저자: CathieWood · 외국인
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캐시 우드는 우크라이나 전쟁 등으로 기술주가 하락한 지금이 매수 기회라고 보며, ARK가 테슬라·줌·트윌리오·쇼피파이·로블록스를 저가에 매수했다고 설명한다. 최근 ARK 매수 내역: 테슬라 약 24만 366주(약 2,000만 달러), 줌 약 11만 5,208주(약 1,460만 달러), 트윌리오 약 6만 5,506주(약 1,060만 달러), 쇼피파이 약 3만 5,405주(약 2,200만 달러), 로블록스 약 2,500만 달러어치 매수. 테슬라는 ARK 최대 보유 종목이며, 우드는 테슬라 주가가 3,000달러까지 갈 수 있다는 기존 벤치마크를 언급하고, 향후 80배 이상 상승 가능성까지 제시한다. 전기차 수요는 고유가 시기 연비 좋은 차량 선호, 저유가 시기 SUV·픽업 선호 패턴을 보이며, 우드는 석유 수요가 정점을 지났고 전기차 전환이 가속된다고 주장한다. 생산 측면에서 테슬라는 연간 약 100만 대 생산 능력을 갖고 있고 두 배 확대도 가능하다고 언급되며, 루시드·리비안은 생산량이 아직 미미하다. 중국 데이터로 가스차 판매는 약 4% 감소, 배터리 전기차 판매는 약 145% 증가했다고 제시하며, 우드는 전통 완성차(포드·GM)가 내년 깜짝 손실을 낼 수 있다고 본다. 리스크: ARK ETF는 2022년 2월 한 달 7% 하락했고 연초 고점 대비 50% 이상 하락했다. 우드는 장기 투자 관점을 강조하며 공포 매도로 일시적 손실이 영구 손실이 되는 것을 경계한다. 중고차 가격 하락 가능성도 언급된다.
다듬은 글
the superstar investor kathy wood the ceo of arc investment management has been on a buying spree in recent weeks she seems to be seeing something that no one else does and she's putting her money where her mouth is taking advantage of the drop in tech stocks due to the war in ukraine among other factors she's kept up a large number of stocks at a super cheap rate kathy wood has said repeatedly that the decline of technology stocks has created a buying opportunity that we may never see again does this mean ev stocks like tesla and rivian are ripe for purchase what benchmark can we expect the stocks to reach in the coming years keep watching to find out in the past weeks kathy wood has purchased a whole crew of new stocks doubling down on some of her favorites like tesla for example on february 22nd kathy wood's arc investment snapped up shares of the industry giant tesla along with the video meeting platform zoom as well as shares from other big name tech companies like twilio shopify and roblox the largest holding in ark's flagship fund arc innovation etf is tesla zoom is ranked third twilio is ranked 10th shopify is 15th and roblox is ranked 24th arc funds bought 24 366 shares of tesla this was worth 20 million dollars at the time of trading and 19.9 million in recent trading markets arc innovation bought 115 208 shares of zoom this was worth 14.6 million dollars at the close of business on tuesday and 14.4 million in recent trading twilio stock was purchased by ark in the amount of 65 506 shares this was worth 10.6 million dollars at the close of business in the last week of february and 10.5 million in recent trading her stake in the shopify shares was worth about 22 million dollars and it comes out to about 35 405 shares this seems to be the only one that has appreciated in value now being worth 22.4 million in recent trading kathy seems to be in a hurry to purchase these shares while they're at a low point especially that of tesla could it be that she's seen the signs that her three thousand dollar per share benchmark for tesla would come to pass kathy wood of arc investing has seen her fortunes rise and fall during the turbulent period in the stock market she most likely took too much credit when her various exchange-traded funds were performing well and has now taken too much blame now that they aren't performing as well that's how it goes for any high profile stock picker though and it's not all that different from how warren buffett carl eichen george soros or anyone else who has become famous for being right one more often than not when it comes to picking stocks goes about it would on the other hand rose quickly and became a sort of white hot star and as we all know people love to see quick falls after quick rises that has made her a little controversial but her new take on old should win her some new followers among tesla lucid motors rivien and any other electric vehicle company fans what she says should give gasoline car companies like ford and general motors cause for concern as well as additional justification for their efforts to transition to evs woods stated on twitter that not only has demand for oil peaked but that the ripple effect caused by everything from the biden administration's actions to russia's invasion of ukraine will accelerate the destruction of oil demand essentially she stated that while oil's days were already numbered people may be compelled to switch to electric vehicles sooner due to current circumstances at the margin the accelerated transition to electric transportation will destroy oil consumption long term though a longer term than i anticipated oil prices will collapse due to lower demand problems are solved through innovation what does all this mean for tesla lucid and rivien when it comes to the demand for electric vehicles we may have reached a tipping point in general high gas prices have favored fuel-efficient vehicles while low gas prices have encouraged people to go purchase gas guzzling vehicles such as suvs and pickup trucks instead of purchasing a small car that consumes less gas more people may be willing to spend the money on an electric vehicle the issue could be that tesla rivien and lucid not to mention the rest of the ev companies don't have any electric vehicles to sell rivien and lucid currently produce almost no vehicles and will ramp up over time to reach meaningful numbers tesla currently has a 1 million vehicle run rate and may even be able to double that elon musk clearly recognizes the opportunity as evidenced by his comments on production during tesla's fourth quarter earnings call during the earnings call he said uh this year tesla's primary focus is on increasing output as a result if we introduce new vehicles last year and this year our total vehicle output would decrease this is an extremely important point that i believe many people do not understand it's not exactly a bed of roses for kathy however between now and the time she hopes to get results she has to face the downturn of the market driven by a broad market sell-off the 16 billion arc innovation etf fell as much as seven percent in february bringing shares down more than 50 percent from their all-time high in january and 30 for the year compared to the s p 500's nearly nine percent decline give us five years wood said of the recent losses on thursday adding that her biggest concern is that investors cash out during the slump and quote turn what we believe are temporary losses into permanent losses she specifically defended zoom video and gen z gaming platform roblox two portfolio stocks that soared as much as seven hundred percent and ninety percent respectively during the pandemic but have since fallen more than sixty percent due to disappointing growth as covid case counts decline wood attributed the disappointing end of your results to tough comparisons based on the firm's explosive growth in 2020 saying zoom's recent tepid results will likely be the lowest point for the growth in the coming years arc purchased nearly 25 million dollars in roblox earlier in february when the company's stock experienced its worst one-day performance on record plummeting more than 25 percent after sales earnings and user growth all fell short of expectations wood strategy which arc claims focuses on disruptive innovation is gain alone surpassing their total haul of 941 million dollars last year among her critics i disclosed late last year in ark shares despite all this kathy still believes that the innovative technology sector is the future in a january webcast for investors kathy wood discussed the auto industry and shared data indicating that the bubble in used cars might burst soon one of the data points shared by the hedge fund manager during the webcast was the price drop in used cars after a year over year peak increase of 60 percent last year wood stated that the price of used cars began to fall 1.2 percent month to month with an annualized price drop of approximately 12 percent kathy wood believes that the price of used cars will continue to fall due to an inventory buildup according to wood year over year used car sales are down four percent wood explained that the drop in new vehicle sales could be attributed to the combination of a decrease in consumer sentiment and a shift in consumer preference toward electric vehicles in relation to this the top stock picker tweeted that china is a leading indicator of a shift in consumer preference for evs according to arc invest data gas powered car sales in 2021 in china were down about four percent while battery electric vehicle sales were up about 145 percent compared to a year ago if you're following very closely then you'll see that this is an opportunity for electric vehicle stocks especially tesla to see a rise this could mean tesla stock going as high as 80 percent if not even more in the coming years tesla and other electric forward automakers according to wood are a better investment than traditional automakers such as ford and general motors which have recently joined the ev bandwagon wood anticipates that these traditional automakers could suffer a surprise loss next year due to the decreasing demand for gas-powered vehicles and the greater spending to transition to evs so what do you think about woods estimation are you also a teslable comment down below
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