저자: RickyGutierrez—소속미상 · 외국인
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결론: 워런 버핏 인용을 근거로 약세장에서 분할 매수를 권하며, 아마존·S&P500·나스닥 등 대형주 ETF가 고점 대비 큰 상승 여지가 있다고 주장. 버핏 인용과 시장 논리: 모든 약세장과 경기침체는 결국 강세장으로 회복되었고, 가격이 떨어졌을 때가 투자 적기라는 주장. 버핏의 '남들이 탐욕스러울 때 두려워하고, 남들이 두려워할 때 탐욕스러워라'를 인용하며 현재 주식이 과매도 상태라고 진단. 아마존 사례: 2008년 폭락 후 2009년 3월 아마존 투자 시 5년간 약 560% 수익이 났다고 설명. 현재 주가 94달러, 과거 고점 188.65달러 기준 약 100% 상승 여력을 제시. ETF 수익 여력(고점 대비 계산): SPY(S&P500) 약 16%, QQQ(나스닥) 약 39%. UDOW(다우 3배 레버리지 추정)는 약 130%로 언급했으나 진행자 본인도 비정상적 수치라며 재확인 필요하다고 함. 개별 종목 수익 여력(고점 대비): 마이크로소프트 약 35%, 테슬라 약 113%, 알파벳(구글) 약 50%. 독점에 가까운 대형주라 회복이 확실하다는 취지. 리스크·조건: 테슬라는 상대적으로 위험하다고 인정. 회복 시점은 아무도 모르며 수개월일지 수년일지 불확실하다고 언급. 따라서 감당 가능한 소액(1주 등)으로 시작하라고 권고. 전액 투자는 심리적으로 힘들 수 있다고 경고. 출연자 전망: 장기 회복 확신("회복은 if가 아니라 when"). 단기 시점은 특정하지 않음. 영상 말미에 라이브 방송 및 유료 강의 그룹(150달러 할인) 홍보.
다듬은 글
every single bear market and recession in history no matter how severe has eventually always given way to a bull market while we know while we don't know exactly when the market will eventually recover we do know one thing and that the best time to invest is when markets are down what's going on team it's Ricky here with techbook Solutions wanted to share with you this article that I read and it talked about some of Warren Buffett's investment advice uh it also brings up maybe some concerns that you guys might have but I think it really puts things into perspective on why beginning to plan to invest now is not a bad thing right so when prices are down many people are concerned about a potential recession investing even more into the stock market might be the last thing on your mind but to maximize your earnings now is the time to buy and then they give a great example of Warren Buffett right back in 2008 one of the things that he said is he has a simple rule when it comes down to buying it's be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy when others are fearful it's probably one of the most popular quotes from Warren Buffett itself and right now stocks across the board are oversold and then I love how they give the example of Amazon even Amazon right now and that's something that we're going to talk about uh in this video itself one of the things that they talk about is Amazon back in 2009 right 2009 shortly after the 2008 crash markets were down heavy right and when thinking about it if markets are down why would you ever want to invest but then it puts things into perspective where back in March of 2009 Amazon again and then fast forward five years saw a return of 560 percent insane right 560 but you might be like that that will never happen again right well let's look at Amazon right now for ask yourself a very simple question is Amazon stock going anywhere anytime soon by going anywhere do you I mean do you think that it's gonna go bankrupt obviously not right Amazon in my opinion is probably one of the most monop a company that is close to a monopoly as possible right and if we look at Amazon at where it's trading at right now 94 dollars a share and based off of previous all-time Highs at 188.65 that is exactly a 100 return right so while everyone else is trying to invest in AMC and gme and all of these pump and dumps imagine being able to see a 100 return simply by investing in something like Amazon one of the most valuable companies that's publicly traded at the end it goes back and talks to you a little bit more about when will the markets recover and at the end of the day no one knows exactly when these markets will recover but again they put it into perspective of kind of the overall Outlook that I think every investor should have every long-term investor and it's one of the hardest parts of investing during a downturn is that nobody knows exactly how long it will take for the market to recover but it will eventually rebound and again it's one of the things that we talk about all the time it's not an if the market will recover it's a when right and if you don't want to be you know exposed to the risk of an individual company then maybe investing in something like spy right spy is an S P 500 ETF it's considered to be one of the most Diversified you know top 500 companies that are publicly traded now this doesn't offer 100 Roi but from where we're at right now to based off of previous highs it offers 16 percent but again it's as close to guaranteed as possible right we also have QQQ which is the NASDAQ ETF right it's one for one for the NASDAQ NASDAQ is considered to be a little bit more risky because it's Tack and Tech is a little bit more volatile but obvious obviously also offers a lot more in return nearly 39 percent ROI is what this offers and then we got the Dow Jones which should be the you Dow if I'm not mistaken uh you Dow right now based off of previous patterns we could see that from where we're at right now to previous highs we could see that we offer wait 130 this has to be triple leveraged I'll have to take a second look into this one but udow should not be offering this kind of return not not this aggressive so something that we'll have to follow back with but spy and QQQ I mean out of the three those are the two most popular ones and then when talking about Amazon stock I mean it's not even just Amazon um you know Amazon itself offers 100 Roi but let's take a look at other companies have you guys looked into Microsoft right Microsoft is literally one of the most valuable companies that's publicly traded not enough people talk about it and guess what this thing offers a 35 Roi from where we're at right now again a thousand dollars 350 return ten thousand dollars thirty five hundred dollar return a hundred thousand dollars thirty five thousand dollars in return again it's not an if the market will recover it's a win we're talking about companies that are as close to monopolies as possible when it comes down to Tesla now we're getting a little bit into the riskier place right Tesla's not guaranteed but again it's something that based off of where we're at right now and based off of previous highs offers 113 Roi we can even get into companies like Google right or alphabet right that's the mother company uh the parent company of Google and YouTube right and for where we're at right now to previous highs 50 Roi imagine being able to make not a small return that's not small by any means right imagine being able to see a 30 50 even 100 Roi by investing not in crap companies but but but by actually investing in some of the most valuable companies that have ever been publicly traded that's the opportunity that Warren Buffett is talking about it's a hard concept to grasp when things are so uncertain so I've I've like something that I always share with our learn time profit Trader so the learn plan profit triggers are the people that get to watch me trade live every single morning and it is a very daunting experience if you have no experience in the stock market don't over complicate it right if you are even just considering investing even just considering it you can open up a brokerage account you can use the trading application I use it's the fifth Link in the description it's Weeble it's free and fund it 100 fund it 200 whatever it is right buy one share of the top two favorite stocks that are publicly traded right that you think will recover as time goes on you don't have to over complicate it if you want to invest in Amazon invest in Amazon right ninety four dollars a share and if it doubles great you earned it right the thing that I want you to be aware of is I want you to be able to experience firsthand of why it's so valuable to be able to invest during an uncertain time it's actually putting Warren Buffett's concept to the test of invest or be be greedy when others are fearful and be fearful when others are greedy but do it with in a way that you can tolerate right sometimes people tend to over complicate it because they're like well how much of it do I have to buy by one share don't over complicate it I want you to prove it to yourself that you can make money so the next time because there will be a next time that there is a recession and the markets do pull back you've experienced it firsthand and I think the concepts that you learned during this recession are Concepts that you can actually be able to leverage the next time that you're at bat and that's during the next recession but you have to experience it first and I'm a big believer in that put yourself in a position in which you can tolerate so with a very small position size it can be one share it could be a few shares but don't over complicate it right tall be able to tolerate the time that it will take for the market to recover we don't know if it's going to be a couple of months we don't know if it's going to be a couple of years all we know is that eventually it will recover always it always has it's as close to guaranteed as possible although nothing's guaranteed right so this is why you do it with the position size that you can tolerate if you were to go all in with all your money then yeah that would be very exhausting because mentally can you tolerate the time that it will take for the market to recover some people might be able to some people might not so guess what this is why we're talking about that one share it's putting his concept to the test so next time you are even that much more prepared and that much more excited to take advantage when others are fearful and when you can be reading right so that's the concept that I want to talk to you guys about today we are going to be live streaming today right around 6 30 p.m this is mountain standard time I'm in Arizona so for those who are unaware uh I go live and it's our Sunday stock talk I break down the top 10 stocks that our group members and viewers uh asked me to break down so if you've never tuned on into one of our live streams drop a thumbs up on this video subscribe to the channel and make sure you come back at 6 30 PM Mountain Standard Time and I'll be hosting that free live stream and I'd be more than happy to have you guys there if you want to learn a little bit more about our learn plan profit group to be able to watch me trade live every single day especially of 2023 is going to be your year to actually get started in the stock market no more excuses second link in the description is our lpp group and we're running a 150 off sale and again that's the biggest discount that we offer it's a one-time payment lifetime access and yes you get to watch me trade live every single day included in that lesson Library we appreciate your time if you have any questions shoot me a direct message via Instagram or via Discord and that's that first and third link in the description also I'm using the Weeble trading application so if you want to earn up to six free stocks just deposit one dollar and again that's going to be that fifth Link in the description I appreciate your time like always let's make sure that we end the year on a green note thank you to team
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