저자: Miju · 한국인
요약 보기
미국 금리 상승기 대응 전략을 소개. 10년물 금리가 1.4%대로 하락했으므로 금리 반등 시 TMV(레버리지 금리 ETF) 매수 적기로 판단. 인플레이션 국면에서는 과도한 방어를 피하고 고수익·성장 기업에 투자하며 현금 비중을 늘리되 주식시장 관심은 유지하라고 권고. JP모건·BofA 등 은행주 추가 상승 가능성 언급. 다음 주 지표 일정과 섹터 흐름(금융·소재·에너지 부진) 점검, QQQ는 신고가 돌파 가능성을 보나 CCI 과열로 매도 신호 주의, SOXL도 CCI 94.7로 100 도달 시 매도 신호 언급. 7월 기업 실적 발표를 앞두고 SOXL 매매는 비추천.
다듬은 글
Hello everyone, this is Miju, here to help you become rich with US stocks. Today, I will summarize the major issues in the US stock market. I will discuss the key schedule for next week, and we will look at charts for the Q Nasdaq, Excel ETF, and NGU. I will also review a MarketWatch article regarding precautions to take during the current tapering period.
Regarding methods to guarantee profits during a rising interest rate environment, I was asked if buying the TMV ETF would be a good idea, so I would like to introduce it to you now. It is a leveraged product; it is an TMV ETF that rises when the market trend rises rapidly. Currently, I could not recommend it when the 10-year Treasury yield was between 1.6% and 1.7%, but since the 10-year Treasury yield has now fallen to 1.4%, I believe that now might be the right timing to buy.
We will look at this later in the training section. Please take a look at this regarding investment stocks. Please keep in mind the purchase details. Members, first of all, yesterday Thank you to Member A for signing up. First, let's take a look at the 10-year Treasury yield. The current 10-year Treasury yield is 1.45%, having recently dropped from the existing 1.6% range to the 1.4% range.
Looking at the future forecasts for the 10-year Treasury yield, it is expected to reach 2.25% by the end of this year and 2.5% by the end of 2022. Since rates could rise sharply this year, the end-of-year forecast of 2.25% means that if the rate rises from the current 1.4% to 2.25%, you can see significant profits.
Currently, interest rates have recently peaked and are falling to 1.4%, dropping from $6.23 to $68.5. However, interest rates are expected to stabilize at the 1.4% level before rising again. If it turns around, I think it will break through this 86% multiplier and the previous high of the 16-point bar again and go further.
Even if you are building it until the end of the year, since the current expected upside is 2.25%, I think there are many profit-making zones, such as 2T, MV, and TF. However, it is not a matter of "just let others buy," so I believe you should make purchases based on your own judgment. First of all, since this is the main article on Market 5, let me briefly talk about the precautions you should take during a period of inflation.
First, do not play too defensively. This is because the fact that the stock market is tapering inflation ultimately means that the economy has improved, so there is no need to be overly defensive. Also, invest in companies that generate high returns or have great growth potential. Furthermore, do not stop trading stocks altogether or leave the stock market; in my opinion, while increasing the proportion of cash to a certain level, it is correct to maintain consistent interest in the stock market and continue to do so.
That bond is called 4th House A, and then regarding financial... The point is to buy stocks. The stocks currently being recommended here are JP Morgan, JPM, and Bank of America. Let's take a look at the charts for JP Morgan and Bank of America as well. Although JP Morgan and Bank of America have already seen significant gains, I believe there is potential for further increases from the current level.
The reason is that interest rates are set to rise, so it is being said that bank stocks could rise even more than they are now. For reference, since the current interest rate is 1.45%, I think that if you buy and hold DMV until the end of this year, you could see a profit of at least 20%. Personally, I think it would be good to buy a small amount of DMV ETF right now.
First, let's look at the key schedules for next week. The red dot you see here is a point that the market is paying close attention to, and the blue line represents the stocks that you should be keeping an eye on. First, looking at the columns, there is the New York State Manufacturing Index, Housing Market Index, Retail Sales, and Industrial Production.
And First, let's look at the sector-specific trends to see which sectors performed well last week. Looking at the trends, Communication, Consumer, Healthcare, LSD, Technology, and Utilities performed well, while Financial, Industry, Materials, and Energy sectors did not perform well last week. However, regarding the Financial sector, as mentioned earlier, I believe it could rebound if interest rates rise again, as indicated by JP Morgan.
Therefore, I suggest you bet on JP Morgan and continue to keep a close eye on it. Personally, I believe the QQ can break through its previous high and rise further. However, since the QQ's current CCI is at 134.2, there are many sell signals of 5. Therefore, I think we will need to observe the market developments further to know the market next week.
Similarly, for S-XL, please note that the CI is currently at 94.7, and a sell signal is issued when the CI reaches 100. I believe it will work out. First, we mainly discussed TMV on the platform. Please keep in mind that during the upcoming bull market, you can profit from 2T MV and TF; this implies that even if the market rises or the Nasdaq falls, there are zones where you can still see the stock's name.
There are people continuously asking about buying timing for SQ or SXX, and I will provide more details regarding that later. However, since there are corporate earnings announcements for Dari and I-Tech in July, I personally do not recommend trading SQ or SXX in July. Also, for your reference, it would be great if you could create something like that. Thank you. I have done the visualization.
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