저자: JimCramer · 외국인
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결론: 크레이머는 테슬라에 대해 단기적으로는 신중하지만 장기적으로는 강세를 유지하며, 사이버트럭 출시와 배터리·자율주행 성장이 향후 큰 상승 동력이 될 것이라고 봄. 단기 수급·시장 흐름: TSLA와 레버리지 ETF(TSLZ)는 출시 직후 인플로우가 한때 5:5였으나 최근 1개월 롱 쪽 유입이 약 9:1로 쏠려 개인 강세 심리가 여전함. 다만 빅테크 조정에 테슬라도 휩쓸릴 수 있고, 가치주로의 로테이션이 2023년 주요 테마가 될 수 있다고 언급. 리스크 요인: 바클레이즈가 테슬라 성장 둔화와 분기 실적 미스 가능성을 담은 부정적 리포트를 냄. 이 경우 반등 전제는 실적 턴어라운드 여부. 사이버트럭 가격: 엔트리 AWD 모델이 약 6.1만 달러로, 2019년 발표 당시 제시한 약 4만 달러보다 크게 높음. 인플레이션을 감안해도 약 50% 높은 가격이라 수요 전망에 대한 애널리스트들의 판단이 어려워짐. 충전 인프라 우려도 여전함. 사이버트럭 수요 전망: 출시 이벤트에서 대기 예약자 중 실제 인도는 소수에 그쳤으며, 이후 인도 확대 여부에 따라 픽업트럭 시장에 미칠 영향이 결정될 것이라는 취지. 장기 성장 근거: 사이버트럭 디자인이 2030년까지 경쟁우위를 유지할 것이라는 TF증권 밍치궈 분석, 포드 CEO의 축하 발언, 25,000달러 저가 EV 및 4680 배터리 양산 등 긍정 요인 제시. 사이버트럭은 계절성·경기 둔화에 영향이 적은 매출원이 될 것이라고 봄. 경쟁 구도: 2023년 상반기 미국 EV 판매에서 테슬라가 후발 19개사 합산보다 많이 팔았고, 리비안 생산 증가율은 높지만 규모 격차가 큼. 테슬라 마진율은 가격 인하 후에도 약 18%. 기술·사업 확장: FSD 자율주행, 로보택시 사업 구상을 거론하며 머스크는 이를 통해 시총 1조 달러 달성을 목표로 제시. 크레이머는 테슬라를 재무 체력·산업 지배력·장기 시장 잠재력을 겸비한 희소 기업으로 평가. 출연자 전망 요약: 단기 변동성과 실적 리스크는 인정하나 중장기 강세 시각 유지, 사이버트럭과 자율주행을 성장 촉매로 봄.
다듬은 글
in just 90 days Tesla will record very remarkable growth but you may ask why well this Jim Kramer interview just revealed the truth about Tesla's stock and it is something that every Tesla investor and Fanboy should listen to time for Jim and stop trading you know sometimes Carl our colleague David Faber would say what's the key to this market and today if we're going to have a turn there's a negative piece by Barclays about Tesla talking about a Slowdown drive to potential missing quarters if Tesla is able to turn then I believe we could have a substantial rally because this is a very negative piece do you buy 2x for uh uh Tesla uh TSL t tslz to the downside what are those flow ratios look like yeah what's interesting here is uh we launched these a little over a month ago so right around Tesla earnings and right after earnings kind of similar what we're seeing on the Nvidia side it was really 5050 as far as inflows into both Tesla Z and Tesla Tesla T but uh in the last one month uh the inflows have been at almost 9 to1 ratio on the long side so uh we haven't seen it come off I think people are still bulled up uh Tesla they're still bull up Alon musk uh but we what we're really I think going to see here is if Tesla kind of gets caught up in this big Tech kind of pullback um you know last year if if you had me on the show we'd be talking about you know you know how big is this rotation in the value stocks going to be for 2023 and I think you know what we're seeing the last couple days is a rotation into some more value uh here in in the market so it'll be interesting to see if that continues or if like I've said before if this is just pure big Tech kind of profit teing all right if you're interested in investing in Tesla you might be wondering is Tesla stock over or undervalued how can you tell if Tesla stock is worth buying or selling and what are the best strategies to profit from Tesla stock movements well today we're going to answer these questions and more and also analyze Tesla's stock and its performance from Jim Kramer's point of view so if you own some Tesla shares now might be the time to hold on tight because Jim Kramer is saying some pretty crazy things that they going to shake the industry as a whole let's get on over to Tesla shares taking a look at T ticker symol TSLA the shares are dipping this morning following the company's big cybertruck event in Austin Texas on Thursday afternoon they showed the truck performing some stunts and even beating a 2023 Porsche 911 in a race but where some May hung up is the pricing the entry level all-wheel drive cyber truck it came in at about $61,000 that's more than it had specify the company had back in 2019 where they were shooting for this ballpark of about $40,000 here a ton of things to really think about with this and our viewers are taking a look at the the Cyber truck prices they're going to be different modes cyberbeast that Top Mode that you're looking at there and then the all-wheel drive which interestingly that that's the one that has the best mileage range on it here um but at the end of the day I think the pricing really caught a lot of people by surprise considering that this wasn't necessarily going to be looked at or at least it was tried to give be given the appeal early on when they announced it in 2019 of what could potentially be mirroring perhaps an f-s series type purchase on the lower end or at least Mass Market appeal for a truck in that same price range this is not that this is a luxury vehicle type of annexation that they've just slapped on this with that type of price tag in an environment that's already harder to finance some of these vehicles and then Additionally you add on the fact that a lot of the hangup and concern around people who were purchasing EVS continues to be the charging Network at least at this point in time so as long as all of those things are answered for and you do have people the million of hundred deposits that were already put down that then spend in and pay $250 now to just move forward with that delivery because there were only a handful that were actually able to drive off with their cyber truck then you could potentially see all right what the type of Dent that this car is going to be able to put in the broader truck vehicle landscape going forward yeah exactly and I think that that is the big question right now just in terms of what exactly demand is going to look like we we had the prices up on the screen and those were after the rebate so when we talk about the fact that a lot of these pricing in terms of what we're seeing today versus what we had expected when Elon Musk first announced this cyber tuck it cost about 50% more than what he was saying back in 2019 yes obviously inflation it cost a lot more to make a vehicle today than it did back in 2019 but not 50% more so I think the pricing obviously coming in at the high end was a bit of a surprise to many analysts we're seeing that reflected in the quick reaction notes here this morning and I think because of that the fact that pricing is so much higher right now analysts are having a bit of a tougher time just trying to gauge what demand is actually going to look like Jim Kramer American TV host and investor popular for a show mad money has once once again spill the beans on the benefits of looking at Tesla from a long-term perspective Kramer is a big fan of the stock market and no doubt a Tesla Enthusiast in a previous statement about Tesla the analyst reiterated his bullishness on the company describing how the ultimaker will have a profitable future today we're going to dive into some of the fascinating updates from Tesla and see how the automaker has gone about achieving its goal towards sustainability hey guys welcome back to Tesla tomorrow you know when long-term critics of a stock eventually become big advocates for its growth usually following the release of a massive Catalyst for that growth that's the story of Tesla and Jim Kramer it's imperative to note that although Kramer has been a big fan of Tesla he was once a big critic of the automaker 2 in August 2022 Jim Kramer and the fast money halftime report panel compared Tesla to GM and Ford and at the time Jim croman didn't hesitate to say that Ford remains one of his favorite stocks a position which now Tesla is holding according to Kramer there will be a significant surge in Tesla's stock price in the coming years and no Tesla investor is going to want to miss out on it so what is the growth Catalyst of Tesla let's find out but before we do post notifications to keep up toate on everything going on with Tesla there's been quite a lot of good news from Tesla recently the automaker recently held the first delivery event for its cybertruck and it proved that Tesla could ship a vehicle that critics considered impossible analyst Ming Chi Co of TF International Securities one of Apple's most respective analysts expects that Tesla's cyber truck is going to potentially become a key automaker player in the whole industry's finances according to the Cyber trucks Innovative design which could maintain its competitive Advantage until 2030 even Ford CEO Jim Farley gave a nod of respect to Tesla and congratulated Elon Musk and the Tesla team for the Cyber truck without a doubt though it is clear that the Cyber truck will remain a significant contributor to Tesla's revenue and profit for the years to come and this contribution is expected to remain unaffected by seasonality or economic downturns for the foreseeable future similarly according to Walter isacon the biographer for Elon Musk Tesla is working on a lowcost EV which could cost only $25,000 and have a stunning design inspired by the Cyber truck Tesla is also achieving a massive major milestone in its Battery Technology with its gigafactory in Texas the company announced that it had successfully produced its first batch of 4680 cells that met its high standards of performance and cost these cells are the key to powering the upcoming cybertruck and semi models as well as enhancing the range and efficiency of existing Vehicles Tesla has introduced Reps for the model 3 and model y in the United States for the first time ever giving customers the option to choose between several new colors like matte black satin gold and electric blue now for competition Tesla seems to be facing a lot of competition in the Auto industry especially from companies like rivan a car company that's been attracting a lot of attention and investment and for this reason analysts may think that Tesla's dominance in the EV Market has been challenged by new entrance but the numbers tell a different story take a look in the first 6 months of the US EV sales in 2023 Tesla sold more Vehicles than its next 19 competitors combined with 325,000 rivan with just 17,99 Vehicles no doubt rivan has shown impressive growth in its production and delivery numbers increasing by over 120% now for the first quarter of 2022 to the third quarter of 2023 however it's still got a long way to go before it can reach Tesla which produced 43,48 vehicles in the most recent quarter Tesla's got a huge Edge over rivan and it's been producing vehicles for more than 20 years while rivan has been in business for only half that time Tesla also perfected its manufacturing process and reduced costs resulting in some of the highest gross profit margins in the industry even after cutting prices last year Tesla is still at a healthy margin of around 18% comparing Tesla to rivan isn't really fair as it's like comparing a novice boxer to a champion it's no contest in every aspect that matters Tesla beats rivan Rivia might be more like an exciting startup with a lot of potential but it does carry a lot of risks and that is what most analysts fail to realize investors should not forget that Tesla's got a lot of room to grow the automaker is constantly investing in research and development and innovating new technologies that will shape the future of the industry the most notable example is the use of AI to achieve autonomous driving Tesla is also making significant progress in achieving full self-driving which will enable its vehicles to drive themselves without human intervention musk has said that a Grand Vision of his is creating a robo taxi business which will allow Tesla owners to rent out their vehicles as autonomous taxis thus creating massive demand in revenue streams musk believes that this will be a historic achievement that will make Tesla A1 trillion company experienced investors like Jim kraman know that Tesla is one of the rare companies that offers investors a combination of financial strength industry dominance and long-term Market potential and these investors are taking advantage of the opportunity will you buying any Tesla shares anytime soon l
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