저자: CathieWood · 외국인
요약 보기
결론: 캐시 우드는 테슬라에 대해 그 어느 때보다 강세이며, 장기적으로 주가가 5년간 5배까지 오를 수 있다고 본다. 주가 부진과 신뢰 하락에도 캐시 우드는 2023년 1월 초 테슬라 주식을 매수했다. ARK 펀드들은 1월 첫 거래일에 약 17만 6천 주를 샀고, 10월 3일 이후 누적 약 93만 8천 주를 매수했다. 같은 기간 주가는 12% 급락한 날도 있었다. 테슬라는 4분기 인도량이 예상에 못 미쳤고, 3분기 연속 인도 미스로 애널리스트들이 목표가를 하향했다. 12개월 평균 목표가는 2021년 10월 이후 최저 수준이지만, 컨센서스 목표가는 향후 1년간 주가가 두 배 이상 오를 것을 시사한다. 머스크의 트위터 인수 이후 주가는 45% 하락했고 고점 대비 70% 낮은 수준이다. 에너지주 랠리가 유가 30% 하락에도 이어지는 것은 시장이 논리에 어긋난다고 평가했다. 에너지 섹터 ETF는 최근 12개월 약 40% 올랐다. 반면 테슬라는 향후 5년간 글로벌 석유 수요가 30% 이상 줄어드는 가운데 시장 점유율을 계속 늘릴 것으로 봤다. 테슬라 가격 인하는 경쟁사에 압박이 되고, 전기차 가격을 절반으로 낮추면 시장을 10배 확대할 수 있다고 주장했다. 자율주행 택시 플랫폼이 핵심 변수이며, 2024년 무렵 실현될 것으로 봤다. 기존 완성차 업체들은 브랜드 충성도는 있지만 테슬라 수준의 전기차를 제공하지 못할 것이라 평가했다. 향후 5~10년 내 내연기관차는 구식이 될 것이라는 전망도 밝혔다. 애널리스트 추정으로 2023년 테슬라 인도량은 약 40% 증가해 180만~190만 대(2022년 약 130만 대)가 될 전망이다. 이를 근거로 2023년 실적 추정치가 타당하다고 보았다. 반대 측 시각으로는 테슬라가 고평가됐고 경쟁에 취약하며 과도한 보조금에 의존한다는 비판이 있다. 다만 장기적으로 수익률이 과거만큼 높지는 않을 수 있다는 점도 언급됐다. 특정 한국 종목 언급은 없음. 출연자 전망은 테슬라 강세, 단기 리스크는 인정하나 장기 관점 유지.
다듬은 글
did you know that Kathy Wood is more bullish on Tesla than ever amidst Market uncertainties over the past several months numerous have lost their trust in Tesla and its CEO Elon Musk in fact many have dropped Tesla stock from their portfolios because of its unsatisfactory performance however Kathy Wood proves to be different as she continues to support the leading EV company don't miss this one amidst seemingly endless roadblocks for Tesla Kathy Wood says she's as bullish on Tesla as she's ever been and even sees the stock up five-fold in five years in early January Kathy Wood bought Tesla stock on the day of its biggest plunge since September 2020 reaffirming her conviction in the electric vehicle maker that many other investors have turned their backs on funds backed by Woods firm Are Investment Management LLC bought more than 176 thousand shares of the automaker in the first U.S trading session of this year according to ark's daily data the purchases came as Tesla stock plunged 12 after the company missed estimates for for quarterly deliveries despite offering Hefty incentives Woods exchange traded funds have acquired slightly more than 938 thousand shares of the EV maker since October 3rd when they started their latest buying spree according to Arc trading data compiled by Bloomberg the October to December period marked the first quarter in seven in which Arc net bought Tesla stock as many are aware it was a rough close to 2022 for Tesla they discounted aggressively in the U.S last month initially offering a 3 750 price reduction to anyone taking delivery of a new model 3 or model y by the end of the year in December increasing the incentive to 7 500 along with 10 000 miles of free charging for the final 11 days of 2022.
however this seemingly drastic move from the leading EV maker didn't pay off Tesla still disappointed investors after announcing weaker than expected deliveries for the fourth quarter one can argue the Tesla was discounting cars in the previous month to set refreshed tax credits that would be rolling out in 2023 but then it was learned that the tax breaks won't apply to many of the automaker's offerings Tesla's third straight quarterly deliveries Miss prompted several analysts to cut their price targets for the stock dropping wall Street's average 12-month forecast to the lowest since October 2021.
still the consensus Target price implies that share should more than double over the next year speaking of speed bumps Tesla has taken a pretty big hit since Elon Musk took over Twitter the stock is down 45 percent since musk officially became the leader of the social media platform on October 27th the market is actually up four percent in that time stretch the stock chart to its peak in late 2021 and Tesla Shares are down 70 percent investors were disappointed by the weaker than expected deliveries for the fourth quarter but the good news here is that Tesla continues to gobble up market share last year was challenging for automakers but Tesla still saw a 40 surge in vehicle deliver Series in 2022 still if there's one position that wood has been adding to consistently over the past couple of months it's Tesla she's been adding as the stock has been sliding and she hasn't stopped now that it has shifted out of reverse this year ark's CEO Kathy Wood remains bullish on Tesla saying that the oil stock rally defies logic a few days ago star stock picker Kathy Wood of arkhanvest suggested the rally in energy stocks will soon end and reiterated her bullish view on electric vehicle maker Tesla in a webinar wood whose 6.8 billion dollar Arc Innovation fund up 15 percent for the year two date was badly bruised last year by the federal reserve's aggressive pace of interest rate hikes that weighed heavily on the sort of technology stocks she focuses on yet the rally in energy stocks over the last six months despite the roughly 30 percent decline in the price of oil suggests that the market is now overvaluing value stocks says wood the market is defying logic from our point of view said our Park invest CEO the widely owned energy select sector spider fund which tracks the shares of energy companies Rose 1.2 percent Thursday and is up nearly 40 percent over the last 12 months Tesla on the other hand will continue to take market share AS Global oil demand Falls by 30 percent or more over the next five years would estimated according to Wood the company's recent moves to lower its prices will likely continue aggressively and put pressure on other automakers to match them hurting its competitors significantly says Kathy Wood consequently ARCA remains bullish on Tesla which believes that Tesla will go 10x in an email update to investors would explain that Tesla could expand its addressable Market tenfold by cutting the cost of an electric vehicle in half according to Wood there are a lot of Innovations in the Auto industry that put the traditional Auto industry and consequently traditional automakers In Harm's Way Wood pointed to Tesla autonomous taxi platform as an example of such Innovative change wood said that most other auto manufacturers are not going to be able to keep up with or reach Tesla's combination unless they want to lose money on their cars wood emphasized that that's very important from a performance point of view and a range point of view when asked about her thoughts on large corporations competing with Tesla in electric vehicle production wood has this to say they are failing miserably branding is something different these other auto manufacturers have Brands and a lot of brand loyalty but I think as consumers start to shift from gas power to electric and look at the specs of different cars says wood she said that although they might still be persuaded by Brands only they won't have as good an electric vehicle as Tesla will provide in a Yahoo finance interview last year Arc CEO Kathy Wood emphasized their belief that gas-powered vehicles are going to be obsolete within the next five to ten years and the traditional Auto industry has to figure out a way to migrate to Electric Vehicles Tesla has grown into the largest car company in the world and now sits Atop The Industry Tesla and the EV sector in general is entering a new phase and the company is positioning itself to continue to Lead the Way Forward while returns over the coming years may not match prior results Tesla has a lot of irons in the fire it's worth looking closely at whether now is a good time to invest in mid-october another Arc executive expressed optimism about the leading EV company during a cnbc's Squawk Box interview Arc invest CFA Tasha Kini shared the reason for ark's positive stance on Tesla Kini said electric vehicles are just single digit percentage points of overall Auto Sales so we have to remember that it's still an early Market but we do definitely see Tesla as one of the market leaders both in electric vehicles and in autonomy wood also told Yahoo Finance in a separate interview that elon's main role at Tesla right now is moving it towards an autonomous taxi platform which I think will happen in 2010 24 I think he thinks it will happen next year I think he's as focused as ever on that Tesla is the world's dominant seller of electric vehicles and is well positioned to take advantage of some of the Ira's tax credits for battery cell manufacturing and locally assembled EVS but in order to meet its goal to grow deliveries by 50 annually over several years an objective Tesla warned it will fall just short of in 2022 Tesla will likely make compromises when it comes to gross margins Tesla has cut prices across its lineup in China and scheduled downtime at its plant in Shanghai bullish analysts and investors believe that Tesla will continue to take the leading role in the electric vehicle Revolution that has finally gained traction they also believe that Tesla will lead in other green energy Fields such as solar panels and energy storage devices bearish analysts and investors on the other hand feel that the company will fail to live up to expectations and will just become another production company rather than some something Innovative and special Bears view the company as overvalued susceptible to competition and overly subsidized other analysts expect Tesla deliveries to grow about 40 percent in 2023 hitting 1.8 million to 1.9 million cars up from roughly 1.3 million in 2022 meeting 2023 delivery estimates will go a long way to convincing investors that 2023 earnings estimate is sound and that Tesla stock might have sold off a little too much this past year overall Kathy Wood and her investment firm Mark invest remain more bullish than ever on Tesla stock wood who is a huge proponent of innovation continually shows her support for Tesla and its forthcoming Innovative projects subscribe to Tesla stock for more updates in 2023
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