저자: TomLee · 외국인
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Nvidia 실적이 시장 기대를 웃돌았고 AI 수요가 가속 중이라 Nvidia가 다음 상승 국면을 이끌 것으로 봄. 6월 이후 기관 자금 유입('wall of money')을 예상하며 시장 상승을 기대. 단, 자막 상 일부 구간은 AI 생성 듯한 과장 문구가 섞여 있고 발언자 구분이 불분명함.
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good place to start is just talking about Nvidia and I think your take on how you know what you thought of the quarter um and what how it how it came in relative to your expectations and them up yeah look Tom I mean I think that it was probably the most anticipated earnings that we've seen in a decade orever right and in terms of watch parties and everything else for NVIDIA just take it take out the noise in terms of numbers and in terms of what happened s blackw delay is put to rest think about all the AA over the last few months on that and that's similar what we're seeing in our checks throughout Asia demand we we demands out sh and Supply 125 to one and and nothing we saw from numbers or metrics makes me think that that's dissipating they look in terms of like whisper numbers for the quarter 33 billion 33 and A2 they got 32 A2 slightly below whisper stock gets hit we look two billion beats We Believe are probably likely here right but they're not there's no reason that Jensen and the team are gonna guide to anything near that especially in a Blackwell type quarter and I think you walk away the demand thesis is accelerating yields are improving and and ultimately I think it sets up for actually the next leg of the story now look I get where like sell up happens and oh is this it is this over it's second inning in a n inning game in terms of overall a because it goes better and this is the most important if there's anything anyone takes away from this colge for every dollar spent on an Nvidia trip the multiplier for the rest of tech is 8 to10 in a world where stock market narratives can flip and transform by the one name continues to resonate with unyielding prominence Nvidia this Behemoth in the tech arena is not merely another entity it stands as the symphonic centerpiece in the grand Orchestra of artificial intelligence advancements as the broader Market has been consumed with turbulence and unpredictability Nvidia has charted a course of ascent that has captivated both investors and analysts alike the remarkable journey of nvidia's Stellar stock performance has achieved truly jaw-dropping Heights over this past year alone its share price has skyrocketed by approximately 180% a staggering statistic that would Quicken the pulse of even the most experienced and Savvy investor these Whispers of potential have transformed into a melodic Crescendo of validation demonstrated through nvidia's astronomical growth rates which have position the company at the very core of the financial Universe yet with every meteoric rise important questions Loom on the horizon can this formidable Titan and chip technology sustain its thrilling trajectory the market murmurs with curiosity as investors like yourself grapple with Discerning whether Nvidia represents an ironclad ipated superhero or merely a market darling operating on financial steroids potentially susceptible to Future Market Correction Nvidia congestion and consolidation a 3- as the curtains Drew back on this mesmerizing Financial stage Nvidia emerged into the spotlight with an AI driven flourish that defies traditional Financial metrics displaying a stock performance that could make even the boldest algorithms blush With Envy the company's Revenue shot up by an astounding 205% year-over-year in the first half of fiscal 2025 with earnings per share soaring by an equally impressive 285 over the same period for the Skeptics in the audience one might justest that nvidia's Financial growth trajectory could provide the adrenaline rush of a roller coaster ride at even the most adventurous of amusement parks however these figures are no mere illusion they are the undeniable Hallmarks of a pioneering Trailblazer carving its own formidable path in the expansive realm of AI advancements Financial analysts armed with their meticulous analytical Acumen have scrutinized nvidia's metrics with a Precision akin to that of a hawk eye noting that the forward price earnings to growth PEG ratio stands remarkably at a mere 0.36 in traditional stock analysis A PEG ratio below 1.0 typically indicates a stock that may well be undervalued in this regard Nvidia not only meets but far surpasses these expectations it is as though the data itself is shouting from the rooftops value is here for the taking even in the midst of the global cacophony of supply chain wos nvidia's blend of Innovative finesse and market dominance has inspired confidence throughout the investment Community instilling A Renewed faith in the potential for continued profitabilitews of the day this morning we're buyers of stocks on Friday but even stronger if the jobs report is soft soft the implication being you were buying no matter what so it wasn't soft it was hotter than expected but nonetheless why did you come into today thinking you were buying stocks regardless uh well there's a couple reasons Scott you know the first is that I think markets are much more focused on inflation reports and cpis next week and the the June fomc meeting on Wednesday and the second which of course we think is going to just show a continued Improvement inflation but the second is that stocks really historically have done well in the week following the release of the employment report Rising roughly 70% of the time and it implies roughly 50 to 80 sorry 70 to 80 points in the S&P of course it would be better if it was a soft dve report and it wasn't well it's it's funny you say that it would be better if it was a soft jobs report because I think the market spent a good amount of today trying deciding you know what it was was it good news is good news good news is bad news I mean if the market doesn't necessarily need rate Cuts why why is a softer report better why can't we just be happy with good news labor Market's strong econom is hanging in don't need rate cuts and still may get them later this year uh I mean I generally agree with you Scott but as you know there's a faction of both Market participants and fomc that view some of this data as too hot for them to be comfortable with and I think you know the the more positive data points you get the more you might we actually start to see markets pricing a hike and so I think you're right there's a there is a goldilux window and but it's safer to say bad news is good news because those actually clearly take away inflationary pressures as Nvidia continues to add fuel to the ever blazing AI bonfire the anticipation surrounding its next Generation Blackwell processors holds the promise of yet another major Leap Forward in technological advancements technology enthusiasts industry experts and Wall Street analysts alike gaze at these upcoming developments with starry eyes and slightly increased heartbeats whether it is on wall Street's trading floors or across social media platforms like Twitter the buzz surrounding Nvidia Echoes firmly across continents Nvidia is certainly no mere Tech small fry it is in fact the vital nucleus at the very core of AI Evolution the only constant in the inherently complex world of market dynamics is change itself yet even amidst this ever shifting landscape Nvidia is optimistically viewed as having substantial room for continued growth despite the inevitable eventual slowing of its meteoric rise conversations emanating from research hubs and Casual industry chitchat alike suggest a cyclical yet positive trajectory for AI driven Innovations passionately spearheaded by none other than Nvidia iconic actor Arnold Schwarzenegger's famous cinematic line I'll be back might well find its most profound corporate embodiment in Nvidia as the company confidently asserts its dominance over the ever expanding AI landscape poised to make yet another another triumphant retur'm wondering if you think in any way that you know thinking that June is going to be the point of the year in which we start to get this money off the sidelines and into the market and how Goldman Sachs framed it the other day talking about a quote wall of money coming in but not really until July that you could have some selling between now and then but that the beginning of the third quarter and thus the second half of the year is the area to really plan for a wall of money coming into this market and then pushing stocks that next leg higher and Scott that that Dynamic is certainly at play uh for a couple reasons one you know April was a down month and I think a lot of institutional investors actually set out May thinking it was April was a start of a bigger correction so June is when money starts coming back in but I think more importantly since the end of 2022 I think a lot of Institutions and a lot of high net worth individuals sort of sat out this Market saying hey I'm happy earning 5% by the middle of this year if the S&P is up 15% on top of missing 30% last year I think a lot of folks are going to say listen I can't just sit on cash and earn 5% anymore when I'm missing out potentially on a 25% year for the S&P Tom would you make of the fact a couple times this week we had rates go down and stocks go down not exactly the dynamic that many had been expecting right because that's not the way that stocks and rates had been have been reacting right they've been pretty well correlated rates down stocks up well there were a couple of occasions this week where that didn't work why uh it's kind of hard to tell especially day-to-day but if I had to guess you know we don't want to be in a situation where the economy is slowing so much that we've actually hit stall speed so rates would go down that type of e economic Dynamic would scare stocks so it's almost like bad news is too much bad news um in fact maybe that's why today's jobs report kind of fits right in the middle because it's actually good enough to tell us the econom is still strong as you said but it's not enough to actually add to inflationary pressures Tom what what if you know this this Market is just screaming out it's it's nvidia's world and we're just living in it right I mean nvidia's up markets are good nvidia's not doing much S&P can't do that much nasdaq's negative today it's a one stock story uh I mean Invidia is really a generational story for now because I mean how many $3 trillion companies actually have doubled uh you know I mean so clearly Nvidia is important but it's it's important because it's really one of the most important ways to get exposure to Ai and I think the AI story is you know early Innings as many people talk about it's transformational in terms of productivity and there's a lot of use cases developing so as much as it might feel like a one stock market as you know there's a lot of stocks up more than 20% year to date and I actually think breath is likely to increase so for investors there's a lot of opportunities in the second half the present moment is undoubtedly ripe for investors to gaze upon the Horizon with Keen insight and consider the enriching possibilities of an investment in Nvidia a stock whose current Ian illuminates a dazzling array of future potential while present growth rates may not maintain their ferocious and blazing Pace forever they serve as a vibrant Prelude to a new chapter characterized by sustained and enduring Excellence as Nvidia strategically gears up for its anticipated upcoming processor launch the Allure of its stock only continues to magnify capturing the imagination and financial interest of a global array of investors at this very moment Nvidia stands proudly trading amidst a high yet justifiable valuation current market forecasts along with promising industry advancements paint a vibrant and hopeful picture wherein Nvidia not only survives but thrives and indeed leads should you seek alternative evidence to this compelling narrative simply glance at today's remarkably compelling numbers absorb the overwhelming industry praise extolled upon Nvidia and follow the road map punctuated by ambitious and Innovative advancements all signs that Nvidia is indeed heralding a new golden age of AI therefore fellow investors and Tech enthusiasts where do you stand in the midst of this heated conversation regarding AI ambition and financial foresight do you envision Nvidia as the future torchbearer in the vast and ever evolving realm of Technology we invite you to engage with us share your insightful thoughts join the enriching discourse and be a part of this evolving narrative the Epic tale of nvidia's remarkable Journey remains largely Unwritten inviting your unique voice to add depth and insight to its unfolding Saga
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