저자: ActiveInvestors채널운영자 · 외국인
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결론: 엔비디아(NVDA)에 대해 강세 전망이며 단타보다 장기 보유를 권함. 펀더멘털 요약: 통합그래픽카드 시장은 하이브리드 CPU 출현으로 축소되어 엔비디아에 유리하다고 봄. 스마트폰·태블릿, 사물인터넷(IoT), 자동차(ADAS 시장 2016년 약 150억 달러 전망, Tegra 사업의 최고 성장 부문) 성장이 추가 매출원으로 제시됨. 재무 지표: 주당순이익(EPS) 약 1.08달러, 주당배당 0.43달러, 주당장부가치 8.31달러, 주당잉여현금흐름 1.63달러, 주당매출 8.80달러. 영업이익률 13.8%, 자기자본이익률(ROA) 8.8%, 매출총이익률 56.4%, 순이익률 14.8%. 총자산회전율 0.67, 재고회전율 4.4, 장기부채비율 0.12, 당좌비율 0.35. 밸류에이션: PER 19.9, 주가현금흐름비율 11.22, PBR 2.45, 배당수익률 1.17%, 발행주식 약 5억 4200만주, 시가총액 약 186억 8800만 달러(원문 수치 기준). 기술적 분석: 강한 상승추세가 유지 중이며 52주 신고가 34.68달러 근처로, 2008년 이후 최고가 수준에 근접. 2월 저점(약 24달러) 대비 빠르게 회복. 일봉 MACD 데드크로스가 있었으나 장 마감 후 발생해 의미를 낮게 봄. 파라볼릭 SAR는 하락 신호였으나 하락 중에도 매수세가 받쳐준다고 해석. 34달러 부근에 피벗 지지선과 구름대 지지가 있어 큰 조정이 아니면 횡보 또는 상승 유지 전망. 출연자 전망: 엔비디아에 대해 강세(bullish) 입장, 장기 보유 권장. 리스크에 대한 명시적 언급은 제한적임.
다듬은 글
active investor here bringing you another independent analysis this time on nvidia corporation i like to go over a few key factors of nvidia firstly this charts beautiful but let's check out some of the fundamentals as nvidia is a company that has a lot of upside on its fundamental analysis so just a real brief summary let's take a look at some of its key trends we have the expected demise of integrated graphics cards which the launch of hybrid cpus like intel sandy bridge in AMD's Milano days of integrated graphics chips are numbered and we expect this business to phase out soon that's good for NVIDIA and we have the growth of smartphone and tablet market that's another source of sales for nvidia corporation we have the growth of the Internet of Things now the IOT market can go into too much detail about that it's a whole other subject and lastly the growth in the automotive segment we expect the advanced driver assistance systems to be worth around 15 billion dollars by 2016 and this segment is actually the fastest growing sub segments for nvidia's tegra business market and let's take a look at some of our key ratios here so let's start right away with some of our share values eps dollar and eight cents dividends per share 43 sentence book value per share eight dollars and 31 cents free cash flow per share dollar 63 cents sales per share eight dollars and eighty cents from our profitability ratios we have our Oh at 13.8 roa 8.8 gross profit margin 56.4 our net profit margin at 14.8 so we're for activity ratios total asset turnover ratio point sixty seven nine inventory turnover 4.4 for some of our financial ratios long term debt to capital to point 12 and our quick ratio to point 35 now lastly it's cover some of the more popular evaluation methods we have PE ratio at 19.9 price to cash flow ratio 11 point 22 price to book value ratio to point 45 we have our dividend yield at one point 17 our total shares outstanding are 542 million on our market cap is 18 point 688 million now with that out of the way let's go into the nitty-gritty technical analysis here pull up my chart let me just switch a few settings over so we can get a clean look here and we'll be all set so right away let's take a look at this uptrend start a track about here you guys can see this is a very powerful uptrend and we're still in the midst of it we have a few key things to look at let's take a look not with that one though let's take a look at the space here you can see a lot of space above the cloud this was a very powerful left trend very powerful some space here wiens off a bit here so we almost broke through the cloud on a bearish sign there but the run did continue good space unfortunately here we crash through the cloud there was some space below the cloud so we could have gotten a downtrend there but as you see it bounced right off this trend line and we continued to push into the cloud here and then up through the cloud here we have plenty of space above the cloud here it kind of dipped a little bit there almost touch the cloud but not quite and then currently a decent amount of space we take that away take a look at a few other things here these purple lines you guys know I'm a big fan of pivot points these are lines where we had resistance that turn to support or vice versatile support that turned resistance so these pivot points are pretty important areas now what is significant about that I'll tell you first take a look at this high this high of 34 dollars and sixty-eight cents this is a 52-week high for NVIDIA not only that but this is almost the highest and videos bin since 2008 nvidia is currently pushing new highs and we might have we might break the 2008 high point and we might be making entirely new data so I'm really almost out of pivot points since we just don't have the historical data to go on video is pressing higher and higher making new highs this is a huge milestone for NVIDIA if we look over here right in this area we're up trend started this was about mid-february when video was around twenty four dollars to share what its deal and actually if you do look at a lot of the major companies that were down in February you know we had a rough start this year since January February a lot of those companies were down hard and they slowly recovered nvidia recovered within a month and a half actually even less since that februari low about a month later we have almost a seven-year high 34-point 68 almost the new hi there it is a 52-week high as i told you but almost a high from 2008 very impressive recovery from nvidia that's like a look at some of my other indicators here we do have a bearish crossed on the map d but that occurred after hours and we had a bullish cross right before that right before the market closed so the after-hours activity it doesn't signal too much to me exactly let's see if I can zoom in a little bit here where I can focus in on this area right around here perfect you guys can see this a little bit better this is the very I'd like to really take a look at right here so let's look at a few important things with that so right away you guys know I'm the big fan of the cloud system we have the kaizen above the tank indications that blue line writing nicely above the tenkan which is the orange line now here after hours we did kind of almost touch and occasion may have crossed but even if the caisson does crossed above the cloud it's not going to be the most bearish sign and currently we're actually in a downtrend on the parabolic SAR another one my favorite indicators these white lines that I had it circled there that the fact that the white lines are above the price per share indicates that this is a downtrend if they're below like this that indicates an uptrend so this entire last trading day we were in a downtrend and NVIDIA actually if you look at these candles it actually was pushing up a bit or if you really remain the same but it did push up a little bit during this downtrend that goes to show you how powerful the Bulls are even in a downtrend the Bulls are fighting right back a lot of people want in on Vidia and they're willing to keep putting up some money our bids are keep going up if you look at the level to it that's a bit of a different story but the level two does tell a whole other picture between the Bulls and the Bears I recommend if you guys get a chance to take a look at the level two is pretty impressive all right so last thing to cover take a look at our oversold points briefly I can zoom out take a quick look there so our office oversold point we went over sold here the oversold here and we went over sold here you guys know I'm a big fan of these oversold points each oversold point being higher also indicates an uptrend its overall we're still in an uptrend I think it's reasonable to assume that Nvidia will keep going up in price and even if it does dip a bit we have a ton of support we have a ton of support right around the $34 mark we have this pivot point here we have another pivot point not too far below it and we also have support on the cloud so nvidia is really going to need to be swipe down by the Bears hard if it's going to dip otherwise I'm confident in video will either remain in this channel or keep increasing now we went over some brief fundamental and technical analysis on nvidia and i hope that you guys understand why my overall sentiments i'm going to tell you now my overall sentiments on the video i'm bullish on nvidia this is a company i wouldn't recommend day training so much as i would recommend holding it for extended periods of time they have a high-upside in the future and i'm looking forward to some great things from the video this is active investor i hope you guys found this analysis useful hope we all make some money take care
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