저자: 미상 · 외국인
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암호화폐 급락 중에도 기관·기업의 비트코인 매수가 이어지며 소액 투자자에서 기관으로 부가 이전되는 중이라는 주장. 핵심 결론: 기관·기업 비트코인 유입이 장기적으로 가격을 크게 끌어올릴 것이며, 패닉 매도보다 분할 매수가 낫다는 메시지. 캐시 우드(ARK Invest) 분석: 미국 기업이 현금의 10%를 비트코인에 배분하면 가격에 약 20만 달러 상승 요인, S&P500 기업이 1%를 배분하면 약 4만 달러 상승 요인으로 봄. 기관(연기금·보험·국부펀드 등)이 2.5%를 배분하면 20만 달러, 6.5%면 50만 달러 상승 요인으로 계산. 기업+기관 합산 시 약 90만 달러 잠재 상승 요인이며, 이 때문에 장기 목표가 50만 달러를 보수적으로 유지한다고 설명. 마이클 세일러(마이크로스트래티지) 견해: 인플레이션 등으로 현금 실질금리가 마이너스이므로 현금 보유는 불리. S&P500 10년 연평균 11.4%, 나스닥 17%, 비트코인 10년 연평균 198% 성장을 근거로 비트코인 보유 정당화. 추가 15억 달러 조달 계획 언급. 기관 동향: 약 30개 기업이 비트코인을 재무에 편입, 보험사 6곳 비트코인 매수(일부 이더리움 병행), 스위스 Cygnum·덴마크 Saxo Bank·스페인 BBVA 등 은행의 암호화폐 거래·수탁 서비스 도입, 미국 공화당 전국의회위원회의 암호화폐 기부금 수용. 리스크: 영상은 하락 리스크를 언급하나 구체적 손실 시나리오 제시는 없음. 진행자는 하락장에서 달러 코스트 애버리징(DCA)을 실행 중이라고 밝힘.
다듬은 글
in the middle of a crypto crash can be a daunting experience with the fears of a bigger crash looming but the worst thing people can do is panic sell when prices are low only to see the crypto market set new all-time highs six months down the line and it's in times like this that we will see some big wealth transfers from the smaller retail investors over to the corporations and institutional investors in bitcoin's 10-year history eight years was largely driven just by retail investors however ever since the last halving event in may last year we now see the introduction of corporations and institutions now most smaller investors only really pay attention to what's going on with price movements but they don't see what's going on behind the scenes and so that is what this video is all about i'm going to reveal what is going on behind the scenes with the institutions and the corporations and so we'll be looking at some analysis done by kathy wood and the ark invest team some insights from michael saylor his company is the largest corporate holder of bitcoin and he's going to share how the corporations think and it's all to do with cost of capital and then i'll finish with sharing some of the things that are going on behind the scenes and this includes with institutions with banks and now even the us republican party as always if you do find anything useful in the video drop a like always appreciated but just now even though a lot of the news and infrastructure is happening around bitcoin whatever's good for bitcoin is good for the crypto market so any good news for bitcoin is good news for all cryptos so what's going on with the corporations and the institutions right now well let's begin with kathy wood explaining what's going on in the world of corporations check it out it surprised us we expected institutional interest to pick up this year and it certainly has but the way in which it's picked up has surprised us uh i don't think we ever thought there would be broad-based uh substitution of bitcoin for cash on corporate balance sheets uh so we find that very interesting if all corporations in the united states were to put uh i think it's yes ten percent of their cash into bitcoin that alone would add uh two hundred thousand dollars to the bitcoin price you know this has to mature a little bit before broad-based adoption can take place but we're very reassured uh that companies like square and tesla have chosen to allocate so kathy wood and the team at arc invest did some analysis on how corporations and institutions adding bitcoin to their balance sheet would impact the bitcoin price and the results are probably why she maintains her high price target for bitcoin of five hundred thousand dollars take a look starting with the corporations and arkinvest did some analysis and if corporations were to add bitcoin onto their balance sheet what would this do to the bitcoin price and they found that if all the companies in the s p 500 added one percent of their cash into bitcoin this would add forty thousand dollars to the bitcoin price and if all the companies were to allocate ten percent of their cash into bitcoin then this would add four hundred thousand dollars to the bitcoin price and they did the same with institutional investors too so the different categories we have the mass affluent pension funds insurance companies sovereign wealth funds and they found that if institutions just added two and a half percent this would add two hundred thousand dollars on to the bitcoin price and if they allocated six and a half percent this would add five hundred thousand dollars to the bitcoin price and by adding the two together for institutions and corporations this is a potential nine hundred thousand dollars added to the bitcoin price and i think this is why kathy wood conservatively is saying bitcoin's price could easily reach 500 000 so as you can see there's a lot of potential future growth coming from corporations and institutions next up we have michael saylor and his company micro strategy is the largest corporate holder of bitcoin and he shares some insights of how corporations are thinking about bitcoin and it all has to do with the cost of capital take a look now in 2020 we've seen the cost of capital explode it's pl 25 percent money monetary supply expansion the treasury strategies are now zero one one less than one percent so you've got a minus a negative real yield minus 25 that's the cost of capital okay that's actually turning up the heat that's causing everyone to realize that conventional treasury strategies are broken now what are you going to do look if you look at the compound annual growth rate of the s p over a decade it's 11.4 for the past decade if you look at nasdaq it's faster it's 17 if you look at the compound annual growth rate of bitcoin for the decade it's 198 percent okay so why bitcoin look either got two choices decapitalize the company or invest the money into something which is going to keep up with the cost of capital or exceed the cost of capital so he's essentially saying with money printing at 20 a year holding cash on the corporate balance sheet just doesn't make sense and with the s p compounding at about 11 a year bitcoin even in this big crash is still growing three times that rate so for him it just makes good sense and that's probably why he's now raising a further 1.5 billion dollars to acquire more bitcoin and here's a snapshot into the world of corporations there are now almost 30 companies holding bitcoin on their balance sheet led by micro strategy we have tesla galaxy digital square now you may know that arc invest has been buying into bitcoin for many years but they're also now buying into ethereum as well and now we have six insurance companies buying into bitcoin and two of them buying into ethereum as well and now the banks switzerland cygnum bank gets into d5 adding custody and trading across d5 tokens including rv argonne curve maker synthetics uniswap and one inch network and it's also added banking services for usdc stablecoin which it plans to expand a suite of yield generating products for its clients which include banks hedge funds asset managers and family offices then saxo bank to become the first bank in denmark to enable customers to buy and sell bitcoin next a bank in spain spain's bbva opens bitcoin trading services to clients in switzerland the bank said the new business launching june 21st would include bitcoin trading and custody services bbva said during the gradual rollout it detected significant desire among investors and finally we have the national republican congressional committee begins accepting cryptocurrency campaign donations so basically the republican party in the us has now integrated cryptocurrency to accept campaign donations talk about bullish so that's now insurance companies multiple banks over 30 corporations and now even the us republican party integrating with crypto and all of this has come in just the last year and we'll soon be getting the data for q2 and i'm sure many more have taken positions during this big pullback my prediction is that there's been a big wealth transfer from the smaller inexperienced retail investor to corporations and institutions for me i've been taking this opportunity to dollar cost average while everything's been going on sale which i intend to do so until this trend reverses so there you are guys that's a glimpse of what's been happening in the world of institutions and corporations hope you enjoyed if you did then drop a like always appreciated if you haven't yet subscribed to the channel then click below and join us i do have some great videos coming up that you don't want to miss be sure to check out crypto 20 with the link below okay cheers guys thanks for watching and i'll see you in the next video bye for now you
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