저자: CathieWood · 외국인
요약 보기
캐시 우드는 비트코인이 기관 투자자 필수 자산군으로 자리잡고 있으며 상관관계가 낮다고 주장하고, 비트코인이 3년 이동평균 기준 매년 상승해 왔다고 강조한다. 미국 경기 침체 우려 속 주가 급락 국면에서도 비트코인 장기 상승 확신을 드러내며, 정부 효율화(DOGE)가 자산가격에 해가 되지 않는다는 입장이다. 단기적으로는 공포 심리 극대화로 반등 가능성(숏스퀴즈, VIX 고점 신호)이 거론되었으나 이는 뉴스 해설 성격이다.
다듬은 글
Bitcoin has gone up every year if you're using a a a threeyear moving average and I think it's just becoming undeniable that it is a force that that especially now that institutions have to consider it as a new asset class because Kathy Wood reveals institutions going all in on bit coin we'll explore Kathy Wood's investment Vision her confidence in disruptive innovation and how crypto shapes Finance tune in now to learn more Bitcoin ringing the bell for a new asset class we showed the correlations of returns the correlations still even though traditional investors are getting involved the correlation uh correlations with other assets still very low it's absolutely essential that institutional asset allocat s uh take a look at this asset if they don't they're not doing their fiduciary uh responsibility so we're trying to we're trying to help ease them provide a bridge okay we're talking your language uh Bitcoin is not only a a technology uh it's not only one of the biggest ideas ever uh you know the global monetary uh system rules-based digital private that uh but it is a new asset class and when you present investors with those three and and and they're not knowledgeable enough um it's a little bit threatening or they feel a bit vulnerable so we are trying to bridge in with okay we're going to talk your language uh you need to look at this new asset class investors are swiftly reducing exposure to risk assets as GP Morgan pushed recession odds from 30% to 40% the SNP 500 NASDAQ and DOW Jones Industrial Average all suffered steep drops reflecting heightened anxiety about the economy's future trajectory worries persist even though some White House officials tried to temper those concerns pointing to pockets of resilience in growth indicators Analyst at Goldman Sachs echoed These Warnings by raising their own recession probability to 20% while Morgan Stanley downgraded its economic growth Outlook and boosted inflation estimates despite optimistic remarks from Key officials such as National Economic Council director Kevin hasset sentiment remains fragile Donald Trump describing recent ships as a period of transition tried to reassure Americans of a brighter economic future crypto and tech stocks did not escape the turmoil losing billions in market cap Tesla plunged 15% while Bitcoin briefly sank 4% to levels on scene since early November and if we a world which we believe we've entered where five major Innovation platforms involving 14 15 15 uh um uh Technologies are converging and disrupting the entire traditional World Order well where what in that world now I'm very confident in in our research and in our projections but if I'm someone who doesn't do what I do all day long um and I'm studying all the ways to hedge against you know all the uncertainties out there ground shifting underneath us technologically geopolitically um uh what is the one thing I am certain about I am certain about 21 billion units I I am certain about that and there have been you know for those of you I don't know um if we have an economics oriented uh audience here but uh art AER uh actually helped us write that first uh white paper on on bitcoin and um and he said after he agreed to collaborate us and with us and he said you know this is what I have been waiting for since the US closed the gold window in 1971 he's been waiting he's 85 now I think this has rejuvenated him uh and he's prizing to the rest of the world El Salvador Surinam he was in Argentina uh and he's beginning he's beginning to help them understand how important this source of certainty will be to them and you know one of the biggest things that has surprised us um when we were brainstorming about Bitcoin in the early days of Ark uh our working assumption was that the early um government adopter of Bitcoin would be in the Emerging Markets because they live in such a chaotic world that is you know they are battered every now and then by the dollars appreciation and which you know they've got a lot of dollar denominated debt uh they run their compy their their countries on their own currency and there losing out constantly so I've been very surprised that the US really I mean yes El Salvador was you know was there but the US is is leading the charge here and I think it's going to serve us very well over time I want to talk about the economy moving forward over the next year two years three years uh because I think that's going to have a very big impact on bitcoin um let's start with Doge they say they're slashing cost every day they're tweeting some ridiculous use of taxpayer money uh what is your confidence level in their ability to be successful but also how do you think that affects financial markets you know so much of asset prices going up has been that the government is incredibly bad at their job and they waste a lot of money so we devalue the dollar and asset prices go up but if doge is successful does that actually hurt asset prices um oh no no no no no I actually think this is um you know I started in the business well I was in college in the late 70s but really here in New York in the early 80s and it was the Reagan Revolution and he was going he was changing I mean the 70s were just a horrible decade and uh so there was a similar kind of an election and a willingness to change Bitcoin soared 4% recovering from its plunge to a four-month low as US Stocks hinted at a possible reprieve from their severe downward spiral futures for the S and p500 and NASDAQ Rose slightly offering a glimmer of hope after both indices faced steep decline in the previous trading session amid widespread recession concerns many investors had rushed to reduce their exposure to risk assets sending Bitcoin and stocks tumbling observing these movements some Market experts sense the start of a potential short squeeze the Koby letter reflecting on the extreme levels of fear influencing trading decisions highlighted that even dedicated Bears might acknowledge the possibility of relief rallies markets rarely drop in a straight line and historically sharp rebounds off often follow intense sell-offs signs of elevated volatility further add to the speculation that a bottom could be near the VX a key barometer for investor anxiety recently registered at levels typically associated with turning points according to one measure there could be an 89% probability that the worst of the downturn is passed bitcoin's near-term technical signals also Point toward a shortlived bounce some analysts note bullish divergences on Lower time frames suggesting that a brief rally could emerge however bearish commentators warned that a sustained upswing could remain elusive in a persistently challenging economic environment they emphasize that recessionary pressures affect multiple markets not just cryptocurrencies whether Bitcoin can break free from this broader malaise remains to be seen but its recent rebound offers a glimmer of optimism for Trader
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