저자: 미상 · 외국인
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브로드컴 시간봉 기준 상승 흐름이 이어졌으나 1760 부근에서 이중 천장(double top) 형성 우려가 제기됨. 주요 이동평균선 위에 있어 단기 강세 신호는 유효하며, 1570 하향 이탈 시 중립 전환, 1695 하향 이탈 시 이중 천장 확정 가능성을 제시. RSI 과매수 구간 진입 후 모멘텀 둔화가 관찰되며, 1645 부근이 핵심 지지선으로 언급됨.
다듬은 글
our prior calls for upside Moves In in share price action are coming to fruition uh we are seeing that um we're seeing prices kind of stall out here a bit um and if we were to look at the shorter term charts here uh we would see that um you know we're getting a bit of a double top condition here um on the shorter term time frames um you know it's not it's not a huge double top um you know but we are starting to see um some potential reason to believe uh that this stock could be encountering some resistance here near term so uh with this video we will need to outline some specific uh price levels that can be used for uh actionable trades in realtime markets so uh here you know for the most part we can see that uh the dominant Trend move here is higher um you know we we've seen lows posting uh from the June 3rd trading period uh which came in just above $1,300 um and this extend to the uh June 18th trading period uh where the all-time high was posted at 1851 so you know these are very strong price moves in a in a very short amount of time um you know and if you notice here uh there was actually a significant price Gap um you know that was seen during a post uh po after you know following an earnings release um you know this could be significant here going forward because if we do fall back into this price region it's possible that we would need to see that uh that Gap filled to the downside um so that that could bring some uh some negative momentum to the stock if we were to to venture back into that region uh currently you know we were calling for higher prices here in the stock because um you know there were several positive readings here uh we are these These are highly important exponential moving averages uh 20 period is yellow 50 period is is orange 100 period uh is purple and 200 period is blue um these are closely watched by the market uh for you know more more on a maybe a short-term trading basis like sort of an intraday uh price chart um you know but as we can see here um you know the share price has convincingly moved above all four of these moving average and that alone is a very bullish signal um you know we found support at a very critical level um you know if we're looking at this prior uptrend move here uh we really did find support at the 50% retracement of that level uh so you know this is this is significant and then going forward uh this really will be the kind of the pivot point to the downside uh if we see a break below 1570 um I would probably start to uh change the Outlook to at least neutral um I think we we could we would still be able to find some support a bit lower um so I wouldn't I wouldn't exactly turn to outright bearish just yet um if that if that type of downside break were to occur um I think we could probably find support about $50 lower um you know but that would at least turn things consolidative and probably suggest that we're in we're in for a period of sideways trading uh so that we can allow the uh overall trend to kind of reestablish itself um but currently you know we do have to look at some of these shorter term signals here because there are some developing signals that do Point uh at a possible top being in place so we do need to take a look at these um so here what we what we really have uh is sort of a double top formation here uh roughly 1760 is where this where this is coming in uh if we drilled down to maybe a fem minute chart uh or something along those lines this would this would look like a much more significant uh double top because you you would really be looking at this uptrend here um as being much more forceful to the top side um you know and then and then at the end of that rally uh you you'd really be seeing a double top here so it would it would look more significant uh on on the say F minute chart or a 15minute chart um it might look a bit smaller on the one hour chart uh you know but currently we we really do need to see a break above here because you know if we start to see declines uh from here this will kind of solidify this area as as a double top uh trading re region uh currently to the downside support levels have moved up to roughly 1695 um so if we do see a break below that level um you know that would kind of confirm this double top uh Zone um as as the next upside Target for potential resistance um so you know in addition to all of these factors we also have to note the fact that um you know we did have a very strong uh momentum reading in the relative strength index um this is a very strong strong slope in the RSI um you know you typically see things that are a bit more subdued than that um you know and once we reached overbought territory that would be right here let's try to get this Arrow to behave itself here um so uh you know once we reached overbought territory you know not totally surprising to start to see this giveway because um you know it was a fairly strongly up upward slope in the momentum reading um a bit a bit unsustainable um you know not exactly uh you know the type of trend momentum that you would typically see um you know but uh you know that said we have to also remember that this stock is able to maintain itself in in overbought territory for for quite a long period of time uh you know because if we move back to the uh the middle of June uh we can see that um you know the share price really was able to remain in heavily overbought uh territory uh you know for just about a full week I mean that's that's a very long time in the market um to be trading at that time type of level is you know it's not common it's not it's not seen very often um so you know we did we did see a bit of a spike here into overbought territory um not too much of a concern here because this is the type of of stock that has the potential to uh to live in that area for quite some time um you know but the fact that we did lose uh this upward Trend uh in share price momentum is a bit of a is a bit of a concern when you uh take this in in combination with the fact that um you know we're kind of in danger here of forming a double top resistance Zone uh currently you know we are seeing uh the moving averages uh kind of Rise Above uh this prior this prior support uh that we're seeing at 1695 um so maybe this will be enough uh to kind of contain uh selling pressure to the downside and then maybe even Force prices um above this this resistance level if that did occur we would invalidate this this double top uh Zone here um you and it wouldn't it wouldn't be a concern anymore it would it would be broken at that point um you know but we we probably are going to need to see some support here from the moving averages uh in order to push prices through this level uh the main level that I would be watching to the downside comes in at roughly 1645 uh the reason that I point to this level is because uh you know it's it was a prior resistance Zone um and it kind of preceded this most recent breakout Point as we can see here you know we kind of traded sideways and then once we finally broke it you know we did see a a more forceful move to the top side um so it was it was a prior resistance level uh that would now be expected to work as support and then in addition of that you have this Rising uh purple line here uh which is the 100h hour exponential moving average so you know these two areas come in line roughly you know roughly in line with one another um it's just below 1650 um you know so if we did actually see a drop below uh 1650 um I wouldn't be overly concerned because um I think that this 1645 level could ultimately catch prices from there and sort of limit selling pressure to the downsid
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