it should be bought 9 said it should be held and 8 said it should be sold analysis put the average tesla stock price target at 893.47 representing a 37.4 percent upside potential based on the stock market's most recent closing price of 650.28 cents analysis predicted the maximum 12 months tesla stock price of 1 580 and the lowest price of 250 notably two financial institutions royal bank of canada rbc and ubs group raised tesla from neutral to buy this month according to seth goldstein a senior equity analysis at morningstar the newest request by the tesla board to authorize a three for one split will certainly go through in august when the ev manufacturer's stockholders are expected to meet a current fair value estimate of 750 dollars per share is unchanged the analysis noted regarding tesla's future performance goldstein said we think lower production at the shanghai factory as well as startup costs associated with the opening and ramp up of its two new plants will weigh on second quarter profits however as production ramps up we expect profit margins will increase sequentially throughout the third and fourth quarters cathy wood manager of arkhanvest reckons that tesla stock may rise up 732 percent to 5800 this assumes the firm sells 17 million cars in 2026 and that tesla's future self-driving robo taxis generate a major portion of its income these are scheduled to go into production in 2024 even ark's pessimistic case of 2 900 per share is pretty compelling it represents a 316 price increase from the current price while some of these estimates may make your head spin it is worth noting that tesla delivered a return of more than 18 000 since going public in 2010.
in other words if you invested ten thousand dollars back then it would be worth one point eight million dollars today if you hung on to it arc investment has about 1.3 million tesla shares worth 911 million dollars at present pricing the stake has fallen from a high of about 5.6 million shares due to the overall tech sell-off prompting wood to cash in some earlier profits however due to tesla's imminent stock split arc will soon possess millions of additional shares despite the latest tech sell-off which has driven tesla stock down about 47 from its all-time high wood remains bullish on the long term as she ever has tesla does face certain short-term problems related to supply chain issues and harsher economic conditions and these may affect demand for pricey purchases such as vehicles however arc updated its tesla modeling in april and disclosed a price objective of 4 600 per share by 2026 representing a 560 increase over where tesla stock currently trades when a firm has rapid growth its stock price might skyrocket making it appear pricey to individual investors with little funds currently a single share of tesla costs about 656 dollars thus the business has proposed a three for one stock split which is going to boost the number of shares in circulation by three while organically lowering the stock price by two thirds to about 218.67 woods backing has also come in at a critical time the company just provided updates on a number of new products but recession worries is still prevailing additionally covered 19 related industrial closures in china have resulted in a decline in chinese automobile sales a turbulent market environment brought on by the sum of all of these factors has led to some investors steering clear of tesla shares other investors are more likely to think like wood who consider tesla a profitable bet and will bind the dip therefore discontinue further sell-off in an interview woods said that she thought of tesla as a value firm one that was selling well below its actual value that is wood concluded that the stock had a long way to go after looking at tesla's profitability revenue and other measures the price did run during the preceding 18 months one of the reasons why wood pushed elon musk to keep the business public as he explored a takeover or self was her early confidence that tesla had a lot to offer the market it was also one of the reasons why ark invest initially made such a significant investment in tesla what are your tesla predictions let us know down below in the comments and thank you
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