저자: 미상 · 외국인
요약 보기
브로드컴(AVGO) 4시간/1시간봉 기준 하락 압력과 변동성 확대를 짚음. 145~151달러 구간 가격 갭(약 6달러)이 메워질 가능성이 높으며 하단 목표는 143.55달러 부근. 애플·아마존 실적에 따라 방향이 갈린다고 봄. 말미에 유료 멤버십 광고 포함.
다듬은 글
here's once again trading under selling pressure uh these price movements have been fair Fairly significant to the downside uh we're seeing some some large red bars here uh and what this really means is that we're starting to see some very erratic pricing action uh so it will be very important for Traders to uh sort of Identify some price levels here uh so that we can sort of uh you know create some trading strategies going forward uh with this video I will be uh outlining some of these important price levels uh And discussing some of the factors that are currently at work uh and most likely leading to these uh current price declines so uh as we can see here you know we can sort of drill in here a bit I will move down to the hourly chart in a moment here uh but you know as we can see you know the these larger price bars uh there's a lot of red on this chart here I mean we're seeing a lot of movements here to the downside uh and what this does suggest is that uh you know Market volatility is starting to increase uh as we as we move forward throughout this summer trading period so uh you know currently you know it's it's probably best to look at the hourly chart here uh so that we can get a closer look uh at some of these price zones uh in the prior video on broadcom uh one thing that I point pointed out here was the fact that we were seeing this uh you know this share price decline through support levels uh before this price Gap higher uh for this reason you know I was I was sort of suspicious of the possibility that maybe um you know maybe these these current you know these current rallies here uh were a bit unsustainable uh because we're seeing a lot of breakout activity in both directions so you know if you're seeing if you're really seeing price action to the downside breaking out to the downside and price action breaking out to the top side you it's like which one you know which which side do you do you trade on uh you know do you move in the positive direction or do you move in the negative Direction uh in the reality is that you know in some cases it's probably best to step aside because the market is really sending uh conflicting signals at the moment uh So currently you know what we do have to point to here um is the fact that you know there was this prior price Gap I can sort of move in here a bit uh and we can identify the uh this price Gap here that did uh start to unfold so uh currently you know what we're looking at to the downside is a is the beginning of the Gap coming in at coming in below 145 uh and then the top of the price Gap coming in above 151 uh so we're seeing more than $6 here uh in share price uh movement which now has to be accounted for so you know this is not totally surprising I mean when you see a price Gap like this and it is a substantial size price Gap $6 is not is not so small uh you know for for markets to just be skipping over the share price uh area here um you know when you do start to see these uh price gaps more than likely what you're going to have to see is for this price Gap to be filled uh once prices start to move back into this area um you know now you're going to have to start filling all of the orders that were skipped over uh broadc broadcom is a very large company large cap tech company um you know there's a large number of orders that are uh you know in place for for a stock like this uh and some of those orders do expire you know you could say you could say that you know we've skipped over this price action here uh some of those orders have probably expired since then uh that might be true but many of them have not many of them have not expired uh and are and are still active so once we venture back into that area uh what that really means is that all of those orders that are still active now have to be triggered they all have to be filled uh so you know it's not entirely surprising here to see uh you know an acceleration and downside momentum uh once uh once we start to venture back into the area back back into this empty space here uh because we know we're currently filling the Gap we're currently filling all these orders that were not filled previously so uh you know to the downside here what we could be looking at is is a full movement back toward this 145 level um a lot of this is going to depend on the earnings reports that are released later today uh after the closing bell uh we will be getting earnings figures from uh apple and amazon.com uh so you know obviously these are two of the largest companies in the world these are these are mag 7 companies um and this does tell us that um you know there is a you know a strong potential here for volatility depending on uh how these how these earnings performances uh unfold so you know in other words if we see if we see negative numbers from Amazon and apple um you know we we would have to expect this to continue Weighing on this stock and what that would mean is that this move here to the top side that is the actual false breakout uh you know we have two of these to look at at the moment you know there are two there are two price breakouts in two different directions here so you know they can't both be correct one of them has to be wrong so um you know currently it's starting you know now now that we've moved back below this exponential moving average cluster it is starting to look as though uh this breakout to the top side was the incorrect breakout was the shorter term unsustainable uh price movement uh and this you know not not totally surprising because it followed a move to the downside a breakout to the downside so this was the reason that I was watching this level uh in the prior video and I was saying that you know we're we're really going to need to see some significant follow through here order to consider this to be a valid price breakout in the bullish Direction so uh you know currently a lot of this is going to depend on uh what you know what exactly uh is reported here by uh by Apple and Amazon uh for the most part the the expectations for uh Amazon look a little bit easier uh to beat um on on a quarterly basis uh the Apple figures uh the expectation here is calling for a decline relative to the prior quarter if we're looking at that company on an annualized basis relative to the prior year uh the apple is expected to show growth but on a quarter to quarter basis those those numbers are expected to decline so uh you know and the the expectation here for Amazon is a little bit different the expectation is for uh strength in some key segments like the Amazon web services segment uh AWS uh Amazon still leads the Market as far as market share uh in the cloud space uh sector of the market so uh that will be sort of the key sector to watch um if we if we do see weakness in the Amazon web services segment I would expect to see Amazon uh fall lower I did just release a video on Amazon I suggest people check that out uh because there are some there are some important price levels in that stock as well um you know but if we do see ear negative earnings here um you know for one or both I mean even just a mixed result is probably going to put pressure uh on on as well uh just given the fact that you know this current momentum is really showing uh you know a bit of an acceleration here to the downside so uh you know there are some important levels to watch here um mostly you know if we do see prices continue to move lower uh these recent lows come in uh at 14355 so that is sort of now the the downside price Target uh filling in this price Gap does at the moment seem to be a bit of a foregone conclusion uh we're relatively close to filling this price Gap at the moment we would really only need to see uh share price gains of or share sorry share price losses of about another $3.50 uh so with the negative negative momentum showing uh the way that it is um you know this is looking like this price Gap is going to be filled here relatively soon the the main question is going to be whether or not uh these ultimate price lows are are broken and this will largely depend on the results from Amazon and apple later to ]
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