저자: 미상 · 외국인
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캐시 우드는 2022년 3월 테슬라 주가가 올해 3배(목표가 3,000달러)까지 갈 수 있다고 주장하며 ARK 펀드의 테슬라 매수를 근거로 제시했다. [ARK 매수 및 우드의 논리] ARK 펀드가 테슬라 주식 33,482주를 주당 829.10달러 부근에서 약 2,776만 달러에 매수했고, 이는 8개월 만의 신규 매수다. 우드는 혁신 기업의 기회를 전통 투자가 과소평가한다고 보며, 내년 3,000달러 도달 시 포지션을 정리하겠다고 언급했다. [성장 근거 - 배터리와 전기차 가격] 배터리 가격 하락과 전기차 가격의 휘발유차 하회(2025년경 약 1.8만 달러 대 2.5~2.6만 달러)를 근거로 든다. 파나소닉의 4680 배터리 양산 가능성(주행거리 15% 증가, 약 7억 달러 투자)을 긍정적 요인으로 제시했다. [분석가 의견 - 긍정] Noah Hammond(Advisor Shares)는 테슬라 경쟁자가 없다며 스타링크, 구독 서비스, 생산 확대로 2026~2027년 3,000달러 가능성을 봤다. Garrett Nelson(CFRA)은 5년간 주가 4배 가능성을 언급했다. [분석가 의견 - 부정] Ed Moya(Oanda)는 우드의 목표가가 과장됐고, 조 맨친 상원의원의 Build Back Better 법안 부결로 투자 손실과 금리 인상 위험이 있어 목표가가 하향될 수 있다고 봤다. 완전자율주행(FSD) 지연 가능성도 제기했다. [리스크] 연준 금리 인상, 규제 문제, 머스크의 과거 약속 미이행 이력이 리스크로 언급됐다. 영상 결론은 우드의 3배 전망에 회의적이다. [종목별 방향] 테슬라: 우드 기준 단기 상승 주장(3배), 영상 결론은 회의적.
다듬은 글
after nearly an eight-month hiatus long-time testable kathy wood bought the dip when tesla stocks were plummeting since the slow recent climb of the stock back into the positives wood declared her optimism about how tesla's share price will do this year at a target price of three thousand dollars wood has stated that tesla stock will go three times from here what are her reasons to support this prediction how is tesla faring with the current rising competition do other experts and analysts agree or disagree with wood keep watching to find out recently exchange traded funds managed by kathy wood's arc investment purchased 33 482 shares of tesla the shares had finished at 829.10 at the time of purchase down by 11.6 percent wood paid an estimated 27.76 million dollars for the shares at that price the star stock picker and noted tesla incorporated bull took advantage of a drop in the electric car makers stock following its results piling into the stock after months of reducing holdings this was the first tesla funds the company had bought since the recent sell-off after the stock price had reached an all-time high we believe these actions speak loudly of a renewed faith in the stock price and wood's view of what's to come this year and it had been about eight months since the firm had bought new shares of the brand kathy wood is well known for her strategy on focusing on the future when it comes to picking stocks her investment company arkan vest boasts shares in companies such as coinbase draftkings roku block teledoc health tesla and zoom video wood stated that traditional investment tactics frequently underpriced disruptive innovation because people may not realize how large the ultimate opportunity will be they're not sizing up the opportunity or understanding the disruption that said wood raised her target price to three thousand dollars which is three times what the stock was going for last year in a debate against rob arnott who has been very wary of high-priced growth stocks like tesla woods said my guess is that if nothing changed in our outlook and we got to three thousand dollars next year we'd be peeling out of it very optimistic numbers in our opinion so let's look at the current situation after a long period of decline in tesla's stock price even before the very impressive fourth quarter of 2021 earnings call tesla stock is finally climbing into the positive several analysts and investors expected exactly the opposite they expected a rise in value after the stunning report of the fourth quarter of 2021 but the stock declined even further investors started selling off their stocks as well as they feared the rate hike the federal reserve planned on implementing driving the value of this stock even lower truth be told it's been a rocky year so far across the board for all stocks particularly for growth stocks most predictions are shaky at best so what exactly are the chances of woods prediction coming true when asked to explain why she believes tesla will go three times this year wood mentioned the price drops in battery pack systems as well as the benefits of electric vehicles such as the fact that she hasn't had to travel to a petrol station since september 2018.
she anticipates the average price of an electric vehicle will fall below that of a gas-powered automobile in the next year as a result of such decreases that trend is expected to continue until 2025 when the average electric vehicle will cost around 18 thousand 000 compared to 25 or 26 000 for a normal gasoline vehicle we're with wood on this one as tesla seems to be making leaps and bounds in this particular area it came out recently that panasonic might begin mass production of the higher capacity tesla batteries as early as next year the 4680 cell is expected to increase the range of the electric vehicles by more than 15 percent according to nikkei this could increase the model s's range from 650 kilometers to 750 kilometers on a single charge nikkei also stated the battery is twice as large as earlier generations yet it boasts a five-fold increase in energy capacity as a result automobiles will require less batteries which are currently 10 to 20 percent less expensive to manufacture batteries are anticipated to account for 30 of the cost of electric vehicles so a cost reduction might make electric vehicles more affordable and speed the shift to electric vehicles panasonic a long time tesla collaborator is said to be spending roughly 80 billion which is approximately 704 million dollars on new equipment to manufacture the 4680.
it's rumored that it'll be expanding an existing plant in japan and producing the batteries there first according to nikai the company will begin small-scale manufacture of the cells this year in order to develop this safe and efficient process before going into large-scale production in 2023 it is possible that the batteries will be mass produced in other countries in the future the company acknowledged to reuters that it will build up a test manufacturing line in 2022 but it did not disclose when it would begin mass production of the batteries tesla's pioneer status on this front is sure to affect the market sentiment and therefore affect its valuation on the stock market however this may not last for long although panasonic began developing the cell following a request from tesla panasonic's head of the battery division stated that the company hasn't ruled out making the sell for other automakers even though tesla is the company's top focus we're still optimistic about tesla being ahead as elon musk has previously stated that tesla intends to manufacture its own batteries battery technology aside the more progress tesla continues to make the more market sentiment shifts to positive values with the first quarter of the 2022 earnings call coming up we believe this shift will be even greater as experts have pointed out that with the amount of deliveries this year tesla is sure to have a good q1 report what do analysts think of woods target price do they believe tesla will go three times like kathy wood has stated analysts seem to agree with the popular investors forecast pointing out that tesla's market dominance and potential growth will likely remain unmatched by a slew of competitors vying for its position noah hammond the ceo of advisor shares who recently purchased 1.8 million dollars in tesla stock stated that tesla has a lot going for them and no genuine competitors tesla's haste to strengthen up its infotainment offerings which just added tick-tock and sonic the hedgehog game as well as the impending rollout of starlink satellite internet will improve features and margins dramatically according to hammond this together with plans to dramatically increase production and maybe introduce a smartphone should rocket the stock over three thousand dollars by 2026 2027 hammond stated that in five years tesla will have significant subscription services similar to netflix or disney plus in addition to the launch of starlink autonomous driving and even insurance products this will put them miles ahead of the competition according to center for financial research and analysis analyst garrett nelson tesla's stock can quadruple in five years if musk continues to execute effectively he added that a lot of things have to go right but if you look at their guidance they're expecting a 50 annual rise in auto sales over the next decade aided by new texas and bill in factories so there's plenty of room for development other analysts are more skeptical though according to awanda analyst ed moya woods and other super bowl priced estimates are overhyped according to him they may be curtailed soon because u.s senator joe manchin recently rejected president joe biden's build back better plan to boost green energy adoption delaying and killing the legislation moya makes his point saying kathy got caught up in the electric vehicle market excitement but i believe her price objective as well as many others will be cut after mansion's grinch-like gesture which might result in 2 trillion dollars in investment losses combined with a few rate hikes it creates an unfavorable climate for riskier assets moya also poured cold water on tesla's autonomous or full self-driving service claiming that it will not be completely operational as rapidly as some have predicted he said i expect delays when it comes to full self-driving or autopilot to begin with there will be significant regulatory challenges elon musk has declared his confidence on that matter though during tesla's fourth quarter 2021 earnings call he expressed confidence that the company's full self-driving suite will be completed by 2022 people aren't yet aware of how advantageous a self-driving automobile will be musk said after which he expressed his confidence in his prognosis noting that if tesla does not achieve full self-driving by the end of the year he'll be shocked while we'd love to share his confidence he has a history of making promises and not delivering within the time frame initially mentioned if tesla can pull off managing full self-driving technology this year along with the battery technology and give a stellar first quarter earnings call report we believe tesla's stock price should very well skyrocket however the question if the price will go up three times this year we're a bit skeptical on that front will kathy wood's prediction come true what do you think tesla's first quarter earnings call report will look like comment down below
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