What's Vijay Kedia's Simple Formula To Invest In Market? | Listen Exclusive With Nikunj Dalmia

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결론: 출연자 Vijay Kedia는 하락한 기업이라도 경영진의 위기 대응과 사업 영역 확장을 근거로 보유 입장을 유지하며, 대규모 집중 투자를 정당화한다. 핵심 투자 철학: 쇠퇴 산업(sunset)은 피하고 성장 산업(sunrise)에 머무는 것이 가장 단순한 공식이다. ㄴ 종목 선택 시 기업의 시장 환경과 산업 성장성을 우선 본다. ㄴ 주가가 떨어져도 보유 근거가 유지되면 포지션을 지킨다. 경영진 평가: 기업을 판단하는 가장 중요한 지표는 경영진이며, 어려운 시기의 행동이 신뢰를 결정한다. ㄴ 성장이 멈춘 시기에도 지리적 사업 확장을 했다면 업황 반전 시 수혜가 클 신호로 본다. ㄴ 과거에 나쁜 경영을 보였다면 미래에도 반복된다고 본다. 언급 종목 - 아토(Ato, 전기 3륜차 관련 기업 'Ather'계열 문맥으로 추정): 방향 상승(장기 관점). ㄴ 전기 모빌리티가 미래라는 전제에서 전기 3륜차로 사업을 확장한 점을 긍정 평가한다. ㄴ 과거 손실 상태였지만 공정 가치보다 싸게 매수했다고 설명한다. ㄴ 출연자가 이사로 참여해 기회가 크다고 판단한다. 투자 규모 및 확신: 해당 종목 지분을 권리락 이후 약 20~22%까지 늘린 것을 생애 최대 베팅 수준으로 설명한다. ㄴ 데이터는 시장과 동일하며, 차이는 해석에서 나온다고 강조한다. 리스크: 손실 기업이었던 만큼 턴어라운드가 실패할 경우 손실 가능성이 있다는 전제가 암묵적으로 존재한다. 출연자 전망: 장기 보유 관점이며 단기 가격 전망은 명시하지 않았다.

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01. so what I will do is that rather than asking you to give our viewers a fish to eat let's understand that how can we teach them to catch a fish so in this case of EB we using that for only illustrative purposes what made you what is convincing you that the the train which has which has not stopped or train which has slowed down will come back and will regain speed what are the factors you look at is it man quality is it global environment is it valuations is it the management is it the analyst view what you look at which gives you a conviction that look yes the stock has come down but I will stick to my position yeah of course management is the most important uh you know metrics to judge a company and how a management behaves in its bad time that gives you uh more confidence and more faith so as I said that even in the bad times or even the time where the compan is not compan is not growing but they expanded their geography so that is the that is the enough indication that they whenever that when that tide will turn this company should be immensely benefited why have you taken such a disproportionate bet in at and this is a second Innings you had a large investment I mean that is one one of the crown like the kohinur of your Investment Portfolio which in a sense uh made Vijay kadia one of the foremost authority everybody recognized that from an unknown investor you became an unforgettable investor you bought into aoto you exited aoto that's what my me that's what I remember and then you've taken another leap of faith as per the latest data you've taken you've increased your holding by the right issue at to about 20% right yeah 22% this is a big bet perhaps one of the biggest bets of your life uh quantity wise you can say percentage wise you can say that in terms of commitment I mean in terms of commitment this is the biggest seeding the seed Capal this is the biggest original commitment you've what makes you so confident because if you making such a large investment you're a patient investor yeah uh you must have seen something which perhaps Market are not seeing today no Market is seeing everything I do not have any third eyes or something like this only idea is that everybody knows whatever data you have I am also having the same data only you must be having the more data than me it's your understanding of the data right how do you interpret the data interpret the data that is important you know what do you make out of those data that is important you know so what I have understood that as I have always said that stay in a sunrise industry at any cost and stay out of a sunset industry at any cost so I applied that simple formula the first time again it was a boom period uh of automobile boom period when I initially when I I had time they were just making a three-wheeler three-wheeler you now they have Diversified into uh electric three-wheeler and as we all know that electric is the future whether it is India whether it is us whether it is China any geography in the world Under the Sun will have electric Electric Mobility you know at the uh at the Forefront so that's a very simple story there is is no no brainer into this and I found this company has really tied up with uh they have good collaboration with uh good uh companies around the world and uh since I am also a director into the company so I understood that opportunities huge and the story had just begun and I was getting at a fair valuation at a cheaper valuation uh let me but that time company was losing money so that was your call that you call it cheaper or you call it expensive some for somebody it could be expensive because company was losing money but if you see not tomorrow day after tomorrow then you will find if company turns around if you have the faith in the management that management has proven its track record in the past also so that is that is also in life I have understood in stock market one thing is also very important you should you should observe that how the management has behaved in its bad times in the past that will give you enough you know judgment is the most important thing is important and like they say that what has happened in the past in some of the other form will happen in the future it will happen again it's your yeah and once a bad management always a bad management that's what yeah I