저자: 미상 · 외국인
요약 보기
브로드컴(AVGO) 주가가 피보나치 78.6% 되돌림 저항(약 173달러)에서 밀려 하락 전환 중이라고 분석. 4시간 RSI는 아직 하락 모멘텀 상태이며 반등 신호는 초기 단계. 8/28 엔비디아 실적 발표를 앞두고 기대치가 높아 리스크 회피성 이익실현이 나타나고 있으며, 단기 하락 흐름이 우세하다는 입장. 말미는 구독 상품 홍보.
다듬은 글
here we have the current stock before we begin hare price itself is starting to roll over after reaching some very critical Fibonacci levels so in the rest of this video I will be looking at some of these key price zones here uh and identify some of the near-term event risks that are most likely to influence this stock going forward uh so that we can engage in and uh construct some profitable trading strategies for broadcom broadcom so as things currently stand as you can see the uh the near-term high comes in at one one uh 172 uh 42 uh and this is quite a critical resistance Zone uh because as I mentioned in Prior videos and I I left this resistance Zone in place on this chart it did not change any of the chart markings here uh but as we can see here uh this price failure it's a it's near- term and it's it's somewhat small in size but uh currently what we're seeing here is some downside price movement after reaching resistance at a very critical Fibonacci retracement zone so essentially what I'm talking about here is the 786 retracement of this major declining price move uh which currently comes in just above the 173 Mark uh so we didn't reach this level exactly but we're within roughly 50 or 60 cents of this area um so I do find it quite interesting that the share price itself was not able to overcome this resistance Zone and and now we're starting to see uh price movements lower so if this continues and we and we see you know for for example lower close on the week uh this would be very critical for this stock because uh 17242 would become a major uh major point of resistance going forward so to arrive at this number I'll just explain how how I how I cont you know how I how I arrived at this figure so uh essentially what we're doing here is we're looking at the prior price High which came in during the June 18 Trading session which posted at 18516 uh and as we can see here the share price itself did did tra did take a fairly dramatic move lower uh and we did see share prices move all the way down to 12850 during the August 5 trading session uh this level was significant because essentially what happened here is we broke the prior main support Zone which came in at 1325 uh so this was a very dramatic move lower um but we did actually see a bit of a false breakout to the downside here uh given the fact that there really wasn't any follow through after breaking through this 13025 level so as things currently stand this is the main price move that I'm watching I do believe uh this declining Trend move here to be the the dominant Force so to speak uh in in in uh governing price action at the moment I do think that this is the most most uh relevant uh and influential price movement here so uh what I'm looking at currently uh you know is this recovery that came from 12850 uh and then this eventual failure here right around this 173 Mark 172 173 so as we can see here this does match with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement Zone uh quite closely um I don't think that this is something that can just be ignored so you know we have seen movements lower here and now we do have to sort of look ahead to the next event risk which is coming with the uh the Invidia earnings report uh that will be released after the Bell on Wednesday so that would be after the after the market closes tomorrow uh currently as things stand the market is really looking at some very uh you know sort elevated expectations here for nvidia's quarterly quarterly performances um there are sort of a lot of ways to fail I mean there's going to be a lot of different points in this earnings report uh you know not not just the revenue and EPS figure um you know we'll also be looking at guidance we'll also be looking at what the scheduling looks like as far as uh you know these blackw chips that have been delayed so there's there's a lot on the table here and there are many different places for the company to uh to miss in some Direction I mean it just seems a little bit hard to believe uh that they're going to uh surpass expectations in every one of these directions I mean it's possible there's you know it's it's a great company um and they they could surprise in every direction uh but it's a very high bar that the that the market is currently setting so at the moment I do think that the path of leas resistance is to the downside um if we take a look at the IND indicator readings for broadcom uh we can we can see that currently the share price itself is still being governed by uh this negative momentum reading so if we pull out to the the daily uh sorry this is the 4-Hour price chart uh if we if we're looking at if we're looking at the 4our RSI here uh we can see that uh you know this price movement into 185 did create a negative momentum condition in the RSI itself and this this negative condition still has not uh sort of resolved itself just yet uh we are seeing a bit of near-term uh positive price movement here um you know we could sort of drill into this chart a bit here uh really what we're looking at here is the bottom of the price chart this purple line here uh is the relative strength index and as we can see here there is an uptrend that is starting to emerge here um you know and then in addition to that we've seen a near-term test of this area and we're starting to roll over here to the to the top side so we're sort of sort of curling over uh you know to to the upside here after testing this uh region of trend line support um but as things currently stand you know there there's there's still some wood to chop here because uh one we do need to overcome the rsi's own exponential moving average which is the yellow line on the bottom of the chart and then in addition to that we will also need to break through uh this ascending trend line that is showing on the relative streng strength index as well so we are starting to see some emerging positives here as basically what I'm getting at um but the overall picture is still negative so that we would we would need to see some continued upside here uh some continued upside price movements um and some further bullish activity within the relative strength index itself uh in order to suggest that this prior downtrend momentum uh has completed itself exhausted itself and is no longer the primary influence for the stock so as things currently stand you know we are starting to see a bit of a price movement lower this is not I mean in my view this is not surprising at all um I I think it would be expected to see investors or you know the broader markets start to take some money off the table given the fact that we do have this major earnings report coming up on on Wednesday um you know what this really means is that these people are just not uh interested in holding their positions into those numbers um mean you know you can you can definitely make a case for doing that you can make a case on both sides I suppose I mean if you're more if you're a more aggressive Trader and you're expecting to see a strong number from Invidia uh then by all means you would you would want to buy the stock um but if you're looking to sort of reduce risk um and step aside while the volatility is occurring and things like that um it's not surprising at all to see uh investors start to pull their money out of the market so you know what we're seeing overall uh here in the trend and the trading volumes is a bit of a declining condition uh so this does seem to be what's occurring at the moment I think people are just sort of taking money off the table uh and waiting to see what happens here on Wedneser ]
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