저자: Ken · 외국인
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엔비디아(NVDA) 차트를 분석하며 일봉·주봉 추세 전환과 옵션 체인의 대량 콜 매수를 소개. 단기 지지선 506~500달러, 저항선 542~562~590달러를 제시하고, 542.48 돌파 종가 확인 필요성을 강조. 옵션 거래는 방향성 확정이 아니며 변동성 축소 위험을 경고.
다듬은 글
what up traders what up investors ken here from select semester and thank you for tuning in for another fantastic video yes this is the pretty face behind the voice the guy you love you've probably seen hundreds of hours of my thinker swim charts now you see my pretty face does it match up if you like it hit the like button if you don't you know what to do all right but we're going to be looking at a fantastic video today we're going to be looking at nvidia we're going to be looking at some very interesting options activity and course of videos getting a pretty large bid today with a lot of large volume coming in and of course with that volume comes a lot of upside the bulls are going a little stir crazy over there um but uh we're gonna be jumping into the charts here in a second i just want to say hello to kevin uh my trading plant which is the palm tree that's in my office that keeps me company throughout the day um if i should add anything else to my office that helps you keep company please leave it down in the description below would love to see on what you guys comment on again guys thank you so much and let's go ahead and jump into the charts boys all right traders now you saw my face now you can put the face to the charts and all that fun stuff again so go ahead and we're looking here at ticker symbol nvda uh that is a ticker symbol for course and video that we're looking at today um this one is uh is a spicy meatball uh this morning and it has a a pretty nice run here give a big high five to the people who have been trading this uh moving to the upside here and we're looking here on the chart here we're looking kind of at a really solid base here around the 21emake we're going to call it 500 i have an alert here basically on that low here but that's to the extreme levels we do have a nice foundation here that built a really strong base and we're seeing that trend to kind of change and try to move uh further to the upside here you can see that trend change by those parabolic sar dots those are the little purple dots that you see there if you're color blind they might be blue i'm not sure maybe even yellow i have no idea that being said they have switch so they switch from the top to the bottom which indicates hey the trend has changed so the trend in the short term again on the daily side has changed so we flip over to the weekly side if we hit this little arrow here we're still kind of in a kind of an iffy territory because we had that large candle about four weeks ago uh really explode higher thanks a lot to a lot of a lot of individuals going full on uh bull mode into the last couple weeks that really kind of created that uh somewhat of a correction kind of slightly uh simmer down kind of thing in the sense of the movement kind of coming down to the aem and the weekly side this trend is still very much intact we've seen this kind of movement before yes even we go back to even the march and april that was of course the pandemic stuff and we saw extreme movement there of course to the long side this is still a very healthy upward momentum trend if you're looking here on the weekly side um we're going back to the daily side and they're going to be swapping over to the options chain and we're seeing a lot a lot a lot a lot of buying that could be to a lot of people doing covered calls if you're not familiar with a covered call they they're trying to protect that their overall investment so they're potentially they have a hundred shares of nvidia they're going out and they're buying uh or selling uh these different various calls at a hot much higher strike price further out because as of right now you can almost collect uh two thousand dollars per contract that goes all the way out in december can nvidia had 200 or 640 dollars by that time i don't know it's a basically a 29 or a 30 chance you can tell that by the delta number there so that is definitely something very interesting to see on that movement again a lot of volume coming in between those type uh the december time frame we can again look here at the options chain itself and those the high volume here a lot of it's coming in very in the short term a lot of the call side looking for even this large position here that we looked at sorry the 16th of october which is 175 uh contracts at five bucks uh but they're buying the 1918 uh delta as of right now that is a little little i would say a little bit bullish uh but it is nvidia so definitely that sucker can move so if we can see if that is implied volatility if that is a somewhat of a potential that happening um or is it going to be more of like a options decay and completely iv crush so again these trades that you see here are not going to be completely directional we don't know what's on the other end we don't know if the trader is doing covered calls or he's just doing a yellow robin hood account we don't know that we can just see on what the quantity is the time frame and what they're really looking for so looking here on the 16th of october we're seeing that really kind of come in here that's been 16 days out we're seeing that movement coming in and they bought these 600 calls so again there is a lot of open interest at that time frame that is a 15 chance of that happening that being said that movement for the next 16 days is about 43 dollars so that would put it basically around 580ish dollars so that would kind of put it around this frame here around 575 to 580 but again that's what the market suspects unless the uh market makers are wrong which they are a lot of times but if their that implied volatility will expand we could get that movement to the outer bands to that 600 limit i'm not saying the 600 limit is not gonna be profitable but the likelihood of that being nor towards or in the money uh is very not very likely due to the fact of being that option so far out in a very short time frame unless there is some kind of large catalyst that can really potentially get this sucker moving so looking here back to the charts what do we like to do here if you haven't watched the channel you know kb loves his fibs uh loves them fibs would like draw that fib here guess what look at that look at that huh you see that you see that right there hidden at 618 on the daily side at 542.48 cents what is the tick on that ken ken what's the tick on that oh sorry i fat finger that what's the high of the day on that one 144.85 all right it's close right it's close that's the high that's the high tick but you know if you haven't watched the channel uh you should subscribe without a doubt and hit that like button if you don't gtfo right um and get get it moving kick the can down the road i don't care um moving forward here that we want to see that close higher than that in the next couple days or even today um again it's part it's 1 p.m currently here eastern standard time we could get some further movement uh in the next couple hours that being said the stocks is up near it was up nearly two percent of rate today it's pretty substantial but most people are swing trading this uh there is again a lot of intraday trading going on without a doubt that being said here we want to see this movement continue this trend is has just switched just a couple days ago we're coming out of this pretty strong base getting above that 525 528 level that we've kind of failed here before we're trying to break out here that is a good significant sign for a potential further movement so further movement getting above that 542 really looking getting attracted to the 562 level that's going to be another very key level to potentially see and then of course if we get through that level we're looking for around that all-time high basically around around 590.
to the downside where are we seeing support you know you know you love it uh the yellow line the 21 ema basically kind of kind of come in uh on the very short term side we're going to be looking for some port around 5 15. but with nvidia like tesla a lot of these tech heavy stocks can come back really fast so we could be looking for some initial support around 506 and then all the way down basically around the 500 level again the 21 34 ma are some key levels that we look for potential support on any kind of strong pullbacks that these are potential buying opportunities when they pull back and they kind of trade in around that range we saw that here for the past uh week and a half that was basically doing that kind of pattern if we see that pullback come back even further like the basic i would consider it level two uh pullback support would be coming in around four seven six or four hundred and seventy six dollars for the people on the east coast uh that being said some cool positive signs that we're seeing here volume is not there's not a crazy increase in volume so that is a significant sign we are seeing the uh ttm squeeze go from red to yellow and trying to trade that momentum higher we are seeing that with the parabolic sar dots we're seeing rssi rise as well and as well as the volume zone oscillator so these are yes they are the secret formula for a potential larger move to ensue doesn't mean it needs to happen so just be very careful out there especially trading options again guys thank you so much for watching this is ken from the dyslexic investor and i'll catch you guys on the flip side peace you
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