저자: DanIves · 외국인
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AI 트레이드는 끝나지 않았고 최근 Mag7 등 기술주 로테이션 조정은 일시적 'speed bump'라는 주장. 기술 강세장의 두 번째 이닝이며 매도는 매수 기회. 1년 내 애플 시총 4조 달러 도달 전망, 엔비디아·마이크로소프트도 거론. 애플은 AI 수요와 중국 성장 관련 핵심 종목으로 제시. 사회자는 차트상 MSFT·AMZN·TSLA의 이동평균 지지 여부를 분석하며 실적 발표 전 변동성을 언급.
다듬은 글
what up Traders what up investors can hear from dlex investor and thank you for tuning in for another fantastic video we're going to be looking at what Dan IES is saying that the AI trade is not dead that rotation out of AI and Tech heavy stocks particularly the max 7 is not over it's just a little bit of speed bump we're going to continue seeing some Green Pastures and continue moving forward um with the overall trades the overall Tech sector being the greatest market leader even though we're seeing iwm Regional Banks home builders and all the other stocks slightly kind of coming off from their bottoms and making out to all new all-time highs and really kind of breaking out that sense that without being further than said we're going to be looking at some key earnings this week we have Microsoft meta Apple Amazon arm Boeing AMD Starbucks no one gives a crap Sofi I don't care PayPal I definitely do not care McDonald's kind of reported earnings already this morning nothing to really write home about that just that their $5 menu is doing a little bit better that's basically it um and still kind of just not trading that great um just this is just a quick little overview of some of the charts here but I want to cut to the Dan Ives interview on CNBC and then we'll kind of cut through and go through uh some of the charts uh uh taste by TA or uh so forth so forth all right let's go ahead and cut to that now Dan did it scare you a little bit I've read your notes did it really scare you a little bit last week to see what happened with alphabet and Tesla and their results I mean d didn't because if I look at the underlying AI growth in Cloud specifically from alphabet that's bullish and and where's Tesla going to be spending it's going to be on incremental AI but gu think there gonna be a big week for Tech earnings I mean when you look at Amazon Microsoft Apple meta this AI Revolution I think is just starting and that's why I I I continue look at it as to get the popcorn out moment in terms of this Tech bull market this selloff I view it as a bump in the road not the end all right you got the popcorn out so which of those four that I mentioned is going to be the main event for you look I think the main event is really going to be apple because that to some extent is really what we're seeing in terms of China growth obviously iPhone 16 coming out September the AI story what we're seeing about theand I think that's that probably the broad impact on the overall Market but then you look at Cloud Amazon Microsoft I expect strength there similar as we saw on alphabet I think that's what really the Market's focused on here despite a White Knuckle scare last week for the Bulls all right because you brought it up I'm just going to follow up really quickly because Apple's AI features will reportedly arrive now later than expected a Bloomberg report says that they will now come in October instead of September and miss the upcoming software update cycle so what does this mean for Apple's earnings call on Thursday given that the Apple intelligence feature is so front and center yeah I mean that doesn't move the needle at all for us I think it's really focused on longm September I think this is really going to be an AI driven super cycle and at the end of the day those customers would be going to be getting those AI features I don't view that it all comes down to developers developers getting it on time that's the hearts and lungs of the Apple ecosystem that's the streets focused on you mentioned the cloud and the AI stuff that goes along with both Microsoft and with Amazon if you take a look at those two stocks Visa what happened with alphabet earlier this past week maybe the results are positive like you point out but the stock reactions were not so does this mean there's a shift in investor feeling or sentiment with regard to just what these AI Ambitions are and how much they'll cost yeah it's a great question look I think it's more just nervousness around when we're going to see AI monetization stocks have had monster runs some of the were CTI to small cap is it over but but I believe this is the second inning of a non inning game I mean it is still 900 pm.
in this AI party that goes to 4: a. so and I think that's what we're going to see it's all about you file the cap backs file the spending that to me that like last week alphabet Tesla do a sell El buying opportunities golden buying buying opportunities and what about meta platforms people have been focused so much on Apple and Microsoft and Nvidia and alphabet I mean meta platforms is still pretty high up there with regard to its weight in the markets what do you need to see from meta it's about the read through from alphabet if you look at on on Advertising that rebound I think is going to continue that's what Zuckerberg's G to talk about and even though that they've gotten you know I think some worries about they're spending on AI capex That's The Right Move I mean I think they are laying out this is an AI arms race playing out and meta is not going to be on the outside looking in and before we let you go out of all the mag seven what do you think is going to be the best one in the next 12 months I think a year from now Apple $4 trillion doll Mark cap Microsoft will get there as well as well as the Godfather of AI Nvidia but it comes down to Apple right now massive and copertina wow wow apple right Apple's going to be number one on Dan IMS list again he is web Bush he is a he is a very much a bull and again with the super cycle and so forth going forth Apple again they are reporting earnings Thursday afternoon um with Amazon Intel coinbase DraftKings and Roku couple of those names you probably haven't heard of since uh many many many many years ago but Apple big being the biggest play it's probably the one that is honestly somewhat on the healthier side it's above the 50-day Microsoft is also above the 50-day on The Daily side here and again this has seen a tremendous run he did hint on on buying opportunities in Tesla especially on the down pole we did see that down Pull uh due to earnings really didn't crack below that $200 level which people thought traded around 215 it has bounced back up here closing today around $232 here still again we see this yellow line coming into play Let's kind of zoom out here and give you a better perspective here again that was that basically that two and a half almost threeyear downward Trend that we saw in Tesla uh and it's starting now just starting to break out again is this due to their full self-driving AI plays or just being the market leader um in cars I think it's a combination of all those especially which we re highlighted on one of our previous videos on Jim Kramer's notes about the energy production um and their battery packs in solar and so forth actually expanding their margins there as well um another one we wanted to look at is Microsoft again this is on Tuesday tomorrow after the Bell here this thing is also performing well you see this beautiful yellow trend line here I like to make my trend lines a little bit extra thick so they it takes a little bit harder for the candle to puncture through so we're hopefully this holds a Contin continues to drive higher here and seeing how this one plays out um into an after earnings here again it's well above the 50-day again the trend line can be broken any time if you know anything about trend lines they can be broken but mine are sometimes magical and they don't um another one we wanted to slightly talk about here he did talk about it a little he didn't discuss about AMD kind of on the flip side of uh Nvidia this thing is trading below the 50-day here kind of broke down on that Tech uh rotation out of the mag 7 a lot of out of tech he called it the White Knuckle moment where people were freaking out we had the NASDAQ down almost 3% in a day or nearly over 3.3% if I remember right um down today that's pretty significant here um we'll see how this all continues uh to play out but with Microsoft coming in after the Bell tomorrow Wednesday is pretty much in line on seeing a very large move up or down due to that meta as well uh let's go here to the not the two-day we'll go to the one day give a little bit of a better perspective here this thing is below here uh the 50-day kind of not doing too great there Microsoft it is also below the 50-day I apologize I was looking on the weekly side here this is the daily side it is holding that beautiful yellow line again which we drew there hopefully that continues to support uh that movement I'm switching to another uh AWS or Amazon uh this thing is uh I actually want to go back to the longer data view I apologize I'm going back and forth here quite a bit here uh I want to draw some Lins here just to kind of give you a pretty good perspective here of this was the previous levels of resistance um we are trading below that now which is not uh too great here but we can draw another trend line here and seeing this one kind of come up here are we going to come into like a pincer uh and seeing this potentially drive and push us higher here um with Amazon again what does Amazon have going for it yes it just had prime day is that the largest Catalyst in the world I don't think so um but it's going to be a larger driver where we hear about AWS uh we have Azure and good Google Cloud kind of catching up in that sense um and how they are going to be spending on AI they do have some AI models within their uh AWS uh stack um Google again Dan I have talked about it it reported last week this is potentially a buying opportunity here um it is not has bounced back as much as Tesla has um but again did break the 50-day quite substantially here very word large downtrend here basically three days of red and then one day of a little bit of green um nothing to really write home about it didn't not fill this Gap here around 263 excuse me so that still could potentially be uh uh broken into that level here doesn't have to just to be uh hindsight on it but speaking of volume and how it's been trading uh in the short term I think this level around 264 to 263 is is a pretty good uh Line in the Sand here and by doing that I'm going to give it a little bit of a blessing here um and seeing if it can kind of hold here um with uh one of Ken's uh solid yellow lines there and see if they continue to move higher here um I kind of want to close off the video with apple again Apple Dan I is pointed out in next 12 months is his is his investment Andor trade um this is a pretty looking chart here even though with a lot of that Tech sell off it did not break the 50-day that's a lot of things to to kind of keep eye on even The Godfather well he call it the Godfather uh of of AMD or of AI AKA Nvidia has bloke broken through the 50-day again this thing has been very extended a lot of runup it's okay for it to consolidate we just don't want it to crash um again the same thing with apple here it's consolidating it's coming down it's not gapping below the 50-day but again we do have earnings on Thursday afternoon so this all will be able to see on how this one plays out so stay tuned much more coverage on these fantastic week of stocks coming out again thank you from the bottom of my heart for watching and staying tuned and I'll catch you guys on the flip side peace
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