저자: ChamathPalihapitiya · 외국인
요약 보기
테슬라 주가가 장기적으로 1만 달러까지 갈 수 있다는 낙관론을 펼치며, 테슬라가 청정에너지 기업으로서 화석연료 산업의 가치를 잠식할 것이라고 주장한다. 과거 발언: 2017년 CNBC 인터뷰에서 테슬라 5년 전환사채(수익률 5.5%)를 주식의 상승 잠재력 95%를 가지면서 채권의 하방은 제한된 콜옵션으로 평가하며 매수했다고 설명했다. 이후 2021년 초 주가 정점 무렵 테슬라 주식을 매도했으며, 다른 사업 투자 자금 마련을 이유로 밝혔다. 낙관 근거: 캐시 우드(ARK)가 2025년 목표가를 3,000달러로 제시한 점을 인용했다. 2022년 4분기 실적 발표 이후 주가가 기대와 달리 하락했으나, 연준 금리 인상 우려에 따른 조정으로 해석했다. 사업 근거: 테슬라 에너지 저장장치(메가팩) 사업은 유틸리티 대상 대규모 시스템으로 확장 중이며, 메가팩 가격은 약 140만 달러(0.8MW 기준)다. 엘크혼 배터리 저장 시스템(182.5MW)은 연내 가동 예정이다. 배터리 기술: 파나소닉이 일본 공장에서 4680 배터리 생산을 위해 약 800억 엔(약 7억 400만 달러)을 투자할 것으로 알려졌으며, 2023년 대량 생산을 목표로 한다. 2022년 차량 인도량은 전년 대비 50% 이상 증가할 것으로 예상됐다. 리스크: 공급망 문제가 지속되고 있으며, 연준 금리 인상과 성장주 전반의 하락세가 주가에 부담이 된다. 장기 낙관론을 가진 반면 단기 변동성은 인정한다. 출연자 전망: 테슬라 주가는 장기적으로 상승해 기존 예측을 넘어설 것이라는 입장이다. 단, 1만 달러 목표는 기한 없이 제시된 장기 견해다.
다듬은 글
you may know chamath palyapatia for being a famous investor what some people might not know is that chamath paliapatia is a sri lankan-born canadian and american venture capitalist engineer and one of tesla's ardent supporters he recently stated that tesla stock has a bright future and would be worth double and quadruple in the coming years what is polyappatea basing this speculation on what's tesla's current situation in this turbulent economy could tesla stock reach ten thousand dollars all will be revealed in today's video so be sure to keep watching to find out pollyappatia was an early facebook senior executive serving there from 2007 to 2011.
he was also one of tesla's most ardent supporters during the sown conference of 2017 chamath paliapotea the founder and ceo of social capital spoke with cnbc's kelly evans about a tesla incorporated trade idea in this interview he stated how much he liked tesla's five-year convertible bond because it gives you 95 percent of the potential upside of equities while also having the negative risk of a bond paulie apatia said he saw it as a call option on one of the world's most successful businessmen when pollyapattia started buying the convertible bond yielded five point five percent polypatia added that he's betting on tesla's ceo elon musk because he considers him a close friend evidence shows that polyapotia is a solid investor who wouldn't place a bet because of a friend the seasoned financial experts seem to believe in the brand's values and believed as we do that tesla is on its way to surpassing expectations those values still stand the stock price after several trading days of being in the red is now solid and yielding positive numbers as tesla stock has finally climbed up to nine hundred and eleven dollars many investors have already lost faith and sold off their shares despite paliapotea's bullish position on tesla stock he participated in the sell-off a few months after a bright forecast for tesla in 2021 polyapotia sold tesla stock around the time the stock started to peak earlier that year he had notably stated that the electricity utilities will be severely disrupted trillions of dollars in bonds capital expenditure and value are resting inside the world's energy generation infrastructure which will be turned upside down tesla will double and quadruple again if that goes wrong polypetia claimed that tesla is a clean energy firm that would eventually eat into the value of the fossil fuel industry at this rate this puts tesla stock to over perform and the potential to work its way up to ten thousand dollars so why did he sell his stock later that year did this represent a loss of faith in the brand when asked about this matter paliaptia stated that he just needed to move money around he revealed that he sold his tesla stock to get money to invest in other business ventures he expressly stated i don't have an endless supply of cash so when i have these ideas i have to find a way to fund them this didn't sit well for some investors polyappatee polyappatea's selling can be viewed in the most charitable light as a guy on a mission to transform the world and if he can find a better way to reinvest cash at high rates of return he should do so the most cynical interpretation is that he was a promoter who cultivated a public image that allowed him to buy shares for a low price drive up the price in public markets and then sell it to the public and pocket the profits in our opinion the truth is probably a combination of the two however he explained that he's still bullish on tesla so we're leaning towards the former he's not alone in his bullish stance as kathy wood has projected similar numbers over the years recently she increased her goal price to three thousand dollars by 2025 a three times increase over last year's price at this rate tesla could reach ten thousand dollars she further explains saying my guess is that if nothing changed in our perspective and we got to three thousand dollars next year we'd be peeling out of it woods stated this in a debate with rob arnot who had been leery of high-priced growth stocks like tesla in our perspective these are very optimistic figures so let's have a look at the actual scenario tesla's stock is finally going into the positive after a long fall period even before the highly excellent fourth quarter earnings call of 2021 several analysts and investors had predicted the exact opposite outcome they anticipated a boost in value following the surprising fourth quarter report they expected the stock to soar in value after the astonishing fourth quarter report of 2021 but it fell much lower investors began selling their equities in anticipation of the federal reserve's scheduled rate hike which they worried would drive the stock's value even further down to be honest it's been a rough year so far for all equities especially growth stocks and most estimates are wobbly at best according to recent reports from the fremont factory and the gigafactory shanghai teslables are optimistic about the upcoming first quarter earnings calls as there have been talks of performance being expected to be exceptional footage obtained last month from shanghai revealed that tesla china strongly emphasizes model 3 and model y exports and with the berlin factory finally beginning operations things are looking good during tesla's last full year earnings conference call it was also mentioned that the 50 increase would be achieved with only two factories now operational fremont and shanghai as is the case in the first quarter this illustrates that despite all of the bad news in turmoil absolutely nothing is blocking the business from making a strong profit now even with the current state of the economy this year tesla's macro projects are also likely to gain traction battery storage for renewable energy is an enticing solution for utilities under pressure to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from coal and natural gas the 182.5 megawatt elkhorn battery energy storage system was built by pg and ecorp and tesla in the san francisco bay area and is located at the utilities substation near monterey bay when it goes live later this year it will be one of the world's largest utility-owned systems capable of powering an estimated 136 500 homes for several hours according to tesla's website the mega pack a modular system that starts at roughly 1.4 million dollars for a 0.8 megawatt battery the size of a shipping container is the company's utility scale battery offering tesla's battery technology is the stock's greatest bullish factor tesla's well on its way to becoming a household name with the latest news on the panasonic plant in japan coming in 2023 panasonic a long time tesla collaborator is expected to invest around 80 billion yen approximately 704 million dollars in new equipment to produce the 4680 battery it's been speculated that it may expand its existing plant in japan to produce the first batteries according to nikkei the company will start making the cells on a limited scale this year to demonstrate safe and efficient methods before ramping up production in 2023 it's likely that the batteries will eventually be mass produced in other countries the business told reuters that it would set up a test manufacturing line in 2022 but it did not say when the batteries would be mass produced it claimed we're looking into different mass production solutions tesla's pioneer status on this front is bound to influence market sentiment and as a result its stock market price this however may not be the case for long even though panasonic began creating the cell in response to a request from tesla the company's head of battery division claimed that the company hasn't ruled out making the sell for other automakers he stated we remain positive about tesla's prospects as elon musk the company's ceo has stated before that tesla aims to build its own batteries despite the long-standing supply chain issues that it expects to be rectified next year tesla incorporated predicted that the vehicle deliveries in 2022 will increase by more than 50 percent year-over-year skeptics were perplexed when elon musk speaking on behalf of the world's most valuable automaker presented an upbeat prognosis after the firm posted record quarterly sales that outperformed wall street forecasts while tesla bulls remained confident so far everything seems to be going well when you detract market sentiment in psychology deliveries are increasing and tesla continues to dominate various areas the company's worth will undoubtedly rise and eventually surpass current predictions do you agree with chamath paliapotea will tesla stock keep soaring higher comment down below
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