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It breaks completely below 100 dollars. So, finally, starting from the third accident, I plan to just hold out. Since the market situation has changed a bit, I’d like to talk about a few things. Today’s special topic is that Robin Hood has been added to the SP 500 . But along with that story, the stock price rose a lot today.
After the earnings announcement, Broadcom rose huge again . There was news that OpenAI placed an order with Broadcom to make a new AI chip, and then news came out all at once. So I did some portfolio adjustments, and after talking a little about that, what Sam Altman said kept lingering in my mind. He basically said that AI is spending too much money, you know .
I was thinking about that part, and then I saw a good post on the forum, so I decided to summarize the story and convey it in an easy-to-understand way. Also, solid shock is better, you know. So, at the end of my thoughts on that, I will explain my personal situation as well. Uh, first of all, Lopenod announced that it would be added to the SP 500 index, and it is currently in trading, rising 15.72% to 72%.
But just because it is included in the S&P 500 doesn't necessarily mean the stock price will skyrocket like this again. You shouldn't just go into the game looking at the transfer results; on the contrary, I had high expectations for the strategy, but the transfer failed . yes. However, anyway, based on the research I did when I uploaded the last Robin Doo video, after seeing the inclusion announcement after the market opened and seeing that MSTR was not included, I thought, " Demand will be concentrated here," so I immediately bought just the first batch after the market opened.
So I added a port. Hey, the reason I joined with Robin was because I joined a company called M Robin and M Co Group together . Growth and profitability will improve in the future . The news came out like this, but we don't really know M. Lovin or M. Co. Right ? So, interest has shifted, and regarding Hood, the stock price is currently high like this, but can it go up further ?
I'm actually a bit curious about that. If you look at it now, it went up to $117 in one go, so it's currently stuck at the previous high . I honestly don't know how it will end, but I need to see how things go through this week . Of course, I can't go all-in here. It did n't exactly break through and shoot up sharply, but anyway, it reacted to positive news, and since the valuation is very high, there is definitely speculative capital involved .
So, we live by sharing . So, I thought I would explain this trading method a little today . What I am doing isn't necessarily the right answer, but people are asking in the comments what they should do, and I understand that I am not supposed to reply in the comments telling them what to do. That isn't necessarily the correct answer, and I'm not exactly an expert or a master of such skills.
However, I believe that if through this research or study, the probability can reach even a 50% to 51% chance of a simple coin toss, then the study and trading methods are worthwhile. Let me explain how I do it. Just the company I knew. They said something just suddenly happened. I have n't researched Loinwood, but since it was included, I do n't jump on board when it shows a 9% gain right before the market opens in the morning; instead, I make purchases within my planned range.
For that reason, I bought the hood even though the rise was very shaky. I bought it after the market opened, and luckily it went up this much again today. So, even though it’s a plus 8% in just one day since I bought it, it does n't really mean much. Currently. I feel good about it, but since I don't know how things will go in the future, I'm only buying 1.
If it goes up further or breaks through that level, I might buy more. However, because the current market is in a stage where we are facing an employment shock and uncertainty regarding interest rates, it doesn't seem like a market correction has occurred. So, my personal plan is that if a correction comes, I will either buy more at the break-even point, or if it drops to around 100 dollars and does n't seem to fall any further, I might buy one more time around the 100-dollar mark .
This isn't the correct answer, so you absolutely shouldn't follow my lead . And Brucom's performance was pretty good, you know. So I bought Brockum as well, and I bought it around this time. I was really lucky because right after the actual measurement announcement came out, the stock price didn't react.
But just by looking at it, the numbers came out so good, and Nvidia and AMD had been continuously lowering theirs. For now, I just made the first purchase. Because I thought the funds withdrawn from there would flow elsewhere, and considering Broadcom occupies a middle position where Nvidia or AMD takes over the rest of the market, if this hegemony shifts, or even if Furiosa or China manufactures chips, there are a lot of component chips required to build AI data centers.
But since Broadcom makes all those things, I thought it was a company that would continue to do well as the AI ecosystem grows, but I could n't buy it because the stock price wasn't going down. I bought it right after seeing the earnings announcement, but it surged again like this. Even though I'm back up another 10-something percent right after buying, it makes me feel really uneasy.
I don't think it's a good idea to jump on the bandwagon right now with this gap up, and for the same reason, I plan to make a second purchase if the price drops. If it just keeps going up like this, there's nothing we can do about it, so you just need to think of it that way. How did NVIDIA's AMD do it?
As for Nvidia, well, of course I just have it, and as for AMD, yes, I’ve sorted things out a bit . I sold about half of it. I'll keep watching it up to that point; actually, the chart is n't completely broken, but I can set several support lines or something like that. Uh, I already have two semiconductors, and I want to buy Broadcom, but if I just buy another one here, then I'll end up having too many semiconductors.
So, while it is possible to do that temporarily, AMD is also coming down a bit, so I sold half and put the equivalent amount into Broadcom. I still think AMD is a good stock, but since such a long upward trend has been broken, it will be difficult for it to rise sharply again from now on, and it will likely go through a period of stagnation.
I do n't think it will completely collapse like this. I believe it will likely form a box for a while, and then need some positive news to rise again around the end of the year. As for the remaining half, I think it will depend on how things unfold afterwards—whether to liquidate completely, replenish the position, or, if replenishing it, where to extract the funds from .
I have absolutely no intention of touching Nvidia, but if it drops a little further from the current level, I think it might be an opportunity to buy more, so I plan to just keep holding it as is. Well, the news about China making acupuncture needles is coming out like some kind of secret, but since I don't trust news from China at all, if I consider it acceptable noise, I actually view any shock caused by it as a buying opportunity .
You can make something with the time difference . China has an incredibly large workforce, and since working hours are likely much longer than in the U.S., there are a lot of smart people there, so eventually, truly cost-effective chips might start to emerge . So, continuing a bit, the employment situation on Friday was really bad, wasn't it?
So, the interest rate or possibility increased in September. In fact, if you look at the iPad Watch, the part about not lowering interest rates is practically invisible now; it has changed to whether they drop a little, a lot, or a really big amount . Right now, option traders are in a frenzy. The trading volume for the SP 500 index is 5 million.
So, this was on that very day, April 4th . Option trading volume increased from the point when the market completely crashed following the announcement of those tariffs . Due to the surge, the derivatives manager mentioned that traders are buying causations on economically sensitive small-cap stocks .
A causation refers to the right to buy at a specific price; simply put, it involves more leverage than the stocks we typically buy . You just need to think of it this way. It is difficult if you try to understand the options, and they involve more aggressive leverage, but there is a margin of safety.
Because you only pay out as much as you bet, some people say that options are safer in some ways. However, if you don't understand options well and get hooked, it can lead to a situation where you keep putting money in and just lose. So, I was considering using options to cancel my account, but I decided to just leave it alone .
It seems that the employment report suggested that investors focused on expecting the Fed's easing policies rather than the worsening employment situation . Well, today the market did n't break through the previous high, but since the candlestick on the last trading day was a long bearish one, if it ends like this today, it won't be able to establish a direction.
Because I think the market will just keep stagnating and then, around the time of the FOMC meeting in August, a single word could really turn the market into a bubble or cause a real downturn, so I am still thinking that I should continue to maintain a certain amount of cash . As I have mentioned a few times, 50% is in short-term investments.
You can withdraw at any time, but if you stay in it, you are set up to receive an annual interest of around 4% every day . You can manage it in Korea using a parking account or something like that, and it feels a bit of a waste to buy it right now. Since I haven't been holding onto it continuously, let me add one more thing.
I think I've covered everything there is to say about the market. Among the stocks I mentioned, there is one that is really plummeting, and that is Figma. Figma has become a stock where it is practically impossible for anyone not to be stuck with it . At that time, I thought that I might be able to buy it if it was below $80 or in the 70% range, so I actually made my first purchase around that level.
I bought something here for the second time. You rode it for free. So, there is no standard way to dilute the water. Actually, the standard practice is not to average down, but the almost prerequisite for averaging down is that you have initially estimated how much you intend to buy of this stock . So, for example, let's just assume it's 10 million won.
So, instead of buying 3 million won at the beginning, or buying 5 million or 10 million all at once, you just buy 2.5 million won at first . So, since it's called a 3-minute pill, I did n't buy 330 of them; I bought 250. But it flew away from here. It's a waste. I always think I should have bought more, but even so, if things turn out this way and I get stuck with it, the dilution effect will be somewhat reduced when I add water.
So, if you buy 250 here, you buy 250 one more time around that point. The total is 10 million won, and since it's 2.5 million won, it would be 5 million won. So now, it could fall or go up again from here, you know . Then, at this time, you should think about it in advance like this. Ah, if it drops one more time from here, it could really just go up to the IPO price.
Well, it could go up to 40 dollars . Then, if you break the box one more time and go down, you add water one more time there . How much was it then? 5 million won. So, uh, let's try adding a little water to some really salty soybean paste soup. It doesn't show at all . To dilute the water, you just have to add that drainage .
Just always think about it when buying. For the initial purchase, even though it would be a shame if it took off, buy 250. So, if you buy only 25%, it will be effective even when you average down. And for stocks that really take off, it's not just about going up 10% or 20%; you know how we buy them because we want to make a 100% profit?
Usually. yes. Oh, there are plenty of opportunities. Even if it means burning from a higher place, live only a little at first. So, hey, in the case of Figma, I've already bought it once at this point and once at this point. If it drops one more time or actually goes up, I plan to make a third purchase then .
The third purchase is the final one, isn't it? So, rather than making judgments based solely on stock prices, I consider the market conditions at the time. For instance, if the market experiences a sharp, intense drop around the time of the FOMC meeting, I believe that is when I should buy. Therefore, I am continuously testing the waters to take the time to either add stocks I wanted to purchase, average down by increasing my holdings, or essentially " burn down" my position .
And BM's day came down a lot. Uh, well, it's a stock like this. There's nothing we can do about this . Since my average purchase price is in the $30 range, I am just continuing to watch it drop. If you watch and it drops back to the 30% range and another long bearish candle hits, then there will probably be a lot of retail stop-losses again.
He ca n't go well because his ants bought too much. This and this have now become like a circle. So, we keep thinking, "It will rebound, it will rebound," and while it certainly could, given the current trend, or perhaps because it might show this kind of movement, it would be better to invest with our expectations somewhat lowered .
Unless we are holding billions of won, if you divide your investment into 25%, 25%, or 50%, this is a stock that will work out in the long term. Also, as I mentioned, the NASDAQ manages this kind of thing . They say they are imposing sanctions. But BMR is not a NASDAQ stock . I believe it is considered outside the scope of those sanctions because it is listed on the New York Stock Exchange, but if I am wrong about the details, please let me know in the comments.
And yes, then regarding United Healthcare, I clearly told you that at the time. I'll buy it here once, and if it drops below 230, I'll buy it again, and if it goes up, I'll buy it then. That is how I did my broadcast at United Square back then, around the Hanyo area. Actually, I bought it here, couldn't buy it here, and bought it one more time when I went back up, so I have only bought up to the second batch.
So, it's like having only 50%. And then, when it came up here, I originally intended to sell, but since so many big players had already bought it, and I thought the market situation for insurance companies would improve, I decided to keep it at a 50% weighting to monitor the situation further . So, at this time.
There were a lot of stop-losses at that time. When this long candlestick snaps, it does n't move as simply as we think; you need to look at market sentiment and check community forums like Reddit or places where U.S. stock traders gather to gauge the market psychology . When a stock drops sharply like this and then rises a bit with a lower wick, if you just buy small amounts at that time and accumulate them, major stocks will actually all recover over time .
So, this is what you need to look at. How long will I keep skipping the circle? I bought it again yesterday. I held Circle at this time, bought it around this time, sold it around this time, and was just sitting there watching it go down. I was wondering when I should buy it again, but then I saw on the news that Circle had suddenly visited Korea around this time, returned without making any gains, and thought, "Ah, it might be difficult for that company to skyrocket like this again." But when I looked, I saw that retail investors had bought a huge amount again.
So I was thinking, "Oh, it really might break the hundred dollar mark ." But you know the lower tail. But after looking at this and that, I also made a first purchase of this. If it drops further from here, for example, it breaks the $110 mark again . But it came back up. Then, later on, it becomes a second buying point, and it breaks completely below $100.
So, finally, starting from the third accident, I plan to just hold out. Since this is a company with a future in stablecoins, the stock price here has truly been driven up by bringing in all the market opportunities they can generate in the future. When it comes to crypto, you really need to take a long-term view .
Since this actually moves closely with Bitcoin, you could just buy a dividend-paying Bitcoin ETF, or you know how Ethereum also has that dividend-based staking concept. So, it might be better to live like that. However, I am managing it this way because I do not have Bitmine for Ethereum, a Bitcoin 2x ETF for Bitcoin, or a coin wallet .
Bitcoin 2x multiplier isn't fun. It's not fun even if I use 2x. It has become so safe that I think it is truly becoming digital gold . And that's all for now. I'm interested in Boston Science, and their earnings are really good, their EPS is trending upward, and the chart looks great. Please leave warm comments and press the like button a lot so that our videos can spread more widely.
That way, I can gain more strength and work harder . please. yes. That's all for today . I hope you become a happy and wealthy person .
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