저자: Josh · 외국인
요약 보기
마이크로소프트 531 목표가 도달은 피보나치 근거의 실현으로 제시되며, 엔비디아는 역사적 고점 이후에도 상승 추세 유지 가능성을 강조하고 장마감 매수·장개장 매도 전략을 소개. 비트코인은 주봉 82,814 돌파로 추세 전환 가능성을 언급하며 골든크로스 확인 후 3개월 바닥 다지기를 예상, 75~65 구간 눌림 매수 제시. 구독·디스코드 홍보 포함.
다듬은 글
Wow, what an incredible day it was on Wall Street, and several big tech stocks finally achieved the predictions I made a few months ago. The first company I have to highlight right away is Microsoft. It rose and reached the 531 mark. It actually stopped just below 532, and I predicted it because it was a full measured move according to Fibonacci theory, and it finally came true.
There was one guy in the comments section who must have asked me 50 times, "Josh, will Microsoft continue to grow ?" The answer I kept giving was: " Yes, I think so." Well , it achieved its goal, and if you ask me again, will Microsoft continue to grow? I have nothing to tell you or add because the target of 531 was based on Fibonacci theory, and this is a rejection zone, so be careful.
This is where I planned to sell my last few Microsoft leaps options purchased on advice on this show when the price was below 400. Back then when it was 392 I said we are going up, we will hit 500 and hit 531 and that will complete the move. Well , we did it. Done and forgotten. Today I'm not talking about Microsoft.
I have to talk about the most important stock on Wall Street over the past 3 years, namely—Nvidia. I want to highlight some of the achievements and I want to emphasize what I said in the video about Nvidia not long ago. I've been talking about how to trade with the trend for maximum profit, and I see in the comments that people are doing it, so I want to explain the idea better.
This is the idea of buying at the close of the market and selling at the open of the market. You have to be careful because you can't just take one rule and try to apply it to all of Wall Street. Wall Street won't respect this, but today I'll teach you a little more about how to use this strategy and give you my take on Nvidia going forward.
What exactly do I think it will do on the charts in the coming days and we need to give you an update on Bitcoin. Bitcoin is showing incredible resilience , it continues to draw green candles, and there are a few technical points that I want you to see. Right now I think this move could indicate that the bottom has already been passed, but there are a few things we need to see on the technical chart to confirm that it is fully out of winter.
He's doing something new now, and I think that's why we should tune in and be extremely attentive to the charts to follow them, rather than trying to get ahead of events and get crushed by Wall Street. Welcome to Wall Street . This is the show "Promotions with Josh." Thank you for taking the time to watch my video.
I hope that with my lessons on charts you can become 1% better today so you can take risks on Wall Street. Click "like " and subscribe. So, let's talk a little about Nvidia. It hit a new all-time high last Friday, and since its IPO, it has risen just under 1 million percent since then. It went public at $12 a share, and if you had invested a thousand dollars in it that day, you would have about $10 million today.
And now I want to give you some more statistics about Nvidia's success, because I find them fascinating. You say, "Well, Josh, I wasn't around for Nvidia's IPO." Well, let me make this clear. If you had invested $10,000 in 2006, you would have $7.77 million today, and you will see that if you had simply invested in Nvidia at any point, you would have been successful on Wall Street.
Some of you started your journey on Wall Street with about $10,000. Well, all you had to do was buy Nvidia in 2006 and you would have $7.77 million. You could diversify these funds and live on them for the rest of your life. If you hadn't participated in the IPO, and when they became famous, and their chip was in the PlayStation in 2006 and was popular, if you had n't decided to invest then, but had just waited until the AI story exploded in 2023, and invested a hundred thousand dollars, you would have $1.7 million today, which would be life-changing money for many of you.
So, that was yesterday and no one really cares. The big question: Is it worth investing in Nvidia today? And I've shown you a graph several times of when a stock becomes the most valuable company in the world, essentially when they become the number one company by market capitalization in the world, similar to how Apple was for several decades.
What does she do next? Well, I've shown you guys in the past that it continues to grow, sometimes for decades. We saw it with Apple, but we also saw it with Microsoft and even Google, where they grew by hundreds and hundreds of percent in subsequent years. And I also showed you that Nvidia, since becoming the largest company in the world, has only grown 66%, which could mean it's just getting started .
So if I were to make this video again in 10 years, it would be pretty embarrassing if I told you that if you invested a certain amount of money in Nvidia, you could become a millionaire, it's entirely possible. But I want to talk to you about the real strategy for investing in Nvidia, because I've crunched the numbers.
If you had bought at the close of the market and sold at the open throughout 2025, you would have actually made a higher profit. This means that you never hold a stock during the day when things are volatile and sometimes the price consolidates or pulls back. You just hold them overnight, and believe it or not, instead of about 38% growth in 2025, you would get closer to 53% growth.
So I want to take a minute, I want to show you the Nvidia chart and I want you to see for yourself what that would look like and how you could determine if a deal like that would work right now. And I also want to emphasize that it is currently in an uptrend, but we have just set a new all-time high.
So we should be careful. We want to make sure it continues to grow while we apply Nvidia investment strategies. And the strategy I'm going to show you on Nvidia will have some useful insights into what we should actually see on the Bitcoin chart on the higher timeframe in the coming days. So, let's begin.
I'll show you Nvidia, and then I'll show you Bitcoin. Let's move on to these graphs. Okay, I want to show you that we are working with Nvidia below the ascending resistance line. The price touched her at least twice and she reacted to it once. She punched through it, but then quickly fell back under it.
We are right under it now. And so, if this current uptrend is destined to end , it will most likely happen somewhere around the 244 mark, which will be this potential resistance line. I'm not predicting this. I'm just letting you know that this line exists . If you want to trade with the trend, we have been in an uptrend for quite some time now, but I would like to draw your attention to the 227 level, as there is quite significant support there.
It took Nvidia a long time to break through, and if we had fallen lower, there would have been a lot of " canopy" above us, and there would have been a lot of sellers sitting at the 227 level. And I think panic selling would start and we could go back to the 206–210 range. Now I want to show you something on a smaller timeframe.
We will move to a 30- minute chart and try to better understand the idea of buying at night and selling at the open, or just general investing and understanding the current trend. Obviously, you can see that a few weeks ago we were at about 221, and we've been moving up the ladder ever since. Yes, it's been up the stairs since then .
We briefly consolidated during that period, but you can see that we have been moving up the ladder all this time. Now I want to show you the idea of higher highs and higher lows as a general understanding of how to follow a trend, okay? So, here the price reached 221. And the next day we went up to 227.
That was a higher low. And this was the highest maximum. Now this trend, even though it was consolidating during this period, is understandable? And it's more like a sideways movement, you know? Since this higher low was not broken, and eventually it was a higher low again here, around 227, and we touched it twice, what did we do next?
Well, we went further and made a higher maximum. So this idea definitely works best when we are already in a well-defined stepping trend, which is a series of higher lows and higher highs. And technically, we made a higher high again today . Now we need to watch our higher low, as at this point our higher low is here, at around $233.
So, if we go down and break through this low , right? Then we will make a lower minimum. The only way this stays in an uptrend, okay? The only way this remains in an uptrend is if the price then goes further and makes a higher high. So what you should be looking at is, do we make a lower high after we make a local lower low, okay ?
So if we don't get above this 238 here, and eventually make a lower high, then there is concern that the trend has reversed, and we should watch for confirmation of this trend reversal, which will be when we make a lower local low. So, that's how you follow the trend. So, Nvidia is doing very well, posting a series of higher highs.
People make money investing in this, but you have to follow a strategy. You have to research the strategy, and I wanted you to see for yourself how to assess whether a trend, a local trend, is continuing to form higher highs and higher lows, whether it is starting to change and reverse, and how to recognize that.
Okay , let's move on to Bitcoin. Let's talk about what he's doing technically right now, and what he needs to do. I didn't specifically shoot this video last week because I really wanted to see what kind of candle we would get on the close on Sunday night, whether we would get confirmation of what the market had just done, or whether it could be a reversal.
Well, he confirmed, so he clearly remains in the bull camp. Let's talk about some of the most important technical points about Bitcoin right now. So, we're looking at the weekly candles, and we wanted to see Bitcoin close two candles, the weekly candles, above the $82,814 level. And what exactly does that mean?
Well, that means we've hit a higher maximum. We talked about this with Nvidia. We have achieved the highest maximum. Now this is a trend reversal. We have moved from lower highs and lower lows to a higher high, but this is not confirmed simply because we made a higher high. Remember what I showed you on the Nvidia chart?
The next thing that needs to happen for a new trend to develop is that we need to make a higher low, and that is what will convince many people that the trend has changed. So, let's take a step back and look at a few other things that Bitcoin has achieved recently that seem like a surprise. Now you can see this little plus sign on my chart and these two moving average lines.
One yellow, one red. And these are the 13-day and 49-day moving averages. And now we are looking for another yellow plus sign on the chart to confirm the “golden cross” on the local price movement. I want to show you, as I have shown before: to record the lowest minimum, you need to get this very plus sign.
You need to see a downward crossover and then a reverse crossover of these moving averages, which symbolizes the end of winter and the registration of the lowest low of the "bearish" winter. You can see that in the past we got this plus sign. I have repeatedly pointed out to you that in the past, after such a crossing, Bitcoin would consolidate and form a base for another 3 months before finally taking off.
It doesn't just go straight up from this point, does it? This takes time. I know there will be people who will argue that this time is different because some different things are happening. He has never had a trend reversal this early. But I will tell you that the Bitcoin price will take time to form a higher low.
It will consolidate this and give people another opportunity to buy before moving on to a local higher high. So, this is what we are watching right now. What would be the potential buying zone for this higher low? Well, I've talked about this before: 75 to 65. That's the general range where we would like to see a pullback and buy some more.
Now there is one more point I want to show you on the RSI indicator on a higher timeframe. As I said, we are looking for a higher low, and after that we need a higher high, and then we will get a full confirmation of the Bitcoin low and the development of a new trend. But the next thing we should not see in the future is the RSI line falling below this white dotted line.
If this were to happen, many would be crying bull trap , as there would be plenty of room for further declines and the formation of a much lower low. There is actually so much consistency in the Bitcoin chart. This is one of the most understandable graphs I've ever studied because it literally has a clear repeating pattern, sometimes day after day, it does the same thing over and over again in every cycle.
He really has very, very strong patterns. But the main message for those currently investing in Bitcoin is that it has deviated from the script, not 100%, but it is definitely doing new things. It has never before reached a local higher maximum as early as this time. And therefore, this needs to be respected and acknowledged.
This is one of the reasons why when it first dropped below $80,000, I told everyone I was buying $1,500 a day, because first, I know it's not a peak, and second, I want to accumulate, that is, invest as much money as possible during the "winter" without knowing exactly where the bottom is. I want to have as large a position as possible before it starts setting a new all-time high.
That said, and I know this is confusing, if we don't make a higher local low, then that means this breakout was fake and it's a "bull trap" and a lot of people will get hurt. So you should think about your investment strategy. And I can tell you what doesn't work right now—is buying in large amounts.
What's working now? Daily accumulation. Because we know: while we don't know exactly where the bottom is, we know that this is not the peak, and there are opportunities ahead. And if you accumulate every day and it doesn't make a higher low and falls, falling to a lower low, well, you know you can still buy it.
Now, the last point I want to emphasize regarding Bitcoin. Throughout this entire " winter," I never felt afraid. No fear. No extreme fear. All this time, while buying, I felt only greed. And this is also very different from past times. During the last " bearish" winter bottom, when the price was between 15,000 and 17,000, with each purchase I felt like I was throwing money away.
That I will never see them again. That it was just a waste. That it could potentially be a total loss. This time I did n't even feel anything close to that . So I want to hear from you. Do you think the bottom is behind us, or is this local higher high a “bull trap”? Let me know what you think. So, we have our prediction for Microsoft.
I was very happy to see this, and many people are making money from my new strategy for Nvidia that I talked about. I hope you benefit from understanding how to trade this trend with confirmation on the daily timeframe. I'll tell you more about this in the Stocks with Josh Discord channel. If you want to learn how to analyze charts from me and trade with me for a week, visit my website , which has the same name as my show: www.stockswithjosh.com.
Thank you for joining, and see you soon . Do you think you trade yourself? This is not true. There is a whole committee. Sell. Sell everything. Hold on. We are flying to the moon. It will return. Double it. Play back. Four votes for each deal, and none of them ever read the schedule. So we added a participant who has no emotions.
Trust the level and open a deal. In the Stocks with Josh Discord channel, A+ Scalp levels appear on your chart before the market opens. When a breakout is confirmed, three targets show where to take profits . Convenient patterns show the cost of failure before you even take action. As well as a screener, stop search, convenient options, and a deal tracker.
The committee can stay. They just don't vote anymore. Trust the level. Open the deal. Follow the link below to join the Stocks with Josh Discord channel.
Comments 0