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Warren Buffett PANIC SELLING Stocks Rings Alarm Bells

The Money GPS · 2023-12-12 · 유튜브 시청 46,357 · Board Views 8 · International

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Panic selling right now Warren Buffett 28.7 billion worth I'm going to break that all down for you and explain exactly what's going on right here and now you came here for the truth so let me unveil that for you I've got a big message today it's all about what's happening inside the stock market yes we can look at the consumer yes we can look at the economy but we can get some information pulled from Warren Buffett and other invest s out there when we look at the action that they're taking I'll break that all down for you right here and now Warren Buffett selling 28.7 billion dollars in stocks that Rings alarm Bells over the economy now we know what's going on in the real economy obviously inflation much higher than what they're willing to admit but what does this say about what's occurring right now that's right the real economy is showing a very different world than than what's happening in the stock market the stock market is looking fantastic I pinpointed the bottom of the stock market over one year ago telling everybody what they need to know look this is happening this is the reason why I followed up about a week or two later again making the same mention and it is very clear now looking back a year it all made sense many people weren't paying attention to me as a result of everything and look you can see it take it for what you want but I'm telling you right now when you see the money mirror method which I've talked about numerous times here on this channel and everybody on the fun Friday live sessions that we have uh get to know all about it this is an important thing because it's a signal and when we start to break that down as we will do here you're going to make sense of it I'm just trying to help you out because of what I can see people are so confused out there because these YouTubers are actually actively flip-flopping so fast you can't keep up so here on this channel I stick to the basics and always the fundamentals of what's been happening and we have easy monetary policies and certainly that has skewed everything what's Warren Buffett doing well he's selling $28 billion a stock look even for Warren Buffett that's a lot just to give you a little bit of insight the guy is sitting on $17 billion of cash well really that's cash equivalent right cash equivalent think about it if he's going to earn 5% on something like a US Treasury and he has the option of okay or let's buy some of one stock or another he's going to say I can guarantee 5% here or I can take the risk of what a few percent 5% is it going to be 7% well the prospects here are very important to understand never lose money rule number one and so he says yeah I'll take the 5% over that and you see his track record not just over the last few years not just over the last decade but decade after decade after decade so he knows what he's doing now he's going to invest differently than somebody else but his method have been working here all throughout and what is it it's all about the perceived value of a company at some point in the near future what are they pulling through right now are they able to actually bring in cash bring in capital and make their shareholders happy what Warren Buffett is signaling is that next year 2024 is not going to be strong that's for sure he's signaling in his own way that a recession is coming Warren Buffett likes to take take a look as they say in this article here he would rather be sitting on this cash because he can earn that money but more importantly be ready to deploy massive amounts of capital because he's considered to be the lender of Last Resort in these certain uncertain times you know you may be already aware of this but during the financial crisis the whole like you couldn't get money you couldn't get a loan it was not going to happen whether that's for real estate whether that's for businesses companies were going bankrupt all of these things were happening one after the other and you had this tightening of credit so would you believe it that Bank of America and other companies that happen at this time would go to Warren Buffett and others they would say these are the circumstances we want your investment and in that case he took it on of course in the rest is history but there were companies that would approach him and he would turn them down saying no this is not viable so you got to realize this he's ready to deploy but he wants to buy for pennies on the dollar he doesn't want to buy at the most inflated prices ever at the highest prices all-time record highs that's generally not what he does I mean he does accumulate here and there but when you've got this amount of cash he wants to do it all at once and buy entire companies if he can so that's the difference between a Warren Buffett approach and the average investor you could take the approach you decide but let's learn from what he's doing and it's not just him by the way if you want to know what guys like Warren Buffett are doing at any time I've made this video many many years ago it's how to find exactly what stocks big investors like Warren Buffett are buying you can just type that in and it's also under my playlists you go to my uh main channel the money GPS scroll down to the bottom under the playlist called easy ecourse click on that playlist and that's the video in there it's also in the link in the description under the sources so what do we have today like what what's going on in the stock market what do that tell us about the economy this is important if even if you're not an investor okay so you got to pay attention to this look and by the way if you share this with your friends who you know claim to know about stocks please do so they can understand what's going on here if they're looking to invest if they're talking about the stock market these are the things they need to know so you will see this at this time on the right hand side there's single stocks and there is essentially the ETFs of the broad market and people right now they're investing broadly in the market versus single stocks that's not happening now because they don't want to be stock Pickers they don't want to take risk they just generally want to be putting money into the market and we have this iwm which is essentially looking at small caps smaller companies and there has been a lot of let's just call this uh you know risk-taking because these are options and they're buying more than ever before this is a record high in when we look look at the small caps and generally that's seen as being um you know high risk higher risk not the large caps the small caps well what has happened over the last while has been that the Magnificent Seven has taken everything all the money has been flowing into the Magnificent Seven the tech stocks right they've been getting all the money they've been getting all the attention and now perhaps that has started to flip to a small degree anyway but this is what's going on at the same and I'll tell you why we're going to explain why that's the case if you hang out with me for just a few more minutes I'll tell you why small caps have been seeing some interest right here right now if we look at the markets broadly you can see that they've been going up with the anticipation that the Federal Reserve is going to cut interest rates you've seen that right I'm sure but that would mean that everybody at the FED is wrong because that black line there that is the anticipation of the market but look at those yellow dots that are you know circled in red there that's where the fed the fomc members that's where they are saying in 2024 the FED funds rate will be at and so that black line is completely different so the market is saying no no no you're cutting interest rates and the Federal Reserve is saying uhuh we're not going to cut interest rates and we know specifically the Federal Reserve is it's never going to actually tell you they're not going to say it's a recession now so you get better panic and you better go sell everything they've never done that once before so we have to take what they say with the grain of salt just like they were saying inflation is transitory and all that nonsense okay so let's I mean I I still can't say that without laughing so keep that in mind now we have this S&P 500 seasonality from 1950 through 2022 and it is during this period of time that we see bullishness we see more money being thrown into the markets all throughout end of the year this Santa Claus rally uh a lot of times is basically like right after Halloween that we would see more money coming in looking at it as well Russ 2000 versus the S&P 500 that's the small caps versus the S&P 500 seasonality since 1980 Russell 2000 outperforms okay so understand what we're seeing now seasonality of the stock market overall but also comparing the small caps to the General market S&P 500 and you do see that the small caps tend to win there is you know th this is all I'm connecting all the dots together here and hope you can see that and I hope you do appreciate it if you do all you got to do is hit that Thumbs Up Button because number one it supports the channel but also it notifies the algorithm out there that hey this is some good stuff so it will push that into other people's feeds I want to thank you for doing that isn't this interesting though the way that this all works there's the seasonality there's the comparison of the different markets and you could see with big investors like uh Warren Buffett are doing so it's very important stuff at the same time we have this S&P 500 performance around the start of the FED cutting cycles and so if there is a recession yeah you've got a problem depending on what it is is a financial crisis tech stocks boom bust you know all all those uh yeah then then the stock market can come down but the median of all episodes tends to be that once they start in there's know a little bit of turbulence here and there but eventually markets come up afterward and we know that it all depends on what that catalyst is we want to wait for a catalyst is a bank in crisis is it a you know suddenly a a bust on the stock market like these things matter but at some point they're going to cut there's going to be some sort of bailouts we have seen this before and as a result risk assets usually and end up doing better you know 12 months 24 months out from that period it usually looks like that uh but in that bare Market there's a lot of people that lose their shirts especially the ones that are taking on too much risk too much debt so the message here is we are at an all-time high you have to be aware of that you have to trim your winnings and you have to start to realize that okay I don't want to be greedy at this time I'm going to put some capital on the sidelines because I want to deploy but I'm not at the same time going to go and just sell everything because that's a risk as well you have to have a balance a balance very important stuff and a lot of people don't want to talk about that that's not sexy hey I think it's good but what can you do and then you look at it you know across the ocean and we see what's going on inside of China um you could see what's going on with Hong Kong looking at this a historic slump in Hong Kong's $4.6 trillion stock market is Rippling through the city's financial industry um check it out you've got stock brokerage local brokerages closing down this is a record 49 shut up shop in 2022 again over and over and over again money is fleeing I have the charts right here you could see the stock index heading for a record fourth year of losses and it's getting worse look at the trend there it's not a good sign some would say that China is becoming uninvestable for foreign investors that's what they're saying but you know usually when it's like that it's it's always the opposite that happens um Hong Kong stock market is fading versus Japan's and Japan you know how terrible their circumstances are I mean I don't even know how they're still standing but that's the way it goes and so I would just wanted to make it clear the money has left certain areas and found its place in others and the US has benefited from that they' benefited from the strong currency and they had benefited from the you know the the treasuries as a result people putting money in hey 5% why not so money is generally been flowing in that direction and people are concerned about what's happening in China China is trying to get foreign investment back and going and we could see right now the struggle that they are dealing with if you want to know about what's going on with particular stocks you're like I don't know what to choose and this and that that's why I partner with uh Seeking Alpha because Seeking Alpha can give you details that you just do not find like don't compare the their General website that that's not a good way to do it um but their paid subscription is actually really good you can see that um this is called their Alpha pick which they have and on the right hand side they show the performance vastly outperforming uh the General market which has done very well of course um and you could see it it's almost 60% versus the S&P 500 to add about 22% so if you're interested in that you just basically go to the link in the description click on that and it will bring you to the page you could see for yourself there is a discount that's always run in over there and what they decided that you know by the time you're watching this video you'll get a discount on that product so just check it out it's it's definitely worth it I would say U for those who are really looking towards investing then you should be more informed than what we have available out there with uh you know a lot of misinformation the comment of the day I want to thank you for that I work at the Mayo Clinic and we had AI start to work alongside of us 5 months ago and it it was way off in it's decisionmaking back then 5 months later and it's unbelievably accurate now I would be shocked if job Cuts aren't happening within 6 months so thank you for that comment and I just want you to understand that there are disruptions that are going on and you need to be aware of them I hope that you will stay in tuned with this channel because I'm going to bring you the latest and greatest information make sure that you tune in every day make sure you come back go to the m GPS make sure that you seek this channel out probably won't end up in your feed but I want to thank you for being here today and I hope and see you tomorrow take care

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