저자: 미상 · 한국인
요약 보기
블랙록·골드만삭스 등 자산운용/투자은행 주가가 횡보하며 모멘텀이 약하다는 진단. 금리 하락 전까지 섹터 반등이 어렵다고 봄. 팔란티어는 고PER로 변동성이 커 단기 조정 가능성을 언급하고 실적·금리 이벤트 전까지 큰 상승은 어렵다고 함. FMC는 리튬·농약·비료 관련 악재가 겹쳐 주가가 크게 하락했고 회복에 오랜 시간이 걸릴 것으로 봄. SMCI는 전날 급락 후 반등 흐름이며 자신의 과거 수익 사례를 언급함.
다듬은 글
It is a good company like BlackRock, but its stock price hasn't been able to rise. You asked if it would improve only if interest rates dropped, but BlackRock hasn't been able to rise for quite some time now. Let's take a look at the stock price. If I look at the chart, it has been stagnant for about three months, starting from last December.
The stock price is stuck at 800. Even looking at the weekly chart, it looks boring and lacks momentum. So, for BlackRock to raise its stock price, what needs to be done? Currently, its asset size is $11 trillion. Yes, that is the scale. But it's not just this; the Goldman Sachs chart is similar. Like investment banks, Goldman Sachs is all practically crawling sideways right now.
It rebounded from the end of October and then pulled back. Yes, so right now, there is no momentum in this sector. Overall, whether it's asset management firms or so-called investment banks, trading is skewed to one side. Since a few stocks are leading the market, there needs to be some expansion. For things to work out here, there needs to be something else, right?
Also, they need to launch something new, right? Right. So, what ETFs are working right now? Magnificent Seize works, I guess. Only things like Big Pounds and such work, right? Hmm, that's correct. Except for the Diffusion Bitcoin ETF, hmm. But I do n't know if that one is being significantly affected, but overall...
this is because of falling interest rates, isn't it? Yes, that's right. Because of interest rates. So, since the interest rate environment isn't right, hmm, it's just moving sideways. The market is good right now, but interest rates aren't right for it to go up. It seems like that's the situation. There aren't any drops either, right?
That's correct. You can understand it that way. Ah, Palantir is up for the first time in a while. Palantir, what will happen? The point is, it's dropping a bit, but it's falling slightly after the market close. This is due to market movements. The market is dropping a lot, right? Because the multiples are high, that's why.
Palantir is probably quite high right now. How much is it? 56 times. Yes, so that's why volatility is bound to be high. Hmm, yes, volatility is increasing. So, here at Palantir, after the recent surge, I guess I should rotate this using Fibonacci. But right here, right here, at 22 points. We need to grasp the previous high here.
Since it has strongly broken through the previous high, well, if it doesn't break this and the correction ends here, then that's a thank you. But if it collapses, things could get difficult up to where they were, and it depends on the market conditions. So, I suppose we should view the current situation as moving more heavily in response to market movements.
Other than that, there doesn't seem to be any special news right now; there doesn't seem to be anything special. It means there is n't any news strong enough to move the stock price yet. Oh, is that so? It feels like there isn't anything significant yet. I see. Then, we just have to wait and see, right?
Right. Well, it will probably only react until the next earnings report, or if the market rises, or if interest rates go down. Unless that happens, since the valuation is high, it isn't a good situation for it to move up sharply right now. Yes, that is correct. How do you view the FMC stock price? The relative decline in FMC Corporation's stock price was significant, wasn't it?
It is one of the companies where the lithium issue is growing. Let's take a look. It has lithium, and FMC holds various things—what do you call them?—including fertilizers and pesticides. Recently, the stock price has been getting really bad. Right now, even the earnings... I explained that things have become difficult because good news and bad news have overlapped.
Next, Director, regarding the bitter part about making fertilizer—that ammonia, right? It goes into that fertilizer, doesn't it? What is it? Ammonium nitrate. Ah, ammonium nitrate, that bomb material. Yes, I wonder if even things like that are causing internal turmoil for the companies and driving the stock price down.
So, I'll explain that FMC Corporation and... what else? Albemarle have all dropped, so please keep that in mind. Let's take a look at the current slump on the weekly chart. It's extremely severe, isn't it? It is very severe. Yes, at this level, recovery seems difficult. Director, regarding FMC Corporation, right?
We talked about the "bloodbath" yesterday, and since the upstream industries—such as electric vehicles—are not doing well, I think the downstream sector, especially the materials side, will face even more difficulties. Ah, but when a stock drops this severely, doesn't it usually take quite a while to recover?
Unless a special buoy emerges, yes, that is highly likely. Looking at Albemarle as an example... yes, but in Albemarle's case, usually below 1220... Well, it seems like even in the past, stocks just went back up from below this level. It actually dropped further. Anyway, since we have n't found a bottom yet, even in terms of fundamentals, honestly, there is no solution for the time being.
Honestly, and also, regarding FMC, as I mentioned earlier, there is something like fertilizer. If things go bad and farming completely fails, the stock price will drop. Because sales have completely collapsed, would n't fertilizer be unnecessary? With the drought continuing in Brazil and similar situations, that is having an impact as well.
We are seeing various negative signs. So, as I said earlier, the stock price, which went up to 140, has now hit a quarter of that—has it hit 50? It's going to fall a lot, but I think it will take a very long time. I'm telling you that we have no choice but to wait, so please understand it that way. Looking at the stock price, it really is pathetic.
It is indeed pathetic. Let's take a look at the next passage. Is there a possibility that SMCI will fall further today since it is dropping again? Let's take a look at Schumacher. But since it was dramatic yesterday, it is holding up well today. Almost yesterday... Even BoA came yesterday, right? Yes, Mas 1.
How much did it end up cost? If it holds out well, that means attaching it really well. When I saw that dramatic thing, really, that 1st anniversary... yes, no, no, before talking about this... you know, regarding the 1st anniversary, you asked me to do something, right? Well, rather than ordering me, you quietly asked me.
Yes, so yes, it's something like this. If I were to say, since it's the 1st anniversary, before the 1st anniversary... well, it would be much earlier... maybe not much earlier, but anyway, there was a time when I earned my living expenses through stocks, so-called stocks. You know, Director, you can make money, right?
You can make money. Yes, so if I applied that strategy of using a portion to make money to Shoemaker, and tried it, I made about a 200% profit. Since it came out recently, I should make a video about that. I wrote it down, but it might be hard to understand just from the text. Right, a video is better.
Anyway, that is how it is. As for Shoemaker, if someone bought it at the peak... well, it needs to go up about 50% to break even. Since it will take a little more time, of course, there will be various factors now. If you buy, there will be various factors, but I am speaking to those who bought at the peak.
So, first of all, since that period for the first " fresh" stocks has ended, it looks like it will take a little more time, so I think it would be good to make your judgment accordingly. Ah, Shuma really dropped dramatically and is struggling right now, but in my opinion, it seems to be holding up relatively well.
Since all the MBA stocks are doing poorly right now, wouldn't you say it is holding up well? Next, what is the target price for this? It is 13, right? So, it would be good to respond while keeping that in mind. Since it is such a good company, the market is improving and [ music] is there h
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