저자: Josh · 외국인
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테슬라가 1월 이후 약 150% 상승한 상황을 기술적 분석으로 설명. 153달러 지지 확인 후 200~205달러 장기 지지선 돌파를 근거로 단기 목표 265달러 제시, 중간 조정(235~237) 후 상승 가능성 언급. 다음 실적발표(7월 24일 추정) 전후 차익실현 가능성 경고. AI 기대감과 수직계열화가 상승 원인이라 주장. 300달러 가능성, 2024년 600달러까지 장기 언급. 암호화폐 관련 SEC 비판 언급은 이 자산 대상 발언이 아님. 증권사 앱 프로모션 포함.
다듬은 글
Hey There YouTube family stocks with Josh I'm traveling as you guys can see have to come in and chime in on these markets so much going on in my portfolio I would love to cover crypto today I've covered it for the last three videos but there's a trade that's just bigger faster and more profitable for me I guess you guys could probably guess what it is if you've guessed Tesla you are right Tesla is just under 150 percent up I have a new price prediction for you guys as well as I'm going to get into some of why this is happening what to expect what do the technicals say where's the support and resistance this is just too hot of a trade to neglect right now if you guys have been listening to me I've said I talked earlier a couple videos back on the importance of letting go of your losers and holding on to your winners longer and is proving to be so true right now in Tesla now if we were going to talk a little bit about crypto we've got some of our favorite crypto Solana 8 data these things are being pulled off of The Exchange it's causing panic it's causing them to sell off you know there's a lot of questions around it I saw some speculation regarding Gary Gensler there's been some accusations that he could be and could have shorted crypto before taking these uh actions against crypto then you know I personally believe that he has taken a stab at the heart of crypto he has an agenda that is not for the people it's for the FED now dollar and the cbdc he's had too long and too many chances to do things that would provide Clarity and regulation you've got all these people Brian Armstrong of coinbase I would even see binance as one of them saying please lay out the regulation and we will attempt to align ourselves but that wasn't their goal the goal was to entrap prevent limit and to get their own bags filled first so I'm going to get into that at another video but right now Tesla is just too profitable not to cover I'm gonna give you guys some technicals even if you're not in the Tesla trade well for one I would say man that was a mistake when I called Tesla a buy at 153 dollars I called it a buy when it was way up uh and falling after the last earnings when the earnings sell-off occurred I said ultimately this thing is likely going to blow through 164 and it's ultimately going to find support at 153 dollars I got set up I had my charts drawn and the day before it got there and the day it got there I said bye this is where I'm buying right we had to struggle over the 164 dollar Mark that was really tough that was an area where if it hadn't broken through and nobody knew at that point if it would break through because if it had broken down there then it could be easily argued if 153 was lost then we were looking at 145 if 145 was lost we could go all the way back to the lows a lot of heat a lot of pressure a lot of bears piling up a lot of fud coming out regarding Tesla but in the back in the background behind the scenes these guys were just simply building a master Foundation to ramp up in 2023 this is going to be an amazing year this is not the year of Tesla's demise I'm going to play a video for you guys in a little bit that I think is absolutely fascinating and literally is just a great clarification of why Tesla's winning right now and at the very end of the video I'm going to give you guys a prediction as to where the price could go you know I try not to look too far down the road in my mind if you get if you've gotten snagged up and if you've lost money it's very likely you are looking too far down the road and trying to guess what was happening if you're you know we have to stay right now within the guidelines of the technicals I'm going to show you some of those it's going to be another technical class I hope that you guys can see it I want you guys to know I laid in my bed last night at two three four a.m I was wide awake and in my mind's eye I was literally looking at the Tesla chart I was looking at it playing it through considering what it would do I'm telling you that I'm very connected did this I think you're gonna find it all very interesting I think it's gonna be a great show today this is the stocks with Josh show as always thank you guys so much for hitting that like thank you for all the new subscribers we've been adding a lot to the community over the last couple weeks I had an amazing event in New York and I got to quickly comment on that you know people I've been in New York a couple times of course New York some to some people New York has a reputation of being a rough City you know you got the the New Yorker says you know with the heavy accent says get out of here you know get out of my way this type of stuff I just have to tell you that all I came across in New York was sweet kind and considerate people everyone from the taxi drivers the Uber drivers to the people at the hotel to people in the restaurants everybody was great I had an absolute blast and of course I got to meet some of you guys which was amazing I found myself last night thinking about the Tesla trade thinking about some of you guys thinking about the importance of everything that I bring to you how important it is you know because we're a community and we're and and behind all of this people are making moves one of the guys I met you know is a lifetime electrician around 60 years old his knees are bad you know he's he's saved up some money he's trying to transition to a point where he doesn't have to get down and and put those pressure on those knees anymore he can begin to put the pressure on his money to get his money to work for him I understand how important this is that's probably one of the reasons why I was sitting there thinking about what the technicals were and how it could make a big difference with this play I'm gonna lay it out for you you guys know I don't have a crystal ball I'm just going to show you what I see in the charts and hopefully we can make some money money before we get into the charts I want to take a moment and actually just talk about the fundamentals I think I've got a video I'm going to play for you guys and I and I don't even care if you're not in Tesla this the idea that's expressed in this video that talks about how Innovation is going to lead and dominate it I I hear AI influences you know this is the we're talking about vertical vertical integration right and this this is a great video it's the CEO of Ford explaining the lead that Tesla has developed for themselves and what exactly their vertical integration model is going to do for them and they're doing it this year check out this video and I'll give you guys my opinion at the end if I explain to you know the listeners how crazy our Software System is and why it's so difficult for legacy car companies to get software right you'd be it just well I'll do it very quickly yeah so to say probably 500 a vehicle or let's say 350 quid a vehicle yeah we we farmed out all the modules that control the vehicles to our suppliers because we could bid them against each other so boss should do the body control module someone else to do the seat control module someone else will do the engine control module right and and we'd have about 150 of these modules with semiconductors all through the car the problem is the software are all written by you know 150 different companies and they don't talk to each other right and so even though it says Ford on the front yeah I actually have to go to Bosch to get permission to change their seat Control software right so even if I had a high-speed modem in the vehicle and and I had the ability to write their software it's actually their IP and I have 150 we call it the loose Confederation of software providers 150 completely different software programming languages you know all the structure of the software is different it's millions of code and we can't even understand it all so you know that's why at Ford we've decided in the second generation product to completely insource electrical architecture right and to do that you need to write all the software yourself but just remember car companies have a written software like this yeah ever they've never written software so we're literally writing how the vehicle operates um the software to operate the vehicle for the first time ever so yeah that was very very powerful vertical integration Ford CEO is Tesla's best salesman right now and what I want you guys to understand is that 2023 is not going to be the apocalyptic decline of Tesla this is going to be the year where the best foundation is going to be laid for the next move up in my view these guys are bringing the backhoes in I'm not a big contractor guy so I don't know all the different Machinery but they're bringing the big machinery to dig the moat around their Castle deeper and they're adding the crocodiles this year and that's what I hear when I hear him say what he's saying these guys have set it themselves up to win long term these other companies man they're dinosaurs in the way that they've been running they have had no competition they've dominated the space they've fallen asleep at the wheel and there and really these guys are the dinosaurs Elon Musk and Tesla is like a meteorite shower Ray remaining fire down upon their traditional archaic ways the only real competition that I actually keep an eye on in regards to Tesla is byd out of China these guys are a real threat they've got their costs in line they've got a very good foundation laid and they are selling a lot of cars and so Elon has to compete with them but in my view he does is not a large competition field for Elon but let's just talk a little bit about what's happened in the price charts because this is what I was thinking about last night and guys you gotta understand you missed the bottom on Tesla stock it is not and I repeat it is not going back to a hundred dollars a share right now the lowest low and I'm going to call this the breakdown everything's hit the fan big problem Elon you know does something that that you know the the market doesn't like the lowest low that I see Tesla hitting moving forward is above 200 it's between 200 and 205 dollars that has become an absolute historic uh support line okay we've hit it I showed it to you guys in a previous chart numerous times we came up and we got defeated at 200 but this decisive breakout above has now turned that into a very long-term and strong support now the next thing I want you guys to see is the Bollinger Bands right you know that this momentum to the upside is just too strong it's overbought it's nothing but enthusiasm and fomo people closing short positions that's largely what it probably is is people thought that they were going to short right at the top they thought that 225 might be the top so they entered shorts and now they're being forced getting liquidated because the price is still moving up but if you look at the Bollinger Bands and we continue our upward Trend which right now we have to trade the trend and the trend is up really support would be at the top of the Bollinger Bands right we're outside of it we'd come back and touch the top and we can we we can stay in this extended upward trend for quite a while even though it's overbought the top of that Bollinger band is going to be around 235 bucks so it should pull back to that range and it could it can absolutely continue up I think that at this point and I mean this is the big prediction okay and I made predictions all along the way not one of them has been wrong I think that we have to get to 265 dollars on Tesla right now okay we have to and I think that we possibly are going to push up all the way to this next earnings which I believe is July 24th don't quote me on it I'll have to look that up again but I think that we are likely going to push up the markets giving Elon the benefit of the doubt there's a lot of news stories coming out left and right there are electrical charging station is becoming at the adapted Nationwide standard that's that's extremely bullish for Teslas what's caused the pump today the Market's giving them the benefit of the doubt right and they're assuming that they're killing it they're assuming that they're doing everything they promised to do do and then we're going to find out at earnings and most likely that's where the big pullback would come right we could pull back all the way to 200 right now there's supports a long way I don't see it I see us getting to 265.
I see us possibly pulling back to 235 237 bouncing and continuing our move up till we get to 265 and then I see us potentially selling off on earnings whether they're good or bad at that point it's just basically called profit taking but here's the next thing right now three hundred dollars is absolutely on the table for Tesla okay it's on the table if Tesla even comes close to meeting markets expectation I'm going to throw out another Point AI I was talking to one of the guys at the uh that the meet and greet here in New York and he was asking me about he was talking about a Tesla being an AI stock and I'm going to tell you that it's my personal opinion and I'd love to hear your comments so tell me what you think it's my opinion that this upward price action is not in account to Tesla's AI uh Integrations or ability okay it's not it's not the robo taxi it's not the other things coming down the road really it's it's what they've accomplished in in the fact that they're no longer cutting prices they put a freeze on that the market needed to send a warning shot over elon's head stop cutting profit margin and he did so that's helpful we can continue to move up if he cuts profit margin that would be bad but it's the growth it's the consistency it's the accomplishments it's the vertical integration it's the foundation being laid in 2023 and it's the belief that Tesla's got better profit margin and better years ahead that's causing the price to go up but then if Elon can actually show us some groundwork of Tesla truly making big steps forward in the integration of AI and progress in that area that's a whole other bump right and I'm going to tell you so right now we're gonna go I think we're gonna go up to 265 we've got some pullback opportunities along the way 235 237 is the most likely But ultimately we're moving to 265.
and uh and we'll see how it performs then we got to look at the candlesticks we've got to look at the environment but if we they continue to make some progress and begin to really make some progress on the AI we can easily get a 300 Tesla this year and the truth is if you take a big step back and you look at the total company the fundamentals the price action and the technicals right and the mark the market cap right now of Tesla the truth is this could be a 600 stock in 2024.
now that that is a loose prediction I'm not even thinking about 600 bucks in 2024 right now right now my goal is 265 and the trade has become more difficult right we're we've gone up like I said 150 since January and the trade has become more sensitive people are a little bit more trigger happy the algorithm trading that exists out there the Aladdin trading systems of BlackRock could trigger sell-offs that that begin to just be have momentum sell-offs and begin to roll and and cause things to move much lower than people are expecting right now but at the moment I am not anticipating that my eye is on 265 bucks my hands are on the winners I had taken some profit the other day but with the profit I took in shares that gets rolled over into call options right and I still do some you know when I get to these mile markers when I get to 265 I'll add some puts I'm not expecting it to blow right through I'm expecting that to be a hard resistance I'll add puts along the way I'm not only buying calls right now I still have shares I'm in calls and I have a little bit of a longer goal of 265.
300 is not off the table right I'm gonna get that AI talk coming then 300 bucks and then the longer term view I see 600 back on the table I think the narrative that Tesla's done they're overpriced overvalued I think that is is uh you know I think that's fading away it and I think people are taking more of a bullish view of Tesla and what they've accomplished and I think 2023 is going to go down in history as one of their uh great years and the foundation is getting laid all right guys real quick s currently offering up to 17 free stock if you open and fund an account as well as you can get a hundred dollars you put in a hundred dollars they match your hundred dollars they give you guys a Cash coupon and you then have 200 in your account and up to 17 free stock it's a limited time an exclusive offer but the very best thing that I love about MooMoo is the chat group that I host in the app I'm traveling so I'm not getting in there as much as often but I'm going to be getting in and talking to you guys and giving you some other technicals there so get your free stock start investing double your money put that 100 in get your 200 right and then you can come find the chat group that I host on the app called stock Josh fam in conclusion I have to keep it very simple you guys have to understand me you missed the bottom on Tesla there's absolutely no way that were going back to 100 Tesla but Tesla is a volatile stock and you are going to be have another opportunities and new opportunities to get in at a lower price right now we are wildly moving higher but we are not going to only go up we are going to go back and we're going to test the lows and the strengths of the lows and right now the big historical trend line that I don't know that we're going to get back to but the one that would make the most sense to get back to is 205 dollars and if you're not in now and this is a bullish video and you're thinking wow Josh but you said 265 you said 300 you said 600 guys be a patient investor one of my favorite quotes by Warren Buffett is that uh that money moves from impatient hands to Patient hands and I believe that you will get Tesla back tested on those lows we've got so many uh negative things that are happening in the market there's tons of bearish macro events still behind us you know we're going to get a pause on the uh Fed rate hike this month in June but we're very likely going to get a rate hike in July and be back into a place where the market gets scared and the market gets freaked and stuff will just sell off regardless of the fundamentals and we'll know those right places to buy back in as you can follow me you can hit that like and that subscribe and you can join me on my journey we've been killing it so far again before I sign off I just want to say I was so pleased and happy to meet you guys and I'm looking forward to the meet and greets that we're going to plan in other states throughout the country it's going to be great learned a lot from this one and I'm looking forward to the next one I'll be traveling this week but the very next video I'm going I'm going to have to cover what's going on with these cryptos that are getting pulled off the exchanges but until then I'll see you guys in the comments section peace and blessings my friends take care foreign
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