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Why I'm Buying Nvidia Stock (NVDA) NOW - Analysts Are WRONG

Invest with Henry · 2024-12-18 · 유튜브 시청 79,207 · Board Views 7 · International

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Nvidia suffered eight losses in 9 days and this is a really huge opportunity that I'm about to tell you how to capitalize on because right now there's two analysts that came out in the last 24 hours alone with some concerns about Nvidia being in bearish territory and they also discuss the evaluations so in this video I have not one but two analysts that I'm going to cover and I'm going to tell you my opinion and how to make money on Nvidia with a new play that I have right now for you this is an opportunity that I need you to capitalize on not want I need you to capit on this opportunity because while everyone is turning bearish on Nvidia or at least some people have concerns this is literally the biggest opportunity and this is an opportunity that you can't miss so I respect your time let's jump into today's research I want to first start off with saying that Vivic Arya he is an analyst on Wall Street covers Nvidia extensively and he recently addressed the bearish concerns he talked about his price range and what he sees happening with the stock and I agree for the most part but I have a little bit of a Twist I want you to watch this quick 90c clip and then I'm going to tell you my opinion in the play that I'm making on Nvidia raises a question how vulnerable is NVIDIA in the short and medium term to the Market's overall risk sentiment I mean Nvidia is lower since the election right hi John thanks for having me I think Nvidia um so is our topic for uh for next year we like broadcom and Marvel uh for that matter as well because these three companies are ideally positioned uh to capitalize on this demand for AI uh infrastructure I think specific to Nvidia there are two issues that are uh have been affecting it near term one is uh the execution on the new Blackwell uh product uh you know the last two quarters they have reported uh there have been some uh production issues with black Bel that they have resolved then there were some delays in getting it out uh to hyperscalers and I think those will also be resolved so in in our perspective this is actually a very attractive opportunity uh to look at uh Nvidia because these concerns will be uh shortterm in uh nature when we look longer term uh and look at the um situation that broadcom mentioned that in the next few years there could be greater demand for custom chips I don't think that is inconsistent with the way we have thought about the market which is about 80% of the market will be Merchant accelerators where Nvidia will dominate and about 15 to 20% of the market will be more custom chips where um Marvel and broadcom I think will do extremely well so we think of these as very complimentary in nature and some of the issues around and we think are very uh shortterm and the stock is trading at a very attractive valuation right now all right guys as you saw in that Quick Clip I want to talk about the attractive opportunity that we have in Nvidia right now because we're still in a tech bull market Dan I said that we're going to go from 1 p.m.

to 4:00 a.m. party has only begun and he sees the market going up for the next 2 to three years I'm not going to predict it that far I'm just going to say that in the next 12 months I am bullish on Nvidia and my specific price Target is $200 per share in 2025 kind of like a mega Bull on Nvidia right now and I'm going to discuss this in just a moment but I want to say that one of the most important things to look out for and some of the bearish concerns why we have a pullback in the stock is it's important for you to understand why we have a pullback and should you jump into it right now the answer is yes we should jump into it right now the reason why we have a pullback is there has been some delays with Blackwell so nvidia's Blackwell which is going out to a lot of the hyperscalers there's a little bit of a delay which is not really a long-term concern this is only a short-term concern so basically it has no impact on the Stock's long-term future or valuation the most interesting thing is I was watching watching a recent video from John Vin he's a Key Bank Capital markets equity research analyst and he was pointing out some really big specific things about his earnings predictions and they are very bullish for the most part and even his bease I would say is very reasonable as well so the most interesting part is that he has a very specific range for where the stock is going to be and I want to elaborate on that as well I'm giving you two of these quick clips and then I'm going to jump into my portfolio I'm going to show you why Nvidia well we can already see in the pre-market right here it's already going up a little bit in the pre-market because it's it's too cheap I'm telling you it's too cheap this stock is way too cheap Under $130 per share so we hit 130 like under 130 for a little short amount of time but we're going to pop back up real fast I'm telling you we're going to pop up real quick because Nvidia just can't be that low so anyways I'm going to cover my picks and my personal what I'm going to be doing but I want you to quickly watch this uh 30 second clip as well on John Vin and his price analysis on Nvidia and you you gave a lot of of good reason it's going to continue to outstrip competition for gpus and AI uh you if if the company were able to earn $530 your high-end estimate and you put 38 times that you get you could get the $200 although you've got a a 180 price AR let's talk about the bare case uh because no one ever really we don't hear that much but if it instead of $530 you think the downside uh possible uh earnings per share Miss would be 350 and if you put 29 times on that you're all the way down to 100 so you you can get to a range of 100 to 200 on what's fair value all right guys so as you saw there there's a really specific price range between $100 to $200 per share with the base case around 180 but John Vin did say like at the very very top end it's about $200 per share okay on the bottom end the be case is $100 per share let me tell you the be case is very unlikely when we say be case listen I worked on Wall Street let me tell you how analysts work there's a bare case a base case and a bull case that's how all analysts work on Wall Street essentially they have three three ranges right typically the base case is like 50% and then it's like 25% bare case and then 25% bull case and then you get an average of those three so let's say that you know the base case is 180 and then you know the bare case is 100 and the bull case is 200 okay so you just take you know 25% of the first one 50% of the second one and then 25% of the third one so if I do that math in my head real quick 25% of1 is $25 50% of 180 is 90 so 25 plus 90 is already 115 and the bull case is going to be a quarter of 200 right because it's 25% so quarter of 200 is 50 so what did I say 50 + 25 which is 75 and then we're going to add that half of 90s so we're at like 165 all right so we're around 165 as our mixed average price Target 165 is about $30 upside okay so that's usually what it looks like I'm just telling you the standard I personally think that the bare case is more like 10% the bull case is more like you know maybe 30% and then the base case of 180 is like 60% so if you take that Blended mix I'm not going to do that math in my head but that Blended mix is going to be a lot closer to that 180 price Target which I think is super reasonable for NVIDIA to see about a $50 gain in Nvidia stock in 2025 which is basically what I think as well about $180 per share super reasonable but let's just go bullish I'm bullish on the market in general we have Dan Ives pumping the market we have uh Tom Lee saying that we're in a you know bull market every all the top two analyst the top three analysts that everyone follows is saying it's a bull market and that's going to influence psychology guys it's all about psychology and I say that in all my videos but I I really want to drive that point home it's not about what actual valuation is I think the valuation for NVIDIA is very reasonable I think their technology is fantastic I think they're riding on the AI Trend and no one's going to compete with Nvidia that's a fact AMD can't Intel definitely can't but at the end of the day it is investor psychology and what I'm seeing in the market right now and from talking to my clients Nvidia is going to go higher because we still have a lot of momentum even though we have some concerns in the market I'm personally not concerned I'm staying bullish on this stock and let me jump into the plays that I'm going to be making right now so Nvidia I have a couple of different plays I have multiple different options that you can go for so let's start off with the first one I would say the first one you can do a leap option leap option would be absolutely no problem so I would go for September so I just needes that means we're about to make all kinds of money it means we're about to get stupid Rich we're going to make hand over fist bicep over tricep about to hit the gym right now but uh we got to make gains in all areas of life guys and especially financially we're going to go to the moon right now cuz now's the opportunity we can make 10 15% per month that's what I'm saying my one-onone students right now we're absolutely killing it I decided to become a one-on-one coach because I've had massive impact although it is limited it is a lot of my time so spots are limited if you want to check that out it's the first link in the description let's jump into this play right now what I'm looking at is I already have a leap option you guys can already see this leap option here I'm already doing pretty well on but uh look I think actually I'm just going to recommend the 130 I would stick to the 130 I already have this play and I would do this again so I would just add to this position when the Market opens up I'm going to add to this 130 leap option for September 19th now look what you can do also if you want to reduce the cost of this leap option CU obviously it is not cheap paying $2,500 is better than 13,000 but it's still not really that cheap so what you can do is you can actually play a poor man's covered call so you can go to sell call and then you can pick an expiration date I mean I don't recommend short-term expiration dates like 9 16 days no it's not good even 30 days for a poor man's cover call is a little short but the March right now is exactly 90 days out so exactly 90 days out I'm telling you in 90 days we can see a a movement upward in the stock but just use your logic like it's not going to go to 180 in 90 days so this is kind of easy money right here where you can just sell the 150 call option boom this is easy money easy okay you sell it for 750 now your cost went from you know 2500 down to 1770 guys if your cost went down to 1770 that doesn't seem like a lot but actually it's a 25% reduction essentially it's actually even more than 25% because 4 * 750 is 30 but the 130 call you're you're paying 2500 so you're getting over a 25% discount which to me I'm telling you is a no-brainer now I've recommended leaps on Tesla which was fire you know you saw daniv talk about fire I actually gave some real fire like my plays have been the most Fire on YouTube I'm super proud of it super proud of of calling the 330 leap and the 350 leap it's made it's made hundreds of thousands it's made millionaires in my group as well including myself so look when it comes to Nvidia I would say we're not going to go too much past 150 by March it's probably not going to happen um but I also see a really strong floor and really strong support for NVIDIA at like 120 so in my opinion next 3 months 90 days we're going to be between 120 and 150 all right very simple very straightforward there's no rocket science you don't have to watch the news that's where it's going to be telling you it's like a 99% I've already looked at the Binger ban I've done a lot of technical analysis on Nvidia because it's it's all about technicals in this market it's all about investor psychology and momentum all right so when I'm looking at video we're going to be between 120 to 150 sell this uh Poor Man's covered call I'm telling you this is going to make this is going to make some money you know obviously not Financial advice I'm not a financial advisor I'm just a dude who's very successful at what he does and has 10 going on 11 years of experience actually in a few weeks I'll have 11 years of experience crazy all right so other thing I would do is if you have a larger portfolio which you know in my private coaching which obviously I charge money for I have a team there's an investment cost to that I you know work with folks that have $50,000 or plus those are the portfolios that I feel like I can scale the easy and that's that's who I have success with right it's just easier to work with folks that do have money so when I'm looking at their portfolios yeah leaps are cool but if you have money you should just honestly go for the wheel strategy just selling puts to get in and selling covered calls on your position it's as simple as that you can you can make five figures a month you can even scale your portfolio with the wheel you're not going to get to 15% per month on just the wheel but if you have a bigger portfolio you can still make a really handsome profit by just selling puts to get in so what I'm going to do is I'm going to go for the January 17 expiration which is 30 days after so if you're looking for an optimal entry into Nvidia if you trying to make really good money while being safe like really really safe I'm telling you the best put that you should be selling would be slightly out of the money you know I typically say 30 Delta let me analyze the 120 right here in front of you 120 is a little low right so we're going to go up to like 125 which to me is also really good 34 Delta so I would go a little bit in between 120 and 125 123 looks like the sweet spot and there we go it is the sweet spot right there boom we look at beautiful all right the implied volatility is 47 the volume is 2,000 very good volume bid and ask is very tight these are a option Traders dream guys do not miss out on Nvidia just sell puts at1 123 that's $10 lower than what the Stock's trading at right now all right if it's lower that's better A lot of you guys think when the stock goes down you get concerned don't get concerned it's a good thing listen the market goes down it's a good thing you get a discount like why are you guys allergic to discounts got Chang that mindset it's the first thing I work on in my one-on-one coaching is because it's not even option strategies those are pretty obvious you guys already know what a covered call is what the wheel is it's how you implement it's how you manage it's how you take profit it's when you take profit it's your mindset it's it's just a whole bunch of stuff to get to the next level I have a coach myself not with trading I don't need a coach in trading been doing this 11 years but I have coaches and coaches on coaches in other areas of my life because it's the biggest shortcut in life having a mentor is the biggest shortcut ever like literally ever so I'm a super big believer in that and look the Delta here is.3 30 Delta the volume is amazing so I would just sell this 123 and I would just make make money collect income for getting a stock that I want to own anyways this is a Nob brainer absolutely no-brainer now look I'm also going to give you another play which I think is also really smart if you want to make some income on the put credit spread I haven't mentioned put credit spreads in a long time now guys you already know if you're new to my channel subscribe I have lots of videos here on option trading a put credit spread is not something I've covered in a little bit of time essentially it's a small account Trading strategy where you can collect a really good income and put up very little upfront Capital so what I'm going to look at is I'm going to go a little bit lower cuz I want to be safer if I expand the 115 here the Delta is6 that's amazing that's good so you can just go ahead and sell the 115 or sell a $5 spread so 115 to 110 so if I go ahead and I buy this to protect myself you'll see that this is a put credit spread and you'll see that I'm collecting $69 on$ 430 which is essentially 15% in 30 days so listen 15% in 30 days I've been doing that over and over without even using spreads in this market just using leaps but if you want to have like a safe play I would say 115 110 it's safe so if you have a small portfolio this is what you would do even if you have a medium or small portfolio you can also do this all right I don't want to make this video too long I got to the point I gave you guys the research so take advantage be smart in this market make some money subscribe and I'll catch you guys in the next one

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