저자: ActiveInvestors채널진행자 · 외국인
요약 보기
엔비디아(NVDA)는 2016년 실적 발표 이후 강한 상승 추세를 이어왔으나 최근 조정 중이며, 단기적으로는 지지선 방어 여부가 관건이라는 기술적 분석 영상이다. 현재가는 약 45.73달러 수준이며, 1차 지지선 45.30달러, 이후 44.90·44.40·44.00·43.60달러, 최종 지지 42.15달러가 제시되었다. 저항선은 46.05·46.80·47.75달러로 제시되었다. 최근 고점은 48.62달러로 언급되었다. 이동평균선 분석에서는 13·20·50·100·200일선 5개를 사용했다. 현재 주가는 50일선(노란선)과 100일선 아래에 있으며, 200일선 위에서 머물고 있다. 100일선은 약 46.46달러 부근이며, 이를 회복해야 추세 회복 가능성이 커진다고 설명했다. 50일선 회복 시 반등 신호로 봤다. 진행자는 과매도 구간이 이전 조정 때와 유사하므로 추세가 아주 강한 하락은 아니라고 보았다. 조정 원인은 실적 발표 이후 상당한 수익을 얻은 투자자들의 차익실현과 저점 재매수 전략으로 해석했다. 시장이 반등 조짐을 보이면 거래량을 동반한 강한 반등이 나올 수 있다고 전망했다. 엔비디아는 강력한 성장주이자 훌륭한 기업이라고 평가하며 여전히 매우 강세(bullish)라는 입장을 밝혔다. 다만 본 영상은 2016년 6월 기준 분석이며, 장기 투자 의견이 아닌 단기 기술적 관점의 전망이다.
다듬은 글
we're taking a look at ticker symbol NVDA that's nvidia corporation which are we looking at today is a four-hour chart each candlestick on this chart representing four hours or trading we go back to the start of this killer uptrend we had those earnings and actually in video was pushing up nicely even before those earnings recovering very nicely from its februari lows but we have the earnings on this chart and that's when this thing really got started on this insane powerful uptrend and not only was it insanely powerful but it was also healthy and that's why we have all these levels of support let's cover that real quick so for support we have 45 30 4490 44 40 40 360 and 4215 resistance on the way up we're going to have 4605 4680 and at 4775 now back to what i was saying you can see the earnings report was right here and that's where we had that massive uptrend just going going going going all right so we have all these levels of support luckily since you know we're dipping now and Nvidia being on the sp500 and all that it is going to be affected by the overall markets even though it's such a powerful stock ton of momentum and it's also a growth stock so very nice stock here definitely one of my favorite pics overall and let's kind of go into the details here so we had this very powerful uptrend and then after that we were still up trending but it wasn't just like a spike up and then you know a massive drop and then maybe some consolidation another spike here and they're kind of like you'd see like pump and dumps right it was nice and healthy we had some runs and some pull back nice healthy pullback making higher lows higher lows higher lows higher lows higher lows a little bit of a dip here and some consolidation but then once again some higher lows higher lows higher lows higher lows higher lows and then we had some lower lows here and now here of course but the fact that along the way up this entire time we were making such nice higher lows that's going to give us some really good support and that's where we're getting all this data from here as you guys know in video is making lifetime eyes and it's been doing this for weeks now so that it isn't based on you know months or years worth of data like most my analysis tend to be but this is current data since we are in a current range that we've never seen before so right now we're currently trading at about 45 73 so we're going to have that support at 4530 next if that doesn't it 4530 doesn't hold then we're looking at 45 90 than 44 40 40 360 and finally 4215 now interestingly enough that 208 average is right in line with that bottom supported 4215 but that doesn't mean we're going to fall all the way down there at all you know we have some really good support on the way there if we continue to dip but it does mean that we're going to have some nice support levels as you saw here the averages were pretty far away from our share price but since we've kind of been consolidating for a little bit you know we still been making higher lows but it was nothing like over here right so the averages kind of came back in line and those tend to act is trailing support or resistance and you can see all along the way here indeed they were kind of acting as support we kind of dipped but bounced off those averages and just kind of continue moving up slowly but still moving up absolutely and that's where he made that high of 48 62 now averages are not looking as good and just to reference that I have five averages on this video most of my other analysis videos will only be looking at the three for the sake of simplicity and they're also still effective but foreign video we're looking at all five so the blue is going to be the 13 period the green is going to be the 20 period yellow 50 as usual and then the orange is the 100 and the rate is the 200 so we've added in the 100 in the 208 moving average and you can see that averages are not looking great you know we are below for those averages and only above the 200-day and a while we want to be above the 200-day we also want to be above the others as well but it's not the end of the world what is really good is even when we were above that 50 period average that yellow line we were still making some nice gains they're so nice progress so if we can get back above that yellow line everything's going to be good but we definitely need to get back above the 100-day average first luckily that 100 average is at 46 46 you can see it's telling us right there 46 46 and we're currently trading at 4573 so it's not too far off so if we start you know bouncing back we can definitely get back on track but indeed the trend is down unfortunately we can see that with our previous oversold point right here and the current oversold point we went over sold right over here so it's not you know down that much its almost identical here and the reason why I'm looking at that is the Oversoul point let me make that line a little bit more fine it's because yeah we're oversold all here as well but where we first went over sold on both averages was indeed right here which is going to be that candle there I'm putting it to the clothes and then where we went over sold here was indeed right there so it's really not a strong downtrend although we dipped pretty hard with overall markets it's really not that strong with the downtrend and we can we can bounce back just need a little bit of buying pressure and this thing has had some massive buying pressure so you know what I think I think the reason why Nvidia was sold off so harshly is because the lungs wanted to take profits off the table and buy back in you know these are people who definitely want to buy back into Nvidia but it's also the same kind of people that thought well you know what I'm up you know twenty thirty forty fifty sixty seventy percent on in video right now which is pretty realistic if you did by around you know the earnings here or before why not sell it and buy back in once it kind of starts legging back up from the dip so there's no doubt in my mind that on the slightest you know as soon as the market shows a slight turn around nvidia is going to get massive volume people are going to be buying it right back up and we should be okay nvidia is that kind of stock super powerful interesting the last analysis this thing was primed to continue running the only reason why it's dipping now is in my opinion because of what I just explained about people trying to take profits and buy back in a lower price you know they're kind of being smart about it and if you're holding this thing for years and what and whatnot then you know maybe you're just going to write it out and that's fine too you don't need to sell it off and then bye back in but there are some people who are going to employ a strategy and they're going to help out the nvidia long's who are still in once they buy back in because they're going to buy back in with massive volume and this thing will come back up so it's really all there is to say about video right now still very bullish on this stock it's a great company and its really all I got to say about nvidia hope you guys enjoy this analysis and let me give a quick shout out to who requested this one again I should have this pulled up my bad let me take a look real quick a quick shout out to Ryan 16 so shout out to Ryan 16 good job with NVIDIA choice and I'll catch you guys next time have a good one
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