저자: MichaelTyler · 외국인
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테슬라 주가는 단기적으로 300달러까지 갈 수 있다는 짐 크레이머 발언이 있었으나, 크레이머가 긍정적인 종목은 오히려 부진하는 경향이 있다는 점을 들어 역지표로 해석함. 유럽 공장(기가 베를린)에서 2.5만 유로 수준의 저가 전기차 생산 보도가 나와 주가에 부정적으로 작용했고, 기존 모델3 잠식 우려가 제기됨. 다만 장기 투자자에게는 영향이 제한적이라는 견해. 베를린 공장 직원 임금을 4% 인상한다는 소식은 미국 자동차 노조(UAW) 인상률보다 낮아 시장에서 큰 충격은 아님. 거시 측면에서 JP모건은 주식 랠리가 지속 불가능하다고 봤고, 발언자는 단기 전술적 반등 가능성은 있으나 2024년 1분기 경기둔화 시기에 추가 하락 위험이 있으니 선별 매수와 현금 보유를 권함. 씨티그룹의 대규모 감원(약 10%) 검토, 미국 국채금리 급등, 달러 강세 등도 시장 부담 요인으로 언급됨. 기술적으로 테슬라는 200일 이동평균선 아래에서 226~227달러 저항을 테스트 중이며, 이를 돌파하면 230달러대, 나아가 245~255달러 범위까지 갈 수 있다고 전망함. 테슬라 외 판매 동향(유럽 국가별 판매 증감, 사이버트럭 검색량 증가, 옵션 자금 흐름 등)도 정리됨.
다듬은 글
oh boy we have a crazy video for all Tesla stock investors today Tesla was up 2% then you fell to down 2% now you're down about a half of 1% so you're making up some of that lost ground that you seen really mid trading day today and there is a lot of breaking news you need to know as a Tesla stock investor including Jim Kramer saying Tesla could hit $300 per share here in the short term and and as you know when Jim Kramer is bullish on a stock that stock does not tend to do well we'll provide you all the context and Clarity you need to know on that situation as well as what are banks doing city is laying off 10% of their workers or is about to lay off 10% of their workers that doesn't exactly sound great yields are soaring higher today and Tesla that $27,000 EV that Tesla is going to build in Europe well it's starting to hit major news agencies such as Reuters today and the markets are not exactly looking at this in a positive light we'll break that down as well I think that's very important you do not want to miss that we'll go over it here in this video Tesla is also reportedly raising wages for their European workers by about 4% this is actually better than what we thought so we have a jam-packed video to get into here today do me a quick favor before we get into it hit that like button subscribe to the channel and if you guys want to come trade with us live in real time link Down Below in the description of this video you can come ask me questions personally ask the group come get involved come learn Come Grow that is what that is for hopefully we'll see you over there so oh boy here we go Tesla stock is trading lower on a report that musk will make a $27,000 EV at Giga Berlin Reuters reported Monday that Tesla which has been ke to develop the production technology required to build a lowcost EV would use the existing Berlin gigafactory to produce a car that would sell for as little as €25,000 about $ 26,8 72 a level that's less than half of the Region's average price of € 65,000 and well south of the cheapest model 3 sedan at 43,000 so why is this breaking news at actually bad news for Tesla stock investors or at least what looks like bad news for Tesla stock investors well it's called cannibalism of your company of your product you're going to hear a lot of people say exactly what I'm about to say but Elon and Tesla they could totally cannibalize the model 3 with a lower priced vehicle presumably it would have a smaller range maybe be a little bit smaller of a vehicle that's probably what Europe would prefer if you think about the country size of European countries they're smaller than some states right Texas is bigger I believe than any other country in Europe your well-known countries at least like a Spain like a France a Germany a UK right Italy they pretty small they don't need that much range so customers would probably love this because it's going to be so much cheaper and I mean European customers they like smaller Vehicles anyways over here we in the US across the pond we like trucks we like SUVs we like big products not over there in Europe it's a completely different story and if tussel is going to sell a lower priced vehicle that is more in line with what Europeans want that could be bad news for the model 3 which is selling at like like this article said about 43,000 Investors would want to see that lower price vehicle offset by something like FSD which it doesn't look like FSD is is going to sell a lot in these lower price versions maybe I'm wrong but I just doubt that's going to be the case and I think investors are doubting that here today so your average selling price price of a Tesla well it would be hurt by this but the good news is Europe is only the third most important Market the US is number one China is number two and then you have the whole entirety of Europe now obviously if you're a long-term investor in Tesla you buy and hold shares this should mean virtually nothing to you because Tesla is more of a software company it's the FSD the robo taxi Story the robot story down the line the energy storage the recurring revenues that could ultimately come from that that's a much bigger pie than your actual auto business in the next five to 20 years that's crumbs if you're worried about a $40,000 EV or $37,000 EV whatever the model 3 is is going for on any given day or a $25,000 vehicle so in the grand scope of things do I think this is a big deal absolutely not do I think this could be good if it doesn't cannibalize the model 3 yes do investors feel that way clearly not if you're looking at Tesla's stock today this news also broke today that is not exactly great news for Tesla stock investors but it's something we all have known is coming citing people familiar with the matter Tesla Executives just disclosed a 4% wage increase for workers at its site near Berlin that is significantly lower than the big three automakers deal they just made with the UAW for about a 25% pay raise over the next 4 and A2 years so we knew some wage hikes were coming for Tesla employees and 4% is a lot lower than what a lot of people were thinking but that could just be the start and Wall Street is never going to like paying their employees more Jim Kramer says Tesla is back and he expects the stock to Rally Elon Musk to outsmart UAW Shan feain Jim Kramer said this morning on Squawk on the street quote Tesla is back I think that stock goes to 300 as you know when Jim Kramer speaks positively about a stock it doesn't tend to do very well when Jim Kramer is actually negative on a stock it does better than when he is positive on a stock this is the inverse Kramer ETF and you can see it hasn't been spectacular throughout 2023 but it hasn't done that bad also and again there's an actual ETF that is s gim for short Jim Kramer that just tells you everything you need to hear J Morgan says this stock market rally is not sustainable they say quote we believe that equities will soon revert back to an unattractive risk reward into year end this analyst wrote in a note to clients quote as the FED is set to remain higher for longer at the short end markets could start to price in a policy mistake leading to lower long yields down the line and that might not ultimately be helpful for stocks especially of 2024 earnings projections start to reset lower we knowe seasonals are typically supportive at this time of the year and the likely peak in bond yields is a short-term help but this might not lead to a sustained bounce this is along the same lines as what I have said recently I do expect a tactical move higher from now heading into year end things can change the situation can worsen that is true but I don't think there is enough to push markets lower considering we just got the FED we just got earnings we just got our uh labor market data we're going to get inflation data here in I believe the next 10 days or so so that's going to be your next big Catalyst but you got your Catalyst out of the way there's not a huge reason for stocks to fall at this point but as we head into a Slowdown in the economy this quarter we're in Q4 and likely q1 2024 that's where the fears of a recession will come about that's when you could see more downside for our markets so I think personally right now you want to be selectively buying stocks like a Tesla but also keeping a lot of cash on the sidelines to take advantage of the deals when you do ultimately get them and I think it's a question of when rather than if you're going to get deals on stocks that is obviously my opinion that is not Financial advice I do not have a crystal ball contact a financial adviser if you are curious on investing or you don't understand what I just said but don't make a trade based off of my opinions on the market we also had this news come out today City Group considers deep job cuts for CEO Jane Frasier's overhaul called project Bora Bora they're looking at potentially laying off 10% of their total headcount City employs about 240,000 people that could be in the range of 20 to 30,000 job cuts that could be coming here pretty soon and when banks are laying off employees that is usually not the best sign and it's not really a confidence builder for what is to come a University of Manitoba engineering team is celebrating receiving a new sponsorship from Tesla Tesla is donating 2,170 battery cells for the team to use in its next electric car design space campers has put out a mockup of their basically camper for the Cyber truck which is just an extension of the Cyber truck bed itself it's really a kitchen area to be more specific and honestly it would be pretty cool to have for someone that is outdoorsy that is planning to you know go Offroad do some of these things or maybe even just go camping with the cybertruck and have a literal kitchen um in the back of your cyber truck I think this could be pretty cool and probably one of many more different add-ons that we will see over time for the Cyber truck drive Tesla is showing us two cyber trucks spotted off-roading in the tahoo National Force or Tahoe National Force handled a level four Trail quote like a boss and you guys can see look at that clearance that is uh some pretty nice clearance there I I don't even think that's like suspended or anything that should just be the the factory suspension that you're seeing there and yeah getting down and dirty on what looks like level four Trail it's got to be something that is more on the difficult side rather than the easy side Tesla Asia posted this on their EX account of Tesla at the China International import Expo looks like a convention and as you can see here are all of the Tesla products and some of the manufacturing capabilities of Tesla including robots steering wheels uh different accessories Tesla has established a holding company in Barcelona Spain the new entity was listed by the Boe the official gazet of the kingdom of Spain and if you look at the comments of this post from Sawyer Meritt people have no idea why and honestly I don't either so expect to hear something over the coming weeks and months 650 Anonymous Ford dealerships between June and October were pulled nearly half 48% of its dealers said they don't trust the automaker Toyota has now built 300 milon ion cars in its 88y year history Tesla China VP Tao Lynn says a car can come off the production line in about 30 seconds at Giga Shanghai she added that Giga castings reduced manufacturing time from 1 to 2 hours to 3 to 5 minutes BMW sees itself leading Tesla on batteries quote Tesla needs to close the gap with us Tesla has officially opened their new Giga Berlin office this even has a robot that can make you drinks and I it it looks very futuristic to me a pretty cool design overall if I were to say so myself Bulgaria reported 40 Tesla sales for October this is 379 higher than last year's total New Zealand reported 144 Tesla sales and 1.4% market share for October year to date this is actually actually a decline of about 133% the UK reported 2,677 Tesla sales and 1.7% market share for October year to date you're up 80% and Belgium reported 1,14 Tesla sales and a 2.9% market share for October and this number is truly impressive year to dat you are 475 per higher than last year's number in this same time period today you are seeing a slight uptick in model y inventory but it's a minimal one where you are seeing the model 3 the model X and the model S all declining Google Trends continues to show a nice uptick in Trend volume for Google searches of the Cyber truck most notably that has remained elevated since October 15th and your model 3 has started to tick up a little bit as well as your model y Tesla continues to advertise about 300 different ads mostly in the us but as well as Europe and some energy ads over in Australia and this is actually cool if you search EV news you get a sponsored post from Tesla and this ad that was targeted towards me apparently it says starting at $ 36,40 a Tesla Model y built in America it says up to 330 Mi of range charge at home or at 50,000 plus superchargers globally Tesla continues to see some very strong option activity today you have seen 495 orders from hedge funds and institutions worth almost $83 million with a positive order value of 62% Tesla continues to be about 3% short with a short position total of almost $18 billion remember Tesla is about 22% of the entire stock market short interest so 3% short interest doesn't look like a lot but when it's on a 700 billion company well that's a lot oil is up about a third of 1% today the dollar is up almost a quarter of 1% today gold is slightly down so gold being down is a good sign the dollar being up is not exactly great if the dollar starts to break out higher from here which it has taken a move lower ever since the last fed meeting but this is something the FED did highlight if the dollar continues higher that will affect fed policy as well as stocks if stocks move lower and what the overall inflation Outlook looks like Tesa stock on a technical basis could look better currently you are under your 200 day moving average it is a Battleground heading into the last half an hour or so of trading you have retraced a lot from the lows so it looks like some solid demand came in once you tested about 215 so that's a little bit of good news but we really want to see a retracement back above that 200 day moving average now if you if you're looking at the RSI that is at about 43 the neutral level is 50 so you are still on the oversold side the macdon the other hand shortterm looks pretty good the yellow line breaking above the Blue Line overall you want to see Tesla stock hold that 200 day moving average over the next coming days and then start to actually make your way higher it looks like this 226 227 level is acting as a lot of resistance right now so you want to see a close at the high end of this range we've been trading at and then to ultimately break out from there sending us into the 230s as I have stated it a couple times I do think in this latest rally you could see Tesla stock easily break back to about that 245 to 255 range so that is going to do it for this video do not miss the next video coming out at 900 p.m.
tonight we're going to go over a lot of other information that I think you guys need to know as well as cover the option activity numbers for the day today it looks like you're probably going to be over a billion dollars and if I were to imagine it's probably going to look pretty p positive so we'll get into depth a little bit more on that and also take a look at all of your Tesla stock news you need to know later tonight so that's going to go ahead and do it for this video hit the like button and subscribe to the channel they are both free 99 consider sharing this video with a friend pal group or multiple individuals that need to hear this information to stay up to date with what's going on with Tesla stock my name is Michael Tyler enjoy the rest of your day and I will see you in the next one
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